New swing-state polls released: If the election was held today Biden would win in a landslide

beatles

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You may be correct, but you know that this is the same prediction in 2016, and Trump had no political track record in 2016.
He’s not running against the least popular nominee in history in 2020 like he did four years ago. Biden is consistently polling at or near 50% while Hillary was not.
 

howeda7

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You may be correct, but you know that this is the same prediction in 2016, and Trump had no political track record in 2016.
He was down 2-3 points to Hillary at this point in 2016 with 15% undecided/3rd party. Now he's down 7% with about 7% undecided/3rd party. It's not the same.
 

Bad Gopher

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The whole thing is crumbling for the Trump campaign, even besides his illness. With these polls, there's no plausible way they can claim a loss being a a result of election irregularities, and it's starting to appear unthinkable that any state, no matter how right wing, would override voting results and throw the country into a crisis. The only crack I can see is if Trump becomes incapacitated and there are states that try to delay or invalidate or fail to certify the presidential election on that basis.
 

Wally

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Does he think he is running against Obama?
The fever has really set in....
 

Go4Broke

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General Election: Trump vs. Biden


Polling Data
PollDateSampleMoEBiden (D)Trump (R)Spread
RCP Average9/22 - 10/5----51.342.1Biden +9.2
CNN10/1 - 10/41001 LV3.65741Biden +16
JTN/RMG Research*10/1 - 10/3763 LV3.55143Biden +8
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl9/30 - 10/1800 RV3.55339Biden +14
IBD/TIPP9/30 - 10/11030 LV3.54946Biden +3
The Hill/HarrisX9/30 - 10/1928 RV3.24740Biden +7
CNBC/Change Research (D)9/29 - 9/30925 LV3.25441Biden +13
Economist/YouGov9/27 - 9/301350 LV4.05042Biden +8
USC Dornsife9/22 - 10/54914 LV--5342Biden +11
Reuters/Ipsos9/25 - 9/29864 LV3.85142Biden +9
Rasmussen Reports9/23 - 9/293000 LV2.05143Biden +8
Monmouth*9/24 - 9/27809 LV3.55045Biden +5
NY Times/Siena9/22 - 9/24950 LV3.54941Biden +8
 

justthefacts

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You really have to hand it to the genius of these shy Trump voters. They're so afraid of the frequent murders of people who say they'll vote for Trump that they say they're going to vote for Biden but then throw everyone off by saying they voted for Trump in 2016. Diabolical.

 

Go4Broke

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Bad Gopher

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Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona

Top Battlegrounds10/649.044.8Biden +4.2
FloridaOctober 6th47.945.6Biden +2.3
PennsylvaniaOctober 6th50.844.2Biden +6.6
MichiganOctober 6th48.642.8Biden +5.8
WisconsinOctober 6th50.244.2Biden +6.0
North CarolinaOctober 6th48.046.8Biden +1.2
ArizonaOctober 6th48.645.2Biden +3.4







RCP National Average | Top Battlegrounds vs. 2016 Top Battlegrounds
Florida + Pennsylvania = stick a fork in him.
 

Go4Broke

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Trump: Favorable/Unfavorable
PollDateSampleFavorableUnfavorableSpread
RCP Average9/17 - 10/4--41.754.9-13.2
CNN10/1 - 10/41095 RV4058-18
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl9/30 - 10/1800 RV3955-16
Economist/YouGov9/27 - 9/301350 LV4357-14
NY Times/Siena9/22 - 9/24950 LV4453-9
Harvard-Harris9/22 - 9/241314 RV4451-7
Emerson9/22 - 9/231000 LV4253-11
CNBC/Change Research (D)9/18 - 9/201430 LV4057-17
Quinnipiac9/17 - 9/211302 LV4155-14
Politico/Morning Consult9/18 - 9/201989 RV4255-13
All Trump: Favorable/Unfavorable Polling Data


Biden: Favorable/Unfavorable
PollDateSampleFavorableUnfavorableSpread
RCP Average9/17 - 10/4--48.144.8+3.3
CNN10/1 - 10/41095 RV5443+11
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl9/30 - 10/1800 RV4341+2
Economist/YouGov9/27 - 9/301350 LV4949Tie
NY Times/Siena9/22 - 9/24950 LV5244+8
Harvard-Harris9/22 - 9/241314 RV4845+3
Emerson9/22 - 9/231000 LV4642+4
CNBC/Change Research (D)9/18 - 9/201430 LV4848Tie
Quinnipiac9/17 - 9/211302 LV4545Tie
Politico/Morning Consult9/18 - 9/201989 RV4846+2
All Biden: Favorable/Unfavorable Polling Data
 

Go4Broke

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Betting Odds - 2020 U.S. President

RCP Average10/161.037.5
BetssonOctober 2nd5942
BovadaOctober 2nd6238
SmarketsOctober 2nd6232
VbetOctober 2nd6138







 

Gopher_In_NYC

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General Election: Trump vs. Biden


Polling Data
PollDateSampleMoEBiden (D)Trump (R)Spread
RCP Average9/22 - 10/5----51.342.1Biden +9.2
CNN10/1 - 10/41001 LV3.65741Biden +16
JTN/RMG Research*10/1 - 10/3763 LV3.55143Biden +8
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl9/30 - 10/1800 RV3.55339Biden +14
IBD/TIPP9/30 - 10/11030 LV3.54946Biden +3
The Hill/HarrisX9/30 - 10/1928 RV3.24740Biden +7
CNBC/Change Research (D)9/29 - 9/30925 LV3.25441Biden +13
Economist/YouGov9/27 - 9/301350 LV4.05042Biden +8
USC Dornsife9/22 - 10/54914 LV--5342Biden +11
Reuters/Ipsos9/25 - 9/29864 LV3.85142Biden +9
Rasmussen Reports9/23 - 9/293000 LV2.05143Biden +8
Monmouth*9/24 - 9/27809 LV3.55045Biden +5
NY Times/Siena9/22 - 9/24950 LV3.54941Biden +8
THE ROUTE IS ON.

BYE BYE SENATE

HELLO: PEACE, EQUALITY AND PATRIOTISM


Here's some info from the CNN Poll where the support breaks down by demographic group -

Gee I wonder which group the majority of our tinfoil hat brethren fit into -


1601988890667.png



1601988802503.png
 

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cjbfbp

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This poll is clearly an outlier.
Yes, 16 points seems too high. However, looking at the age group breakdown, the only one that seems seriously inflated is the 65+. I could believe that Biden has a small lead in that age group but 21 points seems unlikely. Many of the other polls I've seen show the 50-64 age group leaning toward Trump.
 

KillerGopherFan

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But I thought nobody was going to change their minds? There were no undecided voters.

Whatever the narrative of the day says.

CNN and NBC oversample Dems a little more and have a new narrative.
 

Livingat45north

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CNN releases a poll where only 28% of the respondents were Republican voters. Naturally the libs jump on it, because everything on CNN, just like everything Anonymous Buritto posts on Twitter, is true.
 

bga1

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CNN releases a poll where only 28% of the respondents were Republican voters. Naturally the libs jump on it, because everything on CNN, just like everything Anonymous Buritto posts on Twitter, is true.
This is what you produce when everyone already knows that you have no integrity. They no longer have anything to lose. They are 100% a shill outlet and the poll is purely intended to gaslight.
 

bga1

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THE ROUTE IS ON.

BYE BYE SENATE

HELLO: PEACE, EQUALITY AND PATRIOTISM


Here's some info from the CNN Poll where the support breaks down by demographic group -

Gee I wonder which group the majority of our tinfoil hat brethren fit into -


View attachment 9590



View attachment 9588
No doubt about it....everyone knows that seniors age 65+ are going to vote overwhelmingly for Biden!
 

howeda7

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But I thought nobody was going to change their minds? There were no undecided voters.

Whatever the narrative of the day says.

CNN and NBC oversample Dems a little more and have a new narrative.
Skewwed! Few do. This poll is an outlier. Biden's probably only up by 10.
 
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