Minnesota @ Purdue 2023 - Media Predictions

IceBoxGopher

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Here we go, another week, another chance at picking up a W. Let's see what the media is predicting

College Football News is picking Purdue, 23-20
Can Purdue finally rise up now that’s it’s playing a game at home it should win - sort of like it did against Illinois?

The passing attack will keep things moving a little bit, the Minnesota offense will sputter and cough as usual, and Purdue will be -1 in turnover margin - not bad enough to drop this - in a second straight frustrating loss for the Gophers.


Stat Insider is predicting a 25-21 Purdue victory
Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Minnesota vs. Purdue 10,000 times. Our proven predictive analytics model gives Purdue a 60% chance of defeating the Minnesota at Ross-Ade Stadium.
 




the bookies have Purdue at -1. Over/under at 47.5

so expecting a final of Purdue 24, Gophers 23 or so.
 


Bleacher Report

Minnesota (5-4) at Purdue (2-7), 3:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: Minnesota 24, Purdue 20
 


Athlon Sports - All three experts pict the Gophers

Minnesota at PurdueMinnesotaMinnesotaMinnesota
 

Off Tackle Empire - Minnesota

Minnesota at Purdue (toss-up): my pick - Row Row Row Your Boat. Think PJ Fleck reminded the Gophers of Purdue's visit to Minneapolis last season? As the old saying goes, paybacks are a bitch. And Purdue is about to get bitched out. 20-7 seems right in this thing; in a game that won't be as close as that score might indicate.
 



FOX Sports - Minnesota

Purdue vs. Minnesota Prediction​

  • Pick ATS: Minnesota (+1)
  • Pick OU: Over (47.5)
  • Prediction: Minnesota 25, Purdue 23
 

Andy Greder of the Pioneer Press

Prediction: This is the best chance in the final three games for the Gophers to reach bowl eligibility. But the betting line shows this as a toss-up and given Minnesota’s defensive letdowns against two Big Ten West foes it’s hard to see otherwise. Gophers, 24-23

 

Winners and Whiners is predicting a Minnesota win
This game comes down to each team's ability to score once they enter the red zone. The Golden Gophers have been excellent in the red zone, ranked 11th in the country. Purdue, however, has been atrocious, ranked just 127th in the nation in red zone offense.

Minnesota's 5-4 record is a testament to the grit instilled in his teams by P.J. Fleck. Talent-wise, this is likely a team that should have a losing record but Fleck manages his team well and keeps them in manageable situations. This will be tight but I'm leaning toward the more disciplined team.


Pick Dawgz is going with Purdue in the match-up.
Purdue has really regressed this season, but just as Illinois finally broke through against Minnesota, so can they.

The Boilermakers have dropped four straight, and with them longer possible to become bowl-eligible, these last three games will be about respect for this veteran class. I think we see a strong showing from Purdue at home here, so let’s back them for this Big Ten battle.


Picks and Parlays is predicting a 37-10 Gopher win
Minnesota is by far the better team in this matchup and will dominate this week start to finish. Take the Golden Gophers to roll to an easy road win against a terrible conference opponent. The Golden Gophers will get the job done this week resulting in the win and cover against Purdue.

The Daily Gopher (Minnesota SB Nation) has Purdue winning 28-21
After demoralizing losses to Northwestern and Illinois, I just don’t have any faith in this team anymore

Gopher Illustrated (Minnesota 247 Sports) is predicting a 24-23 Minnesota win
One area where the Gophers should have an advantage though is in the kicking game. The Boilermakers rank last in field goal percentage in Big Ten play at 44%, as they're currently 4-9. They started the year with Ben Freehill as the guy, and then he was benched for Julio Macias. But after Macias missed three field goals against Ohio State, they've returned to Freehill, who made both attempts last week.

It'll be interesting to see how the return game impacts things, as Purdue has one of the lowest touchback percentages in the Big Ten, as only 31.8% of their kickoffs go for touchbacks. And we know how much of a disaster the Gopher kickoff return unit has been this season.
- No team in the Big Ten has allowed more rushing yards (942) or rushing touchdowns (14) than Purdue.

Illinois' defensive line dictated that Minnesota wasn't going to be able to run the ball in the second half last week. I don't see that happening two weeks in a row against Purdue. Rossi's defense gets some key second-half turnovers, and Fleck is able to salt away a game on offense finally.
 

In the come-from-ahead losses to Northwestern and Illinois, the Gophers were the better team for roughly 80% of each game, but they did a horrendous job of finishing both contests and paid a high price. Saturday, they bring an air of desperation with them, and that should be a good thing. This does not look like a team that has given up on the season, but one that's made mistakes at the worst possible times. Look for Minnesota's defense especially to shore things up while Kaliakmanis and the backfield take advantage of a Purdue defense that leaks yards and points.

My expectation: This being a Big Ten West game involving the Gophers, it should be tight and come down to the wire.
Gophers 27, Purdue 24

 



NBC 15 in Madison, WI

Minnesota vs. Purdue Predictions and Picks​

ATS PickTotal PickScore Prediction
Minnesota (-1)Toss Up (47.5)Minnesota 25, Purdue 23
 




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