Dano564
Fleck Superfan
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Did some work.
First, let's beat Wisc and / or NW so we become bowl eligible, but just in case:
78 total bowl teams.
59 already eligible (6 wins)
Team
Alabama
Wisconsin
Clemson
Georgia
Miami
UCF
USC
Washington State
Army
Auburn
Memphis
Michigan
Notre Dame
Ohio
Ohio State
Oklahoma
Oklahoma State
Penn State
San Diego State
South Florida
TCU
Toledo
Troy
Washington
Boise State
Florida Atlantic
Kentucky
LSU
Marshall
Michigan State
Mississippi State
NC State
North Texas
Northern Illinois
Northwestern
South Carolina
Stanford
UAB
Virginia Tech
West Virginia
Appalachian State
Arizona
Central Michigan
Colorado State
Florida Intl
Fresno State
Georgia State
Houston
Iowa
Iowa State
Louisville
Navy
SMU
Southern Mississippi
Texas A&M
Virginia
Wake Forest
Western Michigan
Wyoming
3 very likely to get to 6 wins
Arkansas State
Oregon
Boston College
That puts us at 62.
Six more heavily favored in one game or favored in both remaining games (who only need one win)
Team - W - L Remaining games and odds for each.
Texas - 5 5 WVU 53% Tex Tech 73%
Arizona State - 5 5 OR ST 78% ARIZ 48%
Middle Tennessee - 5 5 WKU 45% ODU 79%
Utah State - 5 5 Haw 86% AirF 37%
Missouri - 5 5 VAN 58% ARK 57%
Akron - 5 5 OHIO 24% KENT 86%
That puts us at 68
Remaining teams ranked by their perceived odds of getting to 6 wins.
Team - W - L Remaining games and odds for each, and ranking based on odds
Western Kentucky - 5 5 MTSU 54% FIU 47% 69
UT San Antonio - 5 4 MAR 52% LT 45% 70
Georgia Tech - 5 4 Duke 61% UGA 25% 71
Kansas State - 5 5 OK St 18% IA ST 52% 72
Utah - 5 5 WAS 6% COL 62% 73
Florida State - 3 6 DSU 99% FLA / ULM 64% 74
Ole Miss - 5 5 T AM 46% MSST 12% 75
Temple - 5 5 UCF 14% Tulsa 40% 76
Texas Tech - 5 5 TCU 25% Texas 26% 77
Louisiana Tech - 4 6 UTEP 85% UTSA 54% 78
--- cut off line ----
New Mexico State - 4 5 ULL 60% IDHO / USA 74% 79
Miami (OH) - 4 6 EMU 51% BALL 86% 80
California - 5 5 STAN 11% UCLA 28% 81
Colorado - 5 6 UTAH 37% 82
Minnesota - 5 5 NW 24% WIS 12% 83
Indiana - 4 6 RUTG 76% Purdue 42% 84
Louisiana - 4 5 NMSU 40% GASO / APP 73% 85
Buffalo - 4 6 BALL 84% OHIO 28% 86
UNLV - 4 6 UNM 46% NEV 47% 87
Tennessee - 4 6 LSU 28% VAN 67% 88
South Alabama - 4 6 GASO 60% NMSU 31% 89
Syracuse - 4 6 LOU 30% BC 57% 90
Old Dominion - 4 6 RICE 75% MTSU 21% 91
Vanderbilt - 4 6 MIZ 42% TEN 33% 92
UCLA - 5 5 ASU 19% USC / CAL 71% 93
Duke - 4 6 GT 38% WF 30% 94
Purdue - 4 6 IOWA 18% IND 58% 95
Air Force - 4 5 WYO 16% BSU 63% 96
Nebraska - 4 6 PSU 30% IOWA 26% 97
Arkansas - 4 6 MSST 17% MIZZ 43% 98
Tulane - 4 6 HOU 30% SMU 24% 99
Idaho - 3 6 CCU 77% NMSU / GAST 26% 100
Rutgers - 4 6 IND 24% MSU 25% 101
Pittsburgh - 4 6 VT 10% MIA 18% 102
Maryland - 4 6 MSU 19% PSU 6% 103
Hawai'i - 3 6 FRES / USU 14% BYU 45% 104
Louisiana Monroe - 4 5 AUB 1% ARST / FSU 26% 105
Should there not be 78 that get to six wins, the Gophers I believe are one of the top shots for any team with 5 wins by APR rate.
2017 NCAA APR Rankings
T1. Air Force 995
T1. Northwestern 995 - already in
3. Michigan 993 - already in
T4. Duke 992
T4. Minnesota 992
T4. Vanderbilt 992
So if you want to be the first 5-7, we want Duke, Vandy, and Air Force all to lose both their final games. If either ends up with a win, they would be ahead of us in priority. (Not sure how the tie with Vandy is handled).
First, let's beat Wisc and / or NW so we become bowl eligible, but just in case:
78 total bowl teams.
59 already eligible (6 wins)
Team
Alabama
Wisconsin
Clemson
Georgia
Miami
UCF
USC
Washington State
Army
Auburn
Memphis
Michigan
Notre Dame
Ohio
Ohio State
Oklahoma
Oklahoma State
Penn State
San Diego State
South Florida
TCU
Toledo
Troy
Washington
Boise State
Florida Atlantic
Kentucky
LSU
Marshall
Michigan State
Mississippi State
NC State
North Texas
Northern Illinois
Northwestern
South Carolina
Stanford
UAB
Virginia Tech
West Virginia
Appalachian State
Arizona
Central Michigan
Colorado State
Florida Intl
Fresno State
Georgia State
Houston
Iowa
Iowa State
Louisville
Navy
SMU
Southern Mississippi
Texas A&M
Virginia
Wake Forest
Western Michigan
Wyoming
3 very likely to get to 6 wins
Arkansas State
Oregon
Boston College
That puts us at 62.
Six more heavily favored in one game or favored in both remaining games (who only need one win)
Team - W - L Remaining games and odds for each.
Texas - 5 5 WVU 53% Tex Tech 73%
Arizona State - 5 5 OR ST 78% ARIZ 48%
Middle Tennessee - 5 5 WKU 45% ODU 79%
Utah State - 5 5 Haw 86% AirF 37%
Missouri - 5 5 VAN 58% ARK 57%
Akron - 5 5 OHIO 24% KENT 86%
That puts us at 68
Remaining teams ranked by their perceived odds of getting to 6 wins.
Team - W - L Remaining games and odds for each, and ranking based on odds
Western Kentucky - 5 5 MTSU 54% FIU 47% 69
UT San Antonio - 5 4 MAR 52% LT 45% 70
Georgia Tech - 5 4 Duke 61% UGA 25% 71
Kansas State - 5 5 OK St 18% IA ST 52% 72
Utah - 5 5 WAS 6% COL 62% 73
Florida State - 3 6 DSU 99% FLA / ULM 64% 74
Ole Miss - 5 5 T AM 46% MSST 12% 75
Temple - 5 5 UCF 14% Tulsa 40% 76
Texas Tech - 5 5 TCU 25% Texas 26% 77
Louisiana Tech - 4 6 UTEP 85% UTSA 54% 78
--- cut off line ----
New Mexico State - 4 5 ULL 60% IDHO / USA 74% 79
Miami (OH) - 4 6 EMU 51% BALL 86% 80
California - 5 5 STAN 11% UCLA 28% 81
Colorado - 5 6 UTAH 37% 82
Minnesota - 5 5 NW 24% WIS 12% 83
Indiana - 4 6 RUTG 76% Purdue 42% 84
Louisiana - 4 5 NMSU 40% GASO / APP 73% 85
Buffalo - 4 6 BALL 84% OHIO 28% 86
UNLV - 4 6 UNM 46% NEV 47% 87
Tennessee - 4 6 LSU 28% VAN 67% 88
South Alabama - 4 6 GASO 60% NMSU 31% 89
Syracuse - 4 6 LOU 30% BC 57% 90
Old Dominion - 4 6 RICE 75% MTSU 21% 91
Vanderbilt - 4 6 MIZ 42% TEN 33% 92
UCLA - 5 5 ASU 19% USC / CAL 71% 93
Duke - 4 6 GT 38% WF 30% 94
Purdue - 4 6 IOWA 18% IND 58% 95
Air Force - 4 5 WYO 16% BSU 63% 96
Nebraska - 4 6 PSU 30% IOWA 26% 97
Arkansas - 4 6 MSST 17% MIZZ 43% 98
Tulane - 4 6 HOU 30% SMU 24% 99
Idaho - 3 6 CCU 77% NMSU / GAST 26% 100
Rutgers - 4 6 IND 24% MSU 25% 101
Pittsburgh - 4 6 VT 10% MIA 18% 102
Maryland - 4 6 MSU 19% PSU 6% 103
Hawai'i - 3 6 FRES / USU 14% BYU 45% 104
Louisiana Monroe - 4 5 AUB 1% ARST / FSU 26% 105
Should there not be 78 that get to six wins, the Gophers I believe are one of the top shots for any team with 5 wins by APR rate.
2017 NCAA APR Rankings
T1. Air Force 995
T1. Northwestern 995 - already in
3. Michigan 993 - already in
T4. Duke 992
T4. Minnesota 992
T4. Vanderbilt 992
So if you want to be the first 5-7, we want Duke, Vandy, and Air Force all to lose both their final games. If either ends up with a win, they would be ahead of us in priority. (Not sure how the tie with Vandy is handled).