The election IS TODAY and the polls say Biden is going to win in a landslide

[Go4Broke]

State polls

	Pollster	Margin	Diff. from ’16 result
Ariz.	OH Predictive Insights Oct. 22-25, 716 L.V.	Biden +3 49-46	+7D
Fla.	Florida Atlantic University Oct. 24-25, 937 L.V.	Biden +2 50-48	+3D
Fla.	Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. Oct. 23-25, 400 L.V.	Trump +5 44-49	+4R
Ga.	Civiqs Oct. 23-26, 1,041 L.V.	Biden +5 51-46	+10D
Iowa	RABA Research Oct. 21-24, 693 L.V.	Biden +4 50-46	+13D
Mich.	Glengariff Group Oct. 23-25, 600 L.V.	Biden +7 49-42	+7D
Minn.	Gravis Marketing Oct. 24-26, 657 L.V.	Biden +14 53-39	+12D
Mont.	P.P.P. (Dem. pollster) Oct. 26-27, 886 voters	Trump +2 47-49	+18D
N.C.	Ipsos Oct. 21-27, 647 L.V.	Biden +1 49-48	+5D
N.C.	RMG Research Oct. 24-26, 800 L.V.	Biden +1 48-47	+5D
N.C.	SurveyUSA Oct. 23-26, 627 L.V.	Even 48-48	+4D
N.C.	P.P.P. (Dem. pollster) Oct. 26-27, 937 voters	Biden +4 51-47	+8D
Nev.	New York Times/Siena College Oct. 23-26, 809 L.V.	Biden +6 49-43	+4D
Nev.	University of Nevada, Las Vegas Oct. 16-23, 802 L.V.	Biden +9 50-41	+7D
Pa.	Civiqs Oct. 23-26, 1,145 L.V.	Biden +7 52-45	+8D

National polls

U.S.	IBD/TIPP Oct. 22-26, 970 L.V.	Biden +5 51-46	+3D
U.S.	Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research Oct. 22-26, 1,500 L.V.	Biden +2 49-47	<1R
U.S.	U.S.C. Dornsife Oct. 13-26, 5,293 L.V.	Biden +12 54-42	+10D
U.S.	Léger Oct. 23-25, 834 L.V.	Biden +8 49-41	+6D
U.S.	CNBC Oct. 21-24, 800 R.V.	Biden +11 51-40	+9D

 

[Gopher_In_NYC]

Let's assume that these stats are accurate. Then why does Trump have such huge attendance at his rally's, and Biden's rally's are so poorly attended?

If you see Biden's campaign rally they are restricting attendance to comply with the local/state regs regarding attendance and also ensuring that the attendees are socially distanced; Trump doesn't care and packs them in like sardines - he learned so much from his bout with it.

 

[Gopher_In_NYC]

Texas is in play, my best friend out here is a Texican and there are numerous transplants who moved ther from both coasts - cheap land, lower taxes and cool cities like Austin and D/FW.

This stat shows the massive increase in new voters there and refers to youth voters (defined as 30 and under). Those of course skew D rather than R -

 

[Go4Broke]

 

[Go4Broke]

The Upshot on Today’s Polls
Analysis of the day in polls, from now until Election Day.

By Nate Cohn


https://www.nytimes.com/live/2020/p...e-usually-more-accurate-as-election-day-nears


Oct. 28 - 6 days until Election Day
Today’s polls, as we get them

Loading…

www.nytimes.com

A running table of all the presidential polls released today, with newest entries first:

	Pollster	Margin	Diff. from ’16 result
U.S.	GBAO (Dem. pollster) 2:11 PM ET Sept. 12-16, 1,150 R.V.	Biden +12 51-39	+10D
U.S.	GBAO (Dem. pollster) 2:08 PM ET Oct. 15-19, 1,150 R.V.	Biden +13 53-40	+11D
N.C.	Gravis Marketing 1:33 PM ET Oct. 26-27, 614 L.V.	Biden +3 49-46	+7D
Mich.	New York Times/Siena College 1:29 PM ET Oct. 23-26, 856 L.V.	Biden +8 49-41	+8D
Wis.	Marquette University Law School 1:21 PM ET Oct. 21-25, 749 L.V.	Biden +5 48-43	+6D
Ga.	Monmouth University 1:06 PM ET Oct. 23-27, 504 L.V.	Biden +3 50-47	+8D
Ariz.	Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research 12:59 PM ET Oct. 17-25, 725 R.V.	Biden +5 50-45	+9D
Fla.	Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research 12:59 PM ET Oct. 17-25, 743 R.V.	Biden +3 49-46	+4D
Pa.	Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research 12:59 PM ET Oct. 17-25, 723 R.V.	Biden +5 50-45	+6D
Texas	Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research 12:59 PM ET Oct. 17-25, 758 R.V.	Trump +3 46-49	+6D

 

[Go4Broke]

 

[Go4Broke]

 

[Go4Broke]

Polls of Midwestern states since the final debate

Polls conducted entirely (or mostly) after the Oct. 22 debate compared to the last poll from the same pollster

	Biden lead
	Pollster	Now	Before	change
IA	RABA Research	+4.0	+2.0	+2.0
MI	ABC News/Washington Post*	+7.0	+8.0	-1.0
MI	Glengariff Group	+8.0	+9.0	-1.0
MI	Gravis Marketing	+13.0	+9.0	+4.0
MI	NYT Upshot/Siena	+8.0	+8.0	+0.0
MI	Reuters/Ipsos	+9.5	+8.0	+1.5
MN	Gravis Marketing	+14.0	+16.0	-2.0
WI	ABC News/Washington Post	+17.0	+6.0	+11.0
WI	Gravis Marketing	+11.0	+8.0	+3.0
WI	Marquette Law School	+5.0	+5.0	+0.0
	Average	+9.6	+7.9	+1.7

* The firm had not previously polled the state and the change is based on the FiveThirtyEight average as of the Oct. 22 debate.


Source: polls

 

[jamiche]

Donald and his militias and his senators and his judges and his media outlets are going to have work harder than they thought to steal this thing. Pooti is riding fast to the rescue.

 

[WhoFellDownTheGopherHole?]

Texas is in play, my best friend out here is a Texican and there are numerous transplants who moved ther from both coasts - cheap land, lower taxes and cool cities like Austin and D/FW.

This stat shows the massive increase in new voters there and refers to youth voters (defined as 30 and under). Those of course skew D rather than R -

View attachment 10029

Yep, and I suppose my peers are a bit older than that, but i know several 30-something Minnesotans who have transplanted in Texas in the last 5 years, predominantly in the Austin area, but a few in Houston also. All young (and mostly women) liberals.

 

[justthefacts]

Inspite of all these fake polls designed to influence versus inform, Trump is still doing better in the battleground states this election than what was happening in the MSM's attempt to get Hillary elected back in 2016. This has got to have the lib's heads exploding (e.g., what's happening on this board). They've created fake stories about Trump, that the minions believe hook-line-and-sinker, shut down the country to try to stop Trump's economy from continuing to soar, impeached him over a fake hoax, and now all these fake polls, and Trump is still outdoing what was happening in 2016.

View attachment 9598

This 0.2 advantage that Trump had over 2016 seemed pretty important. Any idea what it's looking like now?

 

[Go4Broke]

 

[Go4Broke]

 

[Go4Broke]

 

[Go4Broke]

 

[Go4Broke]

 

[Bad Gopher]

I think Florida goes Biden, and I think that does it. Only a stolen election trumps that.

 

[LesBolstad]

I think Florida goes Biden, and I think that does it. Only a stolen election trumps that.

Haha, ridiculous. Trump has Florida in the bank. How about a $500 bet on FLA? Loser donates to winner's charity of choice?

 

[howeda7]

I think Florida goes Biden, and I think that does it. Only a stolen election trumps that.

If Trump wins Florida, Georgia and North Carolina all 49-47, we don't have to wait for PA.

 

[Go4Broke]

 

[Plausible Deniability]

If Trump wins Florida, Georgia and North Carolina all 49-47, we don't have to wait for PA.

Reports are already streaming in, Harris/Biden ticket is doing AWESOME in California. They could win California by even more than Hillary.

 

[Bad Gopher]

If Trump wins Florida, Georgia and North Carolina all 49-47, we don't have to wait for PA.

Florida will be on the strength of senior citizens, and they're going to be harder to disenfranchise than minority and poor voters.

 

[Go4Broke]

Nate Silver: "[T]here are fewer undecided voters this year. In 2016, there were about 13 or 14 percent undecided plus third party; it’s around 6 percent this year. That’s a pretty big difference. Trump could win every undecided voter in these polls and he would still narrowly lose the Electoral College.

The reason [Biden] is way ahead in these polls is not because Democratic turnout is particularly high relative to GOP turnout — it’s because he’s winning independents by 15 points and moderates by 30 points. He’s winning back a fair number of Obama-Trump voters and keeping a fair number of Romney-Clinton voters. The story the polls are telling is that Biden is persuading the median voter not to back Donald Trump.

https://www.vox.com/21538214/nate-silver-538-2020-forecast-2016-trump-biden-election-podcast

 

[Go4Broke]

 

[Go4Broke]

 

[Go4Broke]

 

[Go4Broke]

 

[Go4Broke]

 

[Go4Broke]

 

[KillerGopherFan]

I’ll bet anyone Trafalgar is closer to correct than CNN.