Field of 68: Gophers Sit Roughly 5 Spots Below Bubble Cutline

SelectionSunday

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 12, 2008
Messages
22,055
Reaction score
273
Points
83
With 4 weeks remaining in the regular season, the Gophers remain just outside of my Field of 68 projection. I have the Maroon & Gold among the "first 8 out", roughly 5 spots below the bubble cutline. At some point they need to distance themselves from their .500ish overall record (currently 12-11). The hunch here is the Gophers need to be at least 3 games over .500 on Selection Sunday if they intend to earn an at-large bid.

The Big Ten leads all conferences with 10 teams projected into the field. The Big East is next with 6, followed by the Big XII, Pac 12, and SEC with 5 each. Other conferences currently projecting to receive multiple bids are the ACC (4), American (3), Atlantic 10 (3), WCC (3), and SoCon (2).

The current conference leader in a multiple-bid conference is noted with an *.

FIELD OF 68 (through games played Feb. 9)
America East (1): Vermont (83)

American (3): *Houston (29), Cincinnati (46), Wichita State (50)

ACC (4): Duke (6), *Louisville (7), Florida State (13), Virginia (52)

ASUN (1): North Florida (178)

Atlantic 10 (3): *Dayton (5), VCU (35), Rhode Island (36)

Big East (6): *Seton Hall (12), Butler (14), Marquette (17), Villanova (18), Creighton (24), Xavier (44)

Big Sky (1): Montana (144)

Big South (1): Winthrop (121)

Big Ten (10): *Maryland (8), Michigan State (11), Penn State (19), Ohio State (21), Purdue (26), Iowa (28), Rutgers (31), Michigan (32), Wisconsin (33), Illinois (34)

Big XII (5): *Baylor (3), Kansas (4), West Virginia (9), Texas Tech (20), Oklahoma (49)

Big West (1): UC-Irvine (116)

Colonial (1): Hofstra (131)

Conference USA (1): North Texas (90)

Horizon (1): Wright State (123)

Ivy (1): Yale (57)

MAAC (1): Rider (195)

MAC (1): Bowling Green (155)

MEAC (1): North Carolina A&T (265)

Missouri Valley (1): Northern Iowa (37)

Mountain West (1): San Diego State (1)

NEC (1): Robert Morris (213)

OVC (1): Murray State (138)

Pac 12 (5): Arizona (10), *Colorado (16), Oregon (25), USC (47), Arizona State (54)

Patriot (1): Colgate (122)

SEC (5): *Auburn (15), Kentucky (22), LSU (27), Arkansas (38), Florida (45)

SoCon (2): East Tennessee State (43), *Furman (72)

Southland (1): Stephen F. Austin (84)

SWAC (1): Prairie View A&M (191)

Summit (1): South Dakota State (125)

Sun Belt (1): Little Rock (137)

WCC (3): *Gonzaga (2), BYU (23), Saint Mary's (39)

WAC (1): New Mexico State (114)
_______________________________________
Last 4 In: Oklahoma (49), Wichita State (50), Virginia (52), Arizona State (54)

First 8 Out: Stanford (30), Minnesota (40), Mississippi State (41), Alabama (42), Utah State (48), Georgetown (53), Richmond (55), Memphis (59)

Non-Power 7 At-Larges (5): BYU (23), VCU (35), Rhode Island (36), Saint Mary's (39), East Tennessee State (43)
______________________________
Movin' On In (9): Arizona State, Cincinnati, Hofstra, Montana, Murray State, Prairie View A&M, Rider, Texas Tech, VCU

Movin' On Out (9): Austin Peay, Eastern Washington, Indiana, Memphis, Monmouth, Stanford, Texas Southern, Tulsa, William & Mary

Next Field of 68 Update: Monday, February 17
 
Last edited:

PMWinSTP

Well-known member
Joined
Oct 11, 2015
Messages
8,713
Reaction score
313
Points
83
What is Pitinos status if Gophs miss tourney?
 

Parcival

Active member
Joined
Apr 15, 2019
Messages
432
Reaction score
240
Points
43
Really...thanks for sharing. Too controversial for a thread about making the tourney. Interesting.
A whole thread could be devoted to talking about Pitino's future with this team. No need to derail this one.
 

SelectionSunday

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 12, 2008
Messages
22,055
Reaction score
273
Points
83
Really...thanks for sharing. Too controversial for a thread about making the tourney. Interesting.
You’re welcome! I would just prefer this not turn into another pissing match about Pitino. This is about the bracket, not about Pitino. We have enough pissing matches on GopherHole to last a lifetime, we don’t need another one!
 

Gophers7NatTitlesBadgers0

New Orleans 2020
Joined
Jul 27, 2013
Messages
6,427
Reaction score
158
Points
63
How bad is MBB this year when a just over .500 team still has a decent chance to go dancing at this point in the season.
 

Cayman

Well-known member
Joined
Sep 26, 2010
Messages
3,685
Reaction score
31
Points
48
Are Ohio State and Michigan still comfortably in because of quality non-conference wins? Purdue up above the bubble after beating Iowa?
 

SelectionSunday

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 12, 2008
Messages
22,055
Reaction score
273
Points
83
Are Ohio State and Michigan still comfortably in because of quality non-conference wins? Purdue up above the bubble after beating Iowa?
OSU and Michigan just need to avoid imploding and they’ll get in. As you said, that’s where getting quality non-conference wins comes into play.

Purdue had a huge week with the Iowa win + the win at Indiana. I definitely have the Boilers above the bubble at this point.
 

GameDay

Active member
Joined
Feb 17, 2013
Messages
2,401
Reaction score
16
Points
38
Hoping that’s not THE RESULT that keeps Gophers out. Still stings.
I think if they miss it'll be easy to point to that game (and that's fair), but the loss at home to DePaul is the one that'll especially sting in my mind.

On the flip, crazy to think that if the Utah, DePaul, and Purdue games had flipped ever so slightly differently, we'd be looking at a 7-8 seeded team right now.
 

Go Gophs

Active member
Joined
Jan 16, 2009
Messages
626
Reaction score
55
Points
28
I'm sorry guys, but I just don't see this as a season the Gophers make the dance. They are way too inconsistent. I have a question though, when Ohio State pretty well loses the rest of their games here coming up and the Gophers go 3-4. Are we in?
 

Ope3

Well-known member
Joined
Dec 12, 2008
Messages
1,273
Reaction score
101
Points
63
No, unless they win the Big Ten Tournament.
Maybe this is far fetched, but say the Gophers go 3-4 but a couple of the wins are on the road then win 3 (or 4 if playing on Wednesday) to get to the Big 10 title game. 18-16, puncher's chance? I would think that would rack up quite a few Quad 1 & 2s.
 

MplsGopher

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 4, 2017
Messages
9,130
Reaction score
912
Points
113
SoCon with two?? That’s BS. Why does a low-major ever deserve more than one bid.
 

SelectionSunday

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 12, 2008
Messages
22,055
Reaction score
273
Points
83
SoCon with two?? That’s BS. Why does a low-major ever deserve more than one bid.
The best team (#43 NET East Tennessee State) currently is tied for first place with Furman, but Furman would be the #1 seed in SoCon tourney because of head to head. At this point I'd say ETSU and Northern Iowa are the mid-majors from traditionally 1-bid leagues with the best chance to receive at-large bids if they don't win their conference tourney.
 

SelectionSunday

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 12, 2008
Messages
22,055
Reaction score
273
Points
83
Maybe this is far fetched, but say the Gophers go 3-4 but a couple of the wins are on the road then win 3 (or 4 if playing on Wednesday) to get to the Big 10 title game. 18-16, puncher's chance? I would think that would rack up quite a few Quad 1 & 2s.
Sure, anything's possible! I tend to evaluate scenarios that only involve a bubble team advancing as far as the conference tourney semis. That's usually where they peter out.
 

MplsGopher

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 4, 2017
Messages
9,130
Reaction score
912
Points
113
The best team (#43 NET East Tennessee State) currently is tied for first place with Furman, but Furman would be the #1 seed in SoCon tourney because of head to head. At this point I'd say ETSU and Northern Iowa are the mid-majors from traditionally 1-bid leagues with the best chance to receive at-large bids if they don't win their conference tourney.
I’m sure you’re technically correct about those teams. But SoCon is a low major. It’s on the same level as the Summit League.

If a great team from the Summit or SoCon loses their conf tourny: too f’ing bad. You missed your one ticket. You don’t get to take away a spot from a more deserving high major.
 

bizzle22

Well-known member
Joined
Apr 17, 2016
Messages
1,804
Reaction score
37
Points
48
We differ on two. I have Memphis and Indiana IN. I have Furman (with the same difference in how we do the conference champ as last week) and VCU OUT.

Last Four IN: Florida, Indiana, Memphis, Virginia
First Four OUT: NC State, Georgetown, Minnesota, VCU

FWIW, I also would have ETSU IN as an at-large.
 

SelectionSunday

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 12, 2008
Messages
22,055
Reaction score
273
Points
83
We differ on two. I have Memphis and Indiana IN. I have Furman (with the same difference in how we do the conference champ as last week) and VCU OUT.

Last Four IN: Florida, Indiana, Memphis, Virginia
First Four OUT: NC State, Georgetown, Minnesota, VCU

FWIW, I also would have ETSU IN as an at-large.
ETSU definitely has a legit shot to get an at-large.
 

Gold Vision

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 20, 2008
Messages
5,258
Reaction score
57
Points
48
What’s the lowest KenPom rating a team has had that missed the dance? Gophers currently sitting at 31 in KenPom and 40 in the Net.
 
Top Bottom