SelectionSunday
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It’s hard to believe we’re already through Week #9 of the college basketball season. As usually happens with the advent of conference play, we had quite a bit of movement in the Field of 68 this past week.
There are 14 new teams in the field, including surging #47 Wake Forest (4-3 vs. Quads 1/2 with no bad losses) and #73 Seton Hall. (3-2 vs. Quad 1). You might be surprised to see only 5 Big XII teams in the current Field of 68 projection. For now, I’m leaving several teams out despite gaudy overall records because of their embarrassingly soft non-conference schedules and very little “meat” on their resumes. That means you #12 Iowa State (#317 NC SOS) and #38 TCU (#309 NC SOS), specifically, and to a slightly lesser degree #36 Texas Tech (#262 NC SOS).
Also noteworthy, with its first loss of the season James Madison has shifted from the Sun Belt’s automatic qualifier to an at-large selection. The Dukes’ NET ranking plummeted from #30 to #56 after Saturday’s loss at Southern Miss.
Automatic qualifiers from multiple-bid conferences are listed first. The automatic qualifier is the team with the best conference record (i.e. 2-0 is better than 1-0) or – in the event of a tie – the best NET ranking.
WEEK #9 FIELD OF 68 PROJECTION (through games played Jan. 6)
America East (1): UMass-Lowell (113)
American (3): North Texas (69), FAU (27), Memphis (49)
ACC (5): North Carolina (9), Duke (18), Clemson (24), Miami (41), Wake Forest (47)
ASUN (1): Stetson (196)
Atlantic 10 (2): George Mason (58), Dayton (19)
Big East (7): UConn (7), Creighton (14), Marquette (16), Saint John’s (31), Villanova (32), Providence (57), Seton Hall (73)
Big Sky (1): Weber State (82)
Big South (1): High Point (99)
Big Ten (6): Wisconsin (13), Purdue (2), Illinois (10), Michigan State (23), Ohio State (44), Northwestern (80)
Big XII (5): Houston (1), BYU (4), Kansas (11), Baylor (15), Oklahoma (22)
Big West (1): UC-Irvine (76)
Colonial (1): Drexel (109)
Conference USA (1): Western Kentucky (134)
Horizon (1): Purdue Fort Wayne (110)
Ivy (1): Princeton (28)
MAAC (1): Saint Peter’s (165)
MAC (1): Akron (87)
MEAC (1): Norfolk State (197)
Missouri Valley (1): Indiana State (34)
Mountain West (4): San Diego State (21), Colorado State (20), Utah State (26), Nevada (29)
NEC (1): Merrimack (202)
OVC (1): Morehead State (114)
Pac 12 (3): Oregon (51), Arizona (3), Utah (30)
Patriot (1): Colgate (132)
SEC (9): Tennessee (5), Alabama (6), Auburn (8), Kentucky (17), Mississippi State (33), Texas A&M (40), South Carolina (43), Florida (48), Ole Miss (68)
SoCon (1): Samford (89)
Southland (1): McNeese (54)
SWAC (1): Southern U (187)
Summit (1): St. Thomas (131) – ineligible, replaced by South Dakota State (155)
Sun Belt (2): Marshall (185), James Madison (56)
WCC (1): Gonzaga (45)
WAC (1): Grand Canyon (37)
___________________________
Last 4 In: Ohio State (44), Florida (48), Seton Hall (73), Northwestern (80)
First 4 Out: Colorado (42), Saint Mary’s (50), Drake (71), Kansas State (77)
Dirty Dozen to Watch: Iowa State (12), Cincinnati (25), New Mexico (35), Texas Tech (36), TCU (38), SMU (39), San Francisco (46), Virginia (55), Nebraska (59), Texas (60), NC State (64), Arizona State (102)
Non-Power 6 At-Large Bids (6): Colorado State (20), Utah State (26), FAU (27), Nevada (29), Memphis (49), James Madison (56)
Moving In (14): Drexel, George Mason, Gonzaga, High Point, Marshall, Miami, Morehead State, North Texas, Oregon, Saint Peter’s, Seton Hall, Stetson, Wake Forest, Western Kentucky
Dropping Out (14): Colorado, Hofstra, Indiana, Iowa State, Kansas State, Lipscomb, Longwood, Louisiana Tech, Marist, New Mexico, Saint Joseph’s, San Francisco, UT-Martin, Virginia
WEEK #10 GAMES TO WATCH
Sunday
UMass @ Dayton
SMU @ Memphis
Michigan State @ Northwestern
Tuesday
Houston @ Iowa State
South Carolina @ Alabama
Purdue @ Nebraska
BYU @ Baylor
Texas A&M @ Auburn
Wednesday
Providence @ Saint John’s
Tennessee @ Mississippi State
North Carolina @ NC State
Indiana State @ Drake
Wisconsin @ Ohio State
Oklahoma @ TCU
Florida @ Ole Miss
Thursday
South Dakota State @ St. Thomas
Michigan State @ Illinois
Friday
Boise State @ Nevada
Saturday
Saint John’s @ Creighton
San Diego State @ New Mexico
Oklahoma @ Kansas
Kentucky @ Texas A&M
Virginia @ Wake Forest
Houston @ TCU
Cincinnati @ Baylor
Alabama @ Mississippi State
REMAINING UNBEATEN
Houston
Note: Records indicated in below power rankings are vs. Division 1 opponents only
BIG TEN POWER RANKINGS
1 Purdue (14-1)
2 Wisconsin (11-3)
3 Illinois (11-3)
4 Michigan State (9-5)
5 Ohio State (12-3)
6 Northwestern (10-3)
7 Nebraska (12-3)
8 Minnesota (11-3)
9 Indiana (11-4)
10 Maryland (9-5)
11 Iowa (9-6)
12 Rutgers (8-6)
13 Michigan (6-8)
14 Penn State (7-7)
SUMMIT LEAGUE POWER RANKINGS
1 St. Thomas (9-5)
2 South Dakota State (5-8)
3 Denver (6-7)
4 Oral Roberts (4-8)
5 Omaha (4-9)
6 Kansas City (4-10)
7 North Dakota State (4-9)
8 South Dakota (5-9)
9 North Dakota (5-9)
STATE OF MINNESOTA IN THE RANKINGS
NET: Gophers #88, Tommies #131
KenPom: Gophers #79, Tommies #134
Haslametrics: Gophers #57, Tommies #96
There are 14 new teams in the field, including surging #47 Wake Forest (4-3 vs. Quads 1/2 with no bad losses) and #73 Seton Hall. (3-2 vs. Quad 1). You might be surprised to see only 5 Big XII teams in the current Field of 68 projection. For now, I’m leaving several teams out despite gaudy overall records because of their embarrassingly soft non-conference schedules and very little “meat” on their resumes. That means you #12 Iowa State (#317 NC SOS) and #38 TCU (#309 NC SOS), specifically, and to a slightly lesser degree #36 Texas Tech (#262 NC SOS).
Also noteworthy, with its first loss of the season James Madison has shifted from the Sun Belt’s automatic qualifier to an at-large selection. The Dukes’ NET ranking plummeted from #30 to #56 after Saturday’s loss at Southern Miss.
Automatic qualifiers from multiple-bid conferences are listed first. The automatic qualifier is the team with the best conference record (i.e. 2-0 is better than 1-0) or – in the event of a tie – the best NET ranking.
WEEK #9 FIELD OF 68 PROJECTION (through games played Jan. 6)
America East (1): UMass-Lowell (113)
American (3): North Texas (69), FAU (27), Memphis (49)
ACC (5): North Carolina (9), Duke (18), Clemson (24), Miami (41), Wake Forest (47)
ASUN (1): Stetson (196)
Atlantic 10 (2): George Mason (58), Dayton (19)
Big East (7): UConn (7), Creighton (14), Marquette (16), Saint John’s (31), Villanova (32), Providence (57), Seton Hall (73)
Big Sky (1): Weber State (82)
Big South (1): High Point (99)
Big Ten (6): Wisconsin (13), Purdue (2), Illinois (10), Michigan State (23), Ohio State (44), Northwestern (80)
Big XII (5): Houston (1), BYU (4), Kansas (11), Baylor (15), Oklahoma (22)
Big West (1): UC-Irvine (76)
Colonial (1): Drexel (109)
Conference USA (1): Western Kentucky (134)
Horizon (1): Purdue Fort Wayne (110)
Ivy (1): Princeton (28)
MAAC (1): Saint Peter’s (165)
MAC (1): Akron (87)
MEAC (1): Norfolk State (197)
Missouri Valley (1): Indiana State (34)
Mountain West (4): San Diego State (21), Colorado State (20), Utah State (26), Nevada (29)
NEC (1): Merrimack (202)
OVC (1): Morehead State (114)
Pac 12 (3): Oregon (51), Arizona (3), Utah (30)
Patriot (1): Colgate (132)
SEC (9): Tennessee (5), Alabama (6), Auburn (8), Kentucky (17), Mississippi State (33), Texas A&M (40), South Carolina (43), Florida (48), Ole Miss (68)
SoCon (1): Samford (89)
Southland (1): McNeese (54)
SWAC (1): Southern U (187)
Summit (1): St. Thomas (131) – ineligible, replaced by South Dakota State (155)
Sun Belt (2): Marshall (185), James Madison (56)
WCC (1): Gonzaga (45)
WAC (1): Grand Canyon (37)
___________________________
Last 4 In: Ohio State (44), Florida (48), Seton Hall (73), Northwestern (80)
First 4 Out: Colorado (42), Saint Mary’s (50), Drake (71), Kansas State (77)
Dirty Dozen to Watch: Iowa State (12), Cincinnati (25), New Mexico (35), Texas Tech (36), TCU (38), SMU (39), San Francisco (46), Virginia (55), Nebraska (59), Texas (60), NC State (64), Arizona State (102)
Non-Power 6 At-Large Bids (6): Colorado State (20), Utah State (26), FAU (27), Nevada (29), Memphis (49), James Madison (56)
Moving In (14): Drexel, George Mason, Gonzaga, High Point, Marshall, Miami, Morehead State, North Texas, Oregon, Saint Peter’s, Seton Hall, Stetson, Wake Forest, Western Kentucky
Dropping Out (14): Colorado, Hofstra, Indiana, Iowa State, Kansas State, Lipscomb, Longwood, Louisiana Tech, Marist, New Mexico, Saint Joseph’s, San Francisco, UT-Martin, Virginia
WEEK #10 GAMES TO WATCH
Sunday
UMass @ Dayton
SMU @ Memphis
Michigan State @ Northwestern
Tuesday
Houston @ Iowa State
South Carolina @ Alabama
Purdue @ Nebraska
BYU @ Baylor
Texas A&M @ Auburn
Wednesday
Providence @ Saint John’s
Tennessee @ Mississippi State
North Carolina @ NC State
Indiana State @ Drake
Wisconsin @ Ohio State
Oklahoma @ TCU
Florida @ Ole Miss
Thursday
South Dakota State @ St. Thomas
Michigan State @ Illinois
Friday
Boise State @ Nevada
Saturday
Saint John’s @ Creighton
San Diego State @ New Mexico
Oklahoma @ Kansas
Kentucky @ Texas A&M
Virginia @ Wake Forest
Houston @ TCU
Cincinnati @ Baylor
Alabama @ Mississippi State
REMAINING UNBEATEN
Houston
Note: Records indicated in below power rankings are vs. Division 1 opponents only
BIG TEN POWER RANKINGS
1 Purdue (14-1)
2 Wisconsin (11-3)
3 Illinois (11-3)
4 Michigan State (9-5)
5 Ohio State (12-3)
6 Northwestern (10-3)
7 Nebraska (12-3)
8 Minnesota (11-3)
9 Indiana (11-4)
10 Maryland (9-5)
11 Iowa (9-6)
12 Rutgers (8-6)
13 Michigan (6-8)
14 Penn State (7-7)
SUMMIT LEAGUE POWER RANKINGS
1 St. Thomas (9-5)
2 South Dakota State (5-8)
3 Denver (6-7)
4 Oral Roberts (4-8)
5 Omaha (4-9)
6 Kansas City (4-10)
7 North Dakota State (4-9)
8 South Dakota (5-9)
9 North Dakota (5-9)
STATE OF MINNESOTA IN THE RANKINGS
NET: Gophers #88, Tommies #131
KenPom: Gophers #79, Tommies #134
Haslametrics: Gophers #57, Tommies #96
