Minnesota Golden Gophers Tied for Lowest Win Total in Big Ten With 4.5 Wins Predicted for 2024

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Over the weekend FanDuel released their preseason win totals for the Big Ten and the popular sports book is not very high on the Gophers' entering the spring. FanDuel currently has the Golden Gophers' over/under win total at 4.5 wins, tied for the lowest in the Big Ten with the Purdue Boilermakers. The Golden Gophers in 2023 finished the season 6-7 thanks to a Quick Lane Bowl victory over Bowling Green on December 26.

bvmsports.com

Minnesota Golden Gophers Tied for Lowest Win Total in Big Ten With 4.5 Wins Predicted for 2024

Over the weekend FanDuel released their preseason win totals for the Big Ten and the popular sports book is not very high on the Gophers' entering the spring. FanDuel currently…
bvmsports.com bvmsports.com

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MNVCGUY said:
True, but if Brosmer is as good as advertised
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Well, this is kinda important.

He was good ... in FCS. Will that translate to Big Ten? If you can tell that for sure now, then go make some money.
 

Let's start with the North Carolina game. It's too early to know, but...

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UNC Transfer Portal Tracker

We're profiling those entering and departing the UNC program during this period.
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I watched the Gophers-UNC game this last year and thought the Gophers had their chances. I didn't think UNC firmly had it until the 4th, despite the score.

Would a different QB mean the difference?

It's too early to know but... UNC will be an early up.

www.thedailygopher.com

Minnesota’s mistakes short-circuit upset bid in 31-13 loss to North Carolina

The Gophers suffer their first setback of the season
www.thedailygopher.com www.thedailygopher.com


The passing game was a disaster for the Gophers. Athan Kaliakmanis had one of the worst games of his career, finishing 11-of-29 for 133 passing yards and an interception.
 


Everyone here saying take it ..... you've actually laid the bet, right?

How much? $10k?
 


yeah i'd hammer the over on that provided it's roughly even money. RI and Nev are what they are, MD unloads their QB/best player, UNC loses their QB and a bunch of players, Illinois hasn't magically gotten better, Rutgers is Rutgers, Iowa and WI are still even with us as they have been and UCLA loses a bunch of players on D and was mediocre last year. Chop that pot evenly and beat RI and Nev and you're covering the over easily.
 

Is that actually an actionable bet on FanDuel? Minnesota hasn't had less than 5 wins since 2011. Unrealistic. I think for 4 or less wins to happen, the Fleck staff would need to leave and tons of good players exit the roster between now and September.

Edit add:
It is an actionable bet. Risk $100 to win $65.79, so not the best potential payout.

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WashedGoph said:
That’s neat.

Plenty of places picked the Gophers to finish near the bottom of the west in 2019. I’ll wait until the games are played to evaluate teams.
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Can you name any? I make bets every year and the Gophers win total was like 6.5 or 7 that year, where usually a bottom team will have like 3 wins.

I get the sense that you don't like it, but you can't just change facts to fit the narrative you want (which appears to be that these guys don't know what they're talking about).
 

Here's each team. I think the over on Minnesota's 4.5 is a strong bet even if the payout is low (meaning the oddsmakers believe there's a high probability that Minnesota gets more wins). I was at first surprised by the low USC number, but they have a brutal schedule next year.

5.5 Illinois
5.5 Indiana
7.5 Iowa
7.5 Maryland
9.5 Michigan
5.5 Michigan State
4.5 Minnesota
7.5 Nebraska
5.5 Northwestern
10.5 Ohio State
10.5 Oregon
9.5 Penn State
4.5 Purdue
5.5 UCLA
7.5 USC
7.5 Washington
6.5 Wisconsin
 

GopherTheJugular said:
Can you name any? I make bets every year and the Gophers win total was like 6.5 or 7 that year, where usually a bottom team will have like 3 wins.

I get the sense that you don't like it, but you can't just change facts to fit the narrative you want (which appears to be that these guys don't know what they're talking about).
Click to expand...

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Big 10 Football: Preview and Predictions for 2019 Season

Despite being one of the sport's best conferences, the Big Ten hasn't sent a representative to the College Football Playoff in two straight seasons. Ohio State and Michigan are among the programs hoping to change that in 2019...
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www.offtackleempire.com

How They’ll Finish: The OTE Staff Projects the Final Big Ten Standings

Our Big Ten preseason predictions and rankings, along with key games in the Big Ten schedule.
www.offtackleempire.com www.offtackleempire.com
 

I just think the national perspective is that the defense fell apart, the offense struggled, and the Coordinator hires were pedestrian.

I think there is enough talent to win as many as 8 games. All depends on how it all comes together.
 


Panthadad2 said:
Is that actually an actionable bet on FanDuel? Minnesota hasn't had less than 5 wins since 2011. Unrealistic. I think for 4 or less wins to happen, the Fleck staff would need to leave and tons of good players exit the roster between now and September.

Edit add:
It is an actionable bet. Risk $100 to win $65.79, so not the best potential payout.

View attachment 30133
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Meaning that they think over is the more likely outcome?

If you bet under you win $152 on a $100 bet, if it hits?
 

If true, then it means — per usual — the narrative was perversely twisted from reality.

They set the OU number based on what they think will draw out the most bets. Not what they actually think the wins will be.
 



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