BleedGopher
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per the NY Post:
Sometimes a bad scheduling spot can be enough of an equalizer not only to help a team cover the spread, but also to even pull the outright upset. The talent gaps in college football can be quite wide, but a lack of focus and preparation can narrow the chasm.
We saw examples of some bad situational spots come through last week. Many were stunned to see Fresno State nearly lose to UNLV, but the Bulldogs were in an awful spot off their win over UCLA. Fresno State was more than a 30-point favorite, but won by only eight.
Western Michigan was a small home favorite against a San Jose State team that had gone to Hawaii for a conference game the previous week. San Jose State managed just 119 total yards in a 23-3 loss in Kalamazoo.
BYU, a team that had beaten three straight Pac-12 opponents to open the season, edged USF by eight points as a 23.5-point favorite. The Cougars were off those three huge Power Five games and had Utah State on deck in a rivalry game.
We saw Florida as another example, with a slow start against Tennessee, though the Gators eventually covered the full game with a stop on the final play. Situational spots aren’t designed to be sole justifications for making a bet. They are designed to be part of the handicapping process to determine whether it can be the tipping point for making a pick.
There are some games that fill the bill for Week 5 for a variety of reasons, and they are ones you may want to take a second or third look at on your betting card.
This is not only a situational spot for Minnesota, but one for bettors and bookmakers as well. In theory, we should get a highly motivated effort from the Gophers, a team that shut out Colorado 30-0 on the road and led Ohio State in the second half in Week 1.On the other hand, this is still a Minnesota team that just lost to one of the MAC’s worst teams. The fact that this line sits at -2 might catch some people by surprise, but it does show how the sportsbooks stay level-headed.
Purdue put a lot into the Notre Dame game two weeks ago and had a rather lethargic performance against Illinois last week. Generally speaking, if I know two teams with limited offenses will be really engaged in the upcoming matchup, my mind gravitates toward the Under.
nypost.com
Go Gophers!!
Sometimes a bad scheduling spot can be enough of an equalizer not only to help a team cover the spread, but also to even pull the outright upset. The talent gaps in college football can be quite wide, but a lack of focus and preparation can narrow the chasm.
We saw examples of some bad situational spots come through last week. Many were stunned to see Fresno State nearly lose to UNLV, but the Bulldogs were in an awful spot off their win over UCLA. Fresno State was more than a 30-point favorite, but won by only eight.
Western Michigan was a small home favorite against a San Jose State team that had gone to Hawaii for a conference game the previous week. San Jose State managed just 119 total yards in a 23-3 loss in Kalamazoo.
BYU, a team that had beaten three straight Pac-12 opponents to open the season, edged USF by eight points as a 23.5-point favorite. The Cougars were off those three huge Power Five games and had Utah State on deck in a rivalry game.
We saw Florida as another example, with a slow start against Tennessee, though the Gators eventually covered the full game with a stop on the final play. Situational spots aren’t designed to be sole justifications for making a bet. They are designed to be part of the handicapping process to determine whether it can be the tipping point for making a pick.
There are some games that fill the bill for Week 5 for a variety of reasons, and they are ones you may want to take a second or third look at on your betting card.
Minnesota (+2.5, 47.5) at Purdue
What does almost $1 million get you? If you’re the Minnesota Golden Gophers, an embarrassing loss to Bowling Green. In one of the biggest upsets we’ve seen in 40 years, Minnesota lost 14-10 as a 30.5-point favorite last week and paid a hefty sum for the nonconference game. You have to think this week screams a sense of urgency for the Gophers.This is not only a situational spot for Minnesota, but one for bettors and bookmakers as well. In theory, we should get a highly motivated effort from the Gophers, a team that shut out Colorado 30-0 on the road and led Ohio State in the second half in Week 1.On the other hand, this is still a Minnesota team that just lost to one of the MAC’s worst teams. The fact that this line sits at -2 might catch some people by surprise, but it does show how the sportsbooks stay level-headed.
Purdue put a lot into the Notre Dame game two weeks ago and had a rather lethargic performance against Illinois last week. Generally speaking, if I know two teams with limited offenses will be really engaged in the upcoming matchup, my mind gravitates toward the Under.
College football bettors can cash in by paying attention to schedules
Sometimes a bad scheduling spot can be enough of an equalizer not only to help a team cover the spread, but also to even pull the outright upset. The talent gaps in college football can be quite wi…
nypost.com
Go Gophers!!
