- Nov 15, 2013
- Reaction score
What earlier point? That as cases rise, deaths rise; and as cases fall, deaths fall? That would be a brilliant deduction. B/c my point was that they don’t rise at the same rate b/c there are mitigating tactics and circumstances, which you seemed to challenge by showing the slopes of the line looking similar using two different scales. I don’t think I “misunderstood” anything.That Redfield number is backward looking and is certainly based on a complete dearth of testing for the first couple of months. He has never suggested that tests are currently catching only 10% of tests, especially since he said that a month and a half ago
(KGF completely misunderstood the earlier point and I'm hoping this post makes that clear as well)
And Redfield‘s assessment seems quite unambiguous from this late June WaPo article:
The number of people in the United States who have been infected with the coronavirus is likely to be 10 times as high as the 2.4 million confirmed cases, based on antibody tests, the head of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said Thursday.
CDC Director Robert Redfield’s estimate, shared with reporters in a conference call, indicates that at least 24 million Americans have been infected so far...
I believe the suggestion was that this was due to asymptomatic CV not being detected. Has that situation changed significantly?