The election IS TODAY and the polls say Biden is going to win in a landslide

Go4Broke

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Gopher_In_NYC

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Let's assume that these stats are accurate. Then why does Trump have such huge attendance at his rally's, and Biden's rally's are so poorly attended?
If you see Biden's campaign rally they are restricting attendance to comply with the local/state regs regarding attendance and also ensuring that the attendees are socially distanced; Trump doesn't care and packs them in like sardines - he learned so much from his bout with it.
 

Gopher_In_NYC

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Texas is in play, my best friend out here is a Texican and there are numerous transplants who moved ther from both coasts - cheap land, lower taxes and cool cities like Austin and D/FW.

This stat shows the massive increase in new voters there and refers to youth voters (defined as 30 and under). Those of course skew D rather than R -

1603893419429.png
 

Go4Broke

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Go4Broke

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Polls of Midwestern states since the final debate

Polls conducted entirely (or mostly) after the Oct. 22 debate compared to the last poll from the same pollster


Biden lead
PollsterNowBeforechange
IARABA Research+4.0+2.0+2.0
MIABC News/Washington Post*+7.0+8.0-1.0
MIGlengariff Group+8.0+9.0-1.0
MIGravis Marketing+13.0+9.0+4.0
MINYT Upshot/Siena+8.0+8.0+0.0
MIReuters/Ipsos+9.5+8.0+1.5
MNGravis Marketing+14.0+16.0-2.0
WIABC News/Washington Post+17.0+6.0+11.0
WIGravis Marketing+11.0+8.0+3.0
WIMarquette Law School+5.0+5.0+0.0
Average+9.6+7.9+1.7

* The firm had not previously polled the state and the change is based on the FiveThirtyEight average as of the Oct. 22 debate.


Source: polls
 

jamiche

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Donald and his militias and his senators and his judges and his media outlets are going to have work harder than they thought to steal this thing. Pooti is riding fast to the rescue.
 

WhoFellDownTheGopherHole?

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Texas is in play, my best friend out here is a Texican and there are numerous transplants who moved ther from both coasts - cheap land, lower taxes and cool cities like Austin and D/FW.

This stat shows the massive increase in new voters there and refers to youth voters (defined as 30 and under). Those of course skew D rather than R -

View attachment 10029
Yep, and I suppose my peers are a bit older than that, but i know several 30-something Minnesotans who have transplanted in Texas in the last 5 years, predominantly in the Austin area, but a few in Houston also. All young (and mostly women) liberals.
 

justthefacts

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Inspite of all these fake polls designed to influence versus inform, Trump is still doing better in the battleground states this election than what was happening in the MSM's attempt to get Hillary elected back in 2016. This has got to have the lib's heads exploding (e.g., what's happening on this board). They've created fake stories about Trump, that the minions believe hook-line-and-sinker, shut down the country to try to stop Trump's economy from continuing to soar, impeached him over a fake hoax, and now all these fake polls, and Trump is still outdoing what was happening in 2016.

View attachment 9598
This 0.2 advantage that Trump had over 2016 seemed pretty important. Any idea what it's looking like now?
 

Bad Gopher

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I think Florida goes Biden, and I think that does it. Only a stolen election trumps that.
 

LesBolstad

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I think Florida goes Biden, and I think that does it. Only a stolen election trumps that.
Haha, ridiculous. Trump has Florida in the bank. How about a $500 bet on FLA? Loser donates to winner's charity of choice?
 

Plausible Deniability

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If Trump wins Florida, Georgia and North Carolina all 49-47, we don't have to wait for PA.
Reports are already streaming in, Harris/Biden ticket is doing AWESOME in California. They could win California by even more than Hillary.
 

Bad Gopher

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If Trump wins Florida, Georgia and North Carolina all 49-47, we don't have to wait for PA.
Florida will be on the strength of senior citizens, and they're going to be harder to disenfranchise than minority and poor voters.
 

Go4Broke

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Nate Silver: "[T]here are fewer undecided voters this year. In 2016, there were about 13 or 14 percent undecided plus third party; it’s around 6 percent this year. That’s a pretty big difference. Trump could win every undecided voter in these polls and he would still narrowly lose the Electoral College.

The reason [Biden] is way ahead in these polls is not because Democratic turnout is particularly high relative to GOP turnout — it’s because he’s winning independents by 15 points and moderates by 30 points. He’s winning back a fair number of Obama-Trump voters and keeping a fair number of Romney-Clinton voters. The story the polls are telling is that Biden is persuading the median voter not to back Donald Trump.

https://www.vox.com/21538214/nate-silver-538-2020-forecast-2016-trump-biden-election-podcast
 
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