We'll never know and there's no way to prove it, but I think the classic example of that, at least this year is Jarvis Omersa vs. Parker Fox. Reverse their roles coming out of high school, might Omersa be the guy mulling over several offers having dominated at D-II vs. seemingly an afterthought on the transfer market (I could be wrong about that, but I've seen little noise re: Omersa and his next destination).
Seems like you could extend this out to so much of what happens in life for people between the ages of 16-25--experience some success, gain in confidence and maturity and you are able to work your up that ladder. Start at a higher rung and struggle, lose confidence and gain self-doubt and it's tough to break the idea that you're a disappointment.
Regarding Omersa, I think he might get an offer somewhere with the expectation that he could be a decent, active, blue-collar defensive type. His advanced stats for things like rebounds, steals, and blocks are pretty good.