They could certainly do a better job on their slides. For instance (on the slide quoted) when they say 1700 mortality through end of May, would that be the mortality that we *would have had* if there had been no stay-at-home mitigations? On another slide they show 3 curves, unmitigated, stay-at-home through mid-May, etc. They're certainly not going to hit 1700 deaths through May, that's for sure. Similar problems as the IHME model had, namely not fitting to current data properly.The recently revised Minnesota models under any of the 8 scenarios estimated ~ 100 deaths per day at this point and 1700 deaths by the end of May. Something seems amiss. Perhaps the curve is just time-shifted, but looking at relatively flat hospital numbers they will probably need to scramble. Cell phone data indicates MN social distancing hit its nadir many weeks ago.
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I may have to download their code from github and take a peek, but I fear the code will be a black hole.