Every now and then, you see a "If we could do it over after having more evidence" sports article. You know, these are the ones that say something like "if we could reseed the NCAA tournament" or "if we could redo the NBA draft from several years ago."
One of the things I like about the current liberal transfer allowance is that it gives us a chance to see "what might have happened in recruiting if people knew then what they know now?"
In terms of commitments to destination schools, the transfer portal is still in its very early stages but I'm guessing we're moving closer to 200 destination commits at this point.
I decided to take a look at the destination commitments listed on Verbal Commits so far and count the ones falling into the categories below.
Players moving from:
Now, of course, there are far more openings among Mid-Major conference schools than among Power 6 conference schools. Nevertheless, so far there are almost as many Mid-Major players moving to Power 6 schools as there are Power-Six players moving to Mid-Major Schools and far more Mid-Major players moving to P6 schools than P6 players moving to P6 schools.
It's still early and these distributions certainly could change, but right now I'm going to make a logical guess: most of our transfers likely are going to be moving down when the dust settles. There's more than a remote possibility that all but Carr (if he decides to play another season) will move down.
One of the things I like about the current liberal transfer allowance is that it gives us a chance to see "what might have happened in recruiting if people knew then what they know now?"
In terms of commitments to destination schools, the transfer portal is still in its very early stages but I'm guessing we're moving closer to 200 destination commits at this point.
I decided to take a look at the destination commitments listed on Verbal Commits so far and count the ones falling into the categories below.
Players moving from:
Move Type | Count |
From Power 6 Conference to Power 6 Conference | 10 |
From Mid-Major (defined as every conference except Power 6) to Power 6 | 24 |
From Power 6 to Mid-Major | 27 |
Now, of course, there are far more openings among Mid-Major conference schools than among Power 6 conference schools. Nevertheless, so far there are almost as many Mid-Major players moving to Power 6 schools as there are Power-Six players moving to Mid-Major Schools and far more Mid-Major players moving to P6 schools than P6 players moving to P6 schools.
It's still early and these distributions certainly could change, but right now I'm going to make a logical guess: most of our transfers likely are going to be moving down when the dust settles. There's more than a remote possibility that all but Carr (if he decides to play another season) will move down.