oak_street1981
Well-known member
- Joined
- Nov 20, 2008
- Messages
- 3,562
- Reaction score
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- 83
Get the crying towels out for the MSM again, it is over.
Nice try vote suppressorShould be a breeze. I would not even bother to vote if I were you. Joe has this. It's over.
You shouldn’t drink and post comrade botGet the crying towels out for the MSM again, it is over.
I see your fave, Jason Lewis, is killing Tina Smith, just like you predicted. Ha, ha, ha, ha! I hardly see any ads from him on TV. I guess few are dumb enough to contribute to his campaign so he can't afford them.Get the crying towels out for the MSM again, it is over.
Trump wins the popular voteRegardless of whether he wins the Electoral College | 4 in 100 |
Biden wins the popular voteRegardless of whether he wins the Electoral College | 96 in 100 |
Trump wins more than 50% of the popular voteRegardless of whether he wins the Electoral College | 3 in 100 |
Biden wins more than 50% of the popular voteRegardless of whether he wins the Electoral College | 93 in 100 |
Trump wins in a landslideDefined as winning the popular vote by a double-digit margin | <1 in 100 |
Biden wins in a landslideDefined as winning the popular vote by a double-digit margin | 35 in 100 |
Trump wins the popular vote but loses the Electoral College | <1 in 100 |
Biden wins the popular vote but loses the Electoral College | 8 in 100 |
No one wins the Electoral CollegeNo candidate gets 270 electoral votes and Congress decides the election | <1 in 100 |
Trump wins at least one state that Clinton won in 2016 | 26 in 100 |
Biden wins at least one state that Trump won in 2016 | 96 in 100 |
The map stays exactly the same as it was in 2016Each candidate wins exactly the same states that his party won in 2016 | <1 in 100 |
The election hinges on a recountCandidates are within half a percentage point in one or more decisive states | 4 in 100 |
There's no outside money being wasted in MN. Right wing PACs and the RNC have stopped throwing good money after bad.I see your fave, Jason Lewis, is killing Tina Smith, just like you predicted. Ha, ha, ha, ha! I hardly see any ads from him on TV. I guess few are dumb enough to contribute to his campaign so he can't afford them.
Doubtful, but if Harrison could somehow kick Lindsay Graham, the most dishonest Senator in the land, out of the senate...in SOUTH CAROLINA...it would be almost as delicious as watching Biden top 300 electoral votes.
We'd all love to see that, of course. I won't believe it until I see it though. I remember a political scientist about 15 years ago saying that black candidates traditionally poll higher than their eventual numbers. One exception I can remember was Harold Ford, Jr. who actually did a bit better than his poll numbers against Bob Corker. Maybe things have changed, though, and in Graham's case, it's not hard to imagine enough voters being tired of his weaselly ways.Please, please, please let Graham Cracker lose
Good points - fingers crossedWe'd all love to see that, of course. I won't believe it until I see it though. I remember a political scientist about 15 years ago saying that black candidates traditionally poll higher than their eventual numbers. One exception I can remember was Harold Ford, Jr. who actually did a bit better than his poll numbers against Bob Corker. Maybe things have changed, though, and in Graham's case, it's not hard to imagine enough voters being tired of his weaselly ways.
Good. Looks like the people are using Graham's words against him.
Let Graham leave in disgrace with Trump.Doubtful, but if Harrison could somehow kick Lindsay Graham, the most dishonest Senator in the land, out of the senate...in SOUTH CAROLINA...it would be almost as delicious as watching Biden top 300 electoral votes.
That's striking info! All three of those states had a less than 1% margin for Trump in 2016 and almost no polls have shown him ahead since June. I think we can guess the 3 polls that showed Trump ahead (begins with "T" and ends with "R"). I'm particularly proud of PA, the home state of my birth and upbringing, for not showing a Trump lead in a single poll.Looking Good -
The first image (sourced from 538 and Harry Enten, the pollster who shared the data works for them) shows how many times Dump has lead since June in all the polls taken (this excludes non-partisan polls as those tend to be biased). The second image is why this is happening provides the "why", Dump's losing non-college educate white voters, Time to break out the Hail Mary's and the rosaries boyz -
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Keep Trumpin those lies Tess - will be beautiful when you shut yer yap after the election.Oh oh. Looks like the Biden strategy of staying locked in the basement sniffing panties is backfiring. The Chinese corruption 10 million payoff probably doesn't help as well.
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I was worried three weeks ago, but Trump is a one-trick pony and his lack of guile on how to campaign is so patently obvious, it's comical.That's striking info! All three of those states had a less than 1% margin for Trump in 2016 and almost no polls have shown him ahead since June. I think we can guess the 3 polls that showed Trump ahead (begins with "T" and ends with "R"). I'm particularly proud of PA, the home state of my birth and upbringing, for not showing a Trump lead in a single poll.
Tarflagger is all that matters! Every other poll is biased. Except Rasmussen. But only sometimes.That's striking info! All three of those states had a less than 1% margin for Trump in 2016 and almost no polls have shown him ahead since June. I think we can guess the 3 polls that showed Trump ahead (begins with "T" and ends with "R"). I'm particularly proud of PA, the home state of my birth and upbringing, for not showing a Trump lead in a single poll.
Also no Jill Stein & Gary Johnson (third party candidates this time around)Tarflagger is all that matters! Every other poll is biased. Except Rasmussen. But only sometimes.
Any updates on this?Inspite of all these fake polls designed to influence versus inform, Trump is still doing better in the battleground states this election than what was happening in the MSM's attempt to get Hillary elected back in 2016. This has got to have the lib's heads exploding (e.g., what's happening on this board). They've created fake stories about Trump, that the minions believe hook-line-and-sinker, shut down the country to try to stop Trump's economy from continuing to soar, impeached him over a fake hoax, and now all these fake polls, and Trump is still outdoing what was happening in 2016.
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Sure. Right now it's a 00.3% difference. But ask Howie, s/he's the expert on polls.Any updates on this?
Let's assume that these stats are accurate. Then why does Trump have such huge attendance at his rally's, and Biden's rally's are so poorly attended?New swing-state data shows massive Democratic early-vote lead
Democrats have opened up a yawning gap in early voting over Republicans in six of the most crucial battleground states — but that only begins to tell the story of their advantage heading into Election Day.
In a more worrisome sign for Republicans, Democrats are also turning out more low-frequency and newly registered voters than the GOP, according to internal data shared with POLITICO by Hawkfish, a new Democratic research firm, which was reviewed by Republicans and independent experts.
With 47 million votes already cast nationwide in more than half the states, according to the U.S. Election Project, and as many 100 million more or so to go, the election is now being decided.
But more than elsewhere, the presidency is expected to hinge on these six states. Here’s what they look like as of now, based on state data and Hawkfish’s analysis. It uses publicly available election data, and ascribes scores to voters that are based on demographic research to determine their likely level of support for a candidate:
Arizona
Total ballots cast of 4 million registered voters: 1.1 million for which Hawkfish has support scores. Biden: 58 percent. Trump: 42 percent.
Ballots cast by newly registered voters: 75,000. Biden: 57 percent. Trump: 43
2020 Ballots cast by sporadic voters (registered in 2016 and 2018 but didn’t vote): 41,000. Biden: 54 percent. Trump: 46 percent.
Florida
Total ballots cast of 14.4 million registered voters: 4.2 million for whom Hawkfish has support scores. Biden: 56 percent. Trump: 44 percent.
Ballots cast by newly registered voters: 422,000. Biden: 55 percent. Trump: 45 percent.
Ballots cast by sporadic voters: 174,000. Biden: 53 percent. Trump: 47 percent.
Michigan
Total ballots cast of 8.1 million registered voters: 1.8 million for whom Hawkfish has support scores. Biden: 62 percent. Trump: 38 percent.
Ballots cast by newly registered voters: 139,000. Biden: 63 percent. Trump: 37 percen
Ballots cast by sporadic voters: 96,000. Biden: 53 percent. Trump 47 percent.
North Carolina
Total ballots cast of 7.3 million registered voters: 2.1 million for whom Hawkfish has support scores. Biden: 57 percent. Trump: 43 percent.
Ballots cast by newly registered voters: 148,000. Biden: 60 percent. Trump: 40 percent
Ballots cast by sporadic voters: 61,000. Biden: 51 percent. Trump: 49 percent.
Pennsylvania
Total ballots cast of 9 million registered voters: 1.2 million for whom Hawkfish has support scores. Biden: 73 percent. Trump: 27 percent.
Ballots cast by newly registered voters: 57,000. Biden: 72 percent. Trump: 28 percent.
Ballots cast by sporadic voters: 88,000. Biden: 64 percent. Trump: 36 percent.
Wisconsin
Total ballots cast of 3.6 million registered voters: 844,000 for whom Hawkfish has support scores. Biden: 61 percent. Trump: 39 percent.
Ballots cast by newly registered voters: 66,000. Biden: 61 percent. Trump: 39 percent.
Ballots cast by sporadic voters: 10,000. Biden: 53 percent. Trump: 47 percent.
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/23/early-voting-numbers-swing-states-431363
Wild stab in the dark here, but maybe because Biden's fanbase isn't reckless enough to risk theirs and other people's safety for a shallow display of egotism?Let's assume that these stats are accurate. Then why does Trump have such huge attendance at his rally's, and Biden's rally's are so poorly attended?