Vegas Power Rankings from Phil Steele; expected betting spreads

swingman

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(Assume 3 point home field edge)

Two tough games:
2. MI 134.83...Gophs 14 point home dogs
4. OSU 131.69...Gophs 17 point road dogs

Five coin flip games:
19. WI 121.94...Gophs 1 point home dogs
26. IA 118.43....Gophs 4 point road dogs
28. MN 117.59...
29 UNC 117.53....Gophs 3 point road dogs
33 IL 116.83...Gophs 4 point home favorites
54 PU 111.75..Gophs by 3 in WL

two games solid favorites:
52. NE 112.25...Gophs by 8
59, MSU 110.53...Gophs by by 10

three games big favorites:
91. Louisiana 101.94...Gophs by 20
97. NW 101.08...Gophs by 14
106. EMU 98.34...Gophs by 22

Using these numbers, some other West Division and non-con teams have tough non-con:
Iowa slight dogs in Ames
WI by 8 in the Palouse
Illini slight dogs vs KU
Illini by 10 vs Toledo
UNC by 1 vs USC in Charlotte
UNC by 10 vs App State
Purdue by 2 at VaTech
Purdue by 6 hosting Syracuse
Purdue by 4 hosting Fresno
 

Win three of your coin flips and there's your eight wins. This is a two trophy year.
 

Or: win the games you are supposed to win including the coin flips. And okay, split as an underdog losing to Ohio State and finish 11 and 1 with all three trophies.
 


Illini cross-overs: host Indiana and Penn State...go to Maryland....analytics like Maryland...this one from Steele has Illini as fg dogs vs MD

26 IOWA 118.43
27 UCLA 117.76
28 MINNESOTA 117.59
29 N CAROLINA 117.53
30 MARYLAND 117.49
31 MIAMI (FLA) 117.36
32 TEXAS TECH 117.19
33 ILLINOIS 116.83
 





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