SelectionSunday
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ROAD TO SELECTION SUNDAY, MN – We’re getting down to the nitty gritty, only two weeks from Selection Sunday.
Currently I have 37 teams battling for 19 available at-large bids. Of those 37, this week 13 can become locks for the Field of 68 if they win one or two of their remaining regular season games. That includes the Big Ten’s Wisconsin (1), Northwestern (1), Nebraska (1), and Michigan State (2).
Championship Week begins Monday with the first round of the ASUN Tournament, as #9 seed Kennesaw State hosts #10 Jacksonville, and #7 Florida Gulf Coast hosts #8 Queens. The Big Ten will close out Championship Week on Selection Sunday (March 17), leading directly into the Selection Show.
On to this week’s projection. …
Automatic qualifiers from multiple-bid conferences are denoted with an *. The automatic qualifier is the team with the best conference record or, in the event of a tie, the team with the best NET ranking or highest remaining seed in the conference tournament.
NET rankings will be updated late tonight or Monday morning.
WEEK #17 FIELD OF 68 PROJECTION (through March 3)
America East (1): Vermont (97)
American (2): FAU (35), *USF (79)
ACC (4): *North Carolina (9), Duke (10), Clemson (25), Virginia (49)
ASUN (1): Eastern Kentucky (204)
Atlantic 10 (2): Dayton (21), *Richmond (70)
Big East (6): *UConn (3), Creighton (11), Marquette (14), Villanova (26), Saint John’s (39), Seton Hall (68)
Big Sky (1): Eastern Washington (132)
Big South (1): High Point (107)
Big Ten (6): *Purdue (2), Illinois (15), Michigan State (22), Wisconsin (23), Nebraska (43), Northwestern (53)
Big XII (9): *Houston (1), Iowa State (8), BYU (12), Baylor (13), Kansas (18), Texas (27), TCU (38), Oklahoma (41), Texas Tech (42)
Big West (1): UC-Irvine (76)
Colonial (1): College of Charleston (102)
Conference USA (1): Sam Houston (161)
Horizon (1): Oakland (138)
Ivy (1): Princeton (51)
MAAC (1): Quinnipiac (171)
MAC (1): Akron (103)
MEAC (1): Norfolk State (235)
Missouri Valley (1): Indiana State (29)
Mountain West (5): San Diego State (19), Boise State (24), Colorado State (34), *Utah State (36), Nevada (40)
NEC (1): Central Connecticut (233)
OVC (1): Little Rock (188)
Pac 12 (3): *Arizona (4), Washington State (37), Utah (46)
Patriot (1): Colgate (130)
SEC (7): *Tennessee (5), Auburn (6), Alabama (7), Kentucky (20), Mississippi State (32), Florida (33), South Carolina (47)
SoCon (1): Samford (81)
Southland (1): McNeese (56)
SWAC (1): Grambling (294)
Summit (1): South Dakota State (153)
Sun Belt (1): Appalachian State (69)
WCC (2): Gonzaga (16), *Saint Mary’s (17)
WAC (1): Grand Canyon (55)
___________________________
Last 4 In: Oklahoma (41), Seton Hall (68), Virginia (49), Texas Tech (42)
First 4 Out: Texas A&M (54), Iowa (57), Providence (62), Colorado (30)
Next 4 Out: Memphis (71), Wake Forest (31), Pitt (44), Drake (48)
Under Consideration (9): New Mexico (28), Kansas State (73), Syracuse (84), Ole Miss (78), Virginia Tech (58), Cincinnati (45), Oregon (64), JMU (52), Ohio State (59)
Non-Power 6 At-Large Bids (7): Gonzaga (16), San Diego State (19), Dayton (21), Boise State (24), Colorado State (34), FAU (35), Nevada (40)
Moving In (7): Central Connecticut, Little Rock, Quinnipiac, Saint John’s, Sam Houston, Utah, Villanova
Dropping Out (7): Fairfield, Louisiana Tech, Merrimack, Morehead State, New Mexico, Providence, Wake Forest
** records indicated below are vs. Division 1 opponents only
Summit League Tournament Pairings
1st Round (Friday, March 8)
#8 Oral Roberts (8-17) vs. #9 South Dakota (9-19), 7 p.m. (split season series)
Quarterfinals (Saturday, March 9)
#1 South Dakota State (16-12) vs. Oral Roberts/South Dakota winner, 6 p.m. (SDSU split with ORU, swept USD)
#2 Kansas City (12-15) vs. #7 Denver (11-16), 8:30 p.m. (Kansas City swept season series)
Quarterfinals (Sunday, March 10)
#4 St. Thomas (16-12) vs. #5 North Dakota State (12-16), 6 p.m. (split season series)
#3 North Dakota (15-13) vs. #6 Omaha (10-17), 8:30 p.m. (split season series)
Big Ten Power Rankings
1 Purdue (26-3)
2 Illinois (22-7)
3 Nebraska (20-9)
4 Iowa (18-12)
5 Northwestern (20-9)
6 Minnesota (18-11)
7 Michigan State (17-12)
8 Wisconsin (18-11)
9 Ohio State (17-12)
10 Penn State (14-16)
11 Indiana (16-13)
12 Maryland (15-15)
13 Rutgers (15-13)
14 Michigan (8-21)
State of Minnesota in the Rankings
NET: Minnesota #77, St. Thomas #154
KenPom: Minnesota #61, St. Thomas #144
Haslametrics: Minnesota #66, St. Thomas #132
Currently I have 37 teams battling for 19 available at-large bids. Of those 37, this week 13 can become locks for the Field of 68 if they win one or two of their remaining regular season games. That includes the Big Ten’s Wisconsin (1), Northwestern (1), Nebraska (1), and Michigan State (2).
Championship Week begins Monday with the first round of the ASUN Tournament, as #9 seed Kennesaw State hosts #10 Jacksonville, and #7 Florida Gulf Coast hosts #8 Queens. The Big Ten will close out Championship Week on Selection Sunday (March 17), leading directly into the Selection Show.
On to this week’s projection. …
Automatic qualifiers from multiple-bid conferences are denoted with an *. The automatic qualifier is the team with the best conference record or, in the event of a tie, the team with the best NET ranking or highest remaining seed in the conference tournament.
NET rankings will be updated late tonight or Monday morning.
WEEK #17 FIELD OF 68 PROJECTION (through March 3)
America East (1): Vermont (97)
American (2): FAU (35), *USF (79)
ACC (4): *North Carolina (9), Duke (10), Clemson (25), Virginia (49)
ASUN (1): Eastern Kentucky (204)
Atlantic 10 (2): Dayton (21), *Richmond (70)
Big East (6): *UConn (3), Creighton (11), Marquette (14), Villanova (26), Saint John’s (39), Seton Hall (68)
Big Sky (1): Eastern Washington (132)
Big South (1): High Point (107)
Big Ten (6): *Purdue (2), Illinois (15), Michigan State (22), Wisconsin (23), Nebraska (43), Northwestern (53)
Big XII (9): *Houston (1), Iowa State (8), BYU (12), Baylor (13), Kansas (18), Texas (27), TCU (38), Oklahoma (41), Texas Tech (42)
Big West (1): UC-Irvine (76)
Colonial (1): College of Charleston (102)
Conference USA (1): Sam Houston (161)
Horizon (1): Oakland (138)
Ivy (1): Princeton (51)
MAAC (1): Quinnipiac (171)
MAC (1): Akron (103)
MEAC (1): Norfolk State (235)
Missouri Valley (1): Indiana State (29)
Mountain West (5): San Diego State (19), Boise State (24), Colorado State (34), *Utah State (36), Nevada (40)
NEC (1): Central Connecticut (233)
OVC (1): Little Rock (188)
Pac 12 (3): *Arizona (4), Washington State (37), Utah (46)
Patriot (1): Colgate (130)
SEC (7): *Tennessee (5), Auburn (6), Alabama (7), Kentucky (20), Mississippi State (32), Florida (33), South Carolina (47)
SoCon (1): Samford (81)
Southland (1): McNeese (56)
SWAC (1): Grambling (294)
Summit (1): South Dakota State (153)
Sun Belt (1): Appalachian State (69)
WCC (2): Gonzaga (16), *Saint Mary’s (17)
WAC (1): Grand Canyon (55)
___________________________
Last 4 In: Oklahoma (41), Seton Hall (68), Virginia (49), Texas Tech (42)
First 4 Out: Texas A&M (54), Iowa (57), Providence (62), Colorado (30)
Next 4 Out: Memphis (71), Wake Forest (31), Pitt (44), Drake (48)
Under Consideration (9): New Mexico (28), Kansas State (73), Syracuse (84), Ole Miss (78), Virginia Tech (58), Cincinnati (45), Oregon (64), JMU (52), Ohio State (59)
Non-Power 6 At-Large Bids (7): Gonzaga (16), San Diego State (19), Dayton (21), Boise State (24), Colorado State (34), FAU (35), Nevada (40)
Moving In (7): Central Connecticut, Little Rock, Quinnipiac, Saint John’s, Sam Houston, Utah, Villanova
Dropping Out (7): Fairfield, Louisiana Tech, Merrimack, Morehead State, New Mexico, Providence, Wake Forest
** records indicated below are vs. Division 1 opponents only
Summit League Tournament Pairings
1st Round (Friday, March 8)
#8 Oral Roberts (8-17) vs. #9 South Dakota (9-19), 7 p.m. (split season series)
Quarterfinals (Saturday, March 9)
#1 South Dakota State (16-12) vs. Oral Roberts/South Dakota winner, 6 p.m. (SDSU split with ORU, swept USD)
#2 Kansas City (12-15) vs. #7 Denver (11-16), 8:30 p.m. (Kansas City swept season series)
Quarterfinals (Sunday, March 10)
#4 St. Thomas (16-12) vs. #5 North Dakota State (12-16), 6 p.m. (split season series)
#3 North Dakota (15-13) vs. #6 Omaha (10-17), 8:30 p.m. (split season series)
Big Ten Power Rankings
1 Purdue (26-3)
2 Illinois (22-7)
3 Nebraska (20-9)
4 Iowa (18-12)
5 Northwestern (20-9)
6 Minnesota (18-11)
7 Michigan State (17-12)
8 Wisconsin (18-11)
9 Ohio State (17-12)
10 Penn State (14-16)
11 Indiana (16-13)
12 Maryland (15-15)
13 Rutgers (15-13)
14 Michigan (8-21)
State of Minnesota in the Rankings
NET: Minnesota #77, St. Thomas #154
KenPom: Minnesota #61, St. Thomas #144
Haslametrics: Minnesota #66, St. Thomas #132
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