Back to 17 wins to be “completely safe” heading to BTT

skiumah1

Well-known member
Joined
Feb 19, 2020
Messages
997
Reaction score
639
Points
93
And the humans have put teams with lower conference records above teams with better conference records FROM THE SAME CONFERENCE
haha alright I'm not saying it's never happened. I'm just saying if it's close, I'd rather be the team higher in the standings
 

SelectionSunday

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 12, 2008
Messages
22,446
Reaction score
646
Points
113
Folks, please note, I'm officially changing the win number (prior to Big Ten Tournament) to 16. All signs are that the game @ Nebraska will not be made up, as preference for making up postponed games first goes to teams the Cornhuskers have yet to play. If we hear an announcement that the game will be made up, I'll switch things back to their original form in the initial post.

So all I'm going to do is, eliminate the game @ Nebraska off the "Must Win" bucket and change that bucket to "go 7-1", which the Gophers already have accomplished by starting 7-0. In case you're wondering, I think it's important to allow a loss in the "Must Win" bucket because in most seasons a team simply isn't going to beat everyone they're supposed to. But if they do, it potentially allows a team some margin for error in the other buckets. Got all that? ;)
 
Last edited:

WriterGoph

Well-known member
Joined
Jan 21, 2009
Messages
3,857
Reaction score
2,173
Points
113
Thanks for adjusting to 16 wins, SS.

It's kinda funny though, as someone in this thread earlier this week was saying (paraphrasing) that it would be embarrassing to get into the tournament with 15 wins. In reality, 15 wins this year with a Big Ten schedule, very likely puts on firmly on the right side of the bubble
 

tjgopher

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 21, 2008
Messages
4,675
Reaction score
369
Points
83
All signs are that the game @ Nebraska will not be made up
I wouldn't assume that.

Nebraska doesn't have a game currently scheduled between Feb 21-27.

Minnesota doesn't have a game currently scheduled between Feb 21-26.

It is clear the Big Ten is going to make Nebraska play as many as they can, including a back-to-back next week at Maryland.
 
Last edited:

Otis

Well-known member
Joined
Aug 13, 2014
Messages
4,171
Reaction score
923
Points
113
Well they won one i thought they’d lose last night.
Although i did say Gabe likes afternoon games!
 
Joined
Oct 10, 2010
Messages
33
Reaction score
2
Points
8
I wouldn't assume that.

Nebraska doesn't have a game currently scheduled between Feb 21-27.

Minnesota doesn't have a game currently scheduled between Feb 21-26.

It is clear the Big Ten is going to make Nebraska play as many as they can, including a back-to-back next week at Maryland.

According to ESPN, Nebraska has a make up game at Illinois on 24 February.

Nebraska has no games scheduled between 27 Feb and 7 March. Perhaps the Gophers schedule can be adjusted to fit a game during that period. Minnesota currently has games on 3 March and 6 March.
 

tmvander

Well-known member
Joined
Oct 25, 2012
Messages
1,855
Reaction score
869
Points
113
According to ESPN, Nebraska has a make up game at Illinois on 24 February.

Nebraska has no games scheduled between 27 Feb and 7 March. Perhaps the Gophers schedule can be adjusted to fit a game during that period. Minnesota currently has games on 3 March and 6 March.
I think I read that they were going to move that Illinois game into early March but I could be wrong.
 

Otis

Well-known member
Joined
Aug 13, 2014
Messages
4,171
Reaction score
923
Points
113
I think the y will make up the nebby game in Indianapolis Tuesday of the B1G tournament week! Lol
 

GameDay

Well-known member
Joined
Feb 17, 2013
Messages
2,538
Reaction score
209
Points
63
The path to clinching bid before B1G Tourney time seems quite simple given teams on the bubble struggling right now, correct SS?

2 home wins + 1 road win, OR go 3-0 at home the rest of the way. Do-able, but certainly not a shoe-in. Will have to earn that.
 

forever a gopher

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 20, 2008
Messages
1,609
Reaction score
564
Points
113
I would assume the most likely scenario is they go 3-3 the rest of the way.

L @ MD
L @ IND
L vs. ILL
W vs. NW
W @ PSU
W vs. Rutgers

Based on your assessment, that puts them in. So sitting at about a 10 seed? Which would pit them against a 7 seed. Which looks like a B1G comparison would be a Rutgers/Purdue level team, which would give them at least a decent chance at winning a game.
 

tjgopher

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 21, 2008
Messages
4,675
Reaction score
369
Points
83
According to ESPN, Nebraska has a make up game at Illinois on 24 February.

Nebraska has no games scheduled between 27 Feb and 7 March. Perhaps the Gophers schedule can be adjusted to fit a game during that period. Minnesota currently has games on 3 March and 6 March.
Not sure what Nebraska schedule you're looking at. They play Purdue on Feb 20 and they play Rutgers on Feb. 28. No currently scheduled games in between.

Nebraska has a rescheduled game vs. Illinois the first week of March. Not on February 24th.

As I mentioned, Nebraska has no games between Feb 21-27.

If I had to guess, I would say Nebraska will play Iowa and Minnesota in makeup games between Feb 21-27 and then play makeup games against Purdue and Illinois between March 1-5.

The Cornhuskers are going to play about 14 games in about 29 days.
 
Last edited:

howeda7

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 22, 2008
Messages
51,084
Reaction score
8,499
Points
113
I would assume the most likely scenario is they go 3-3 the rest of the way.

L @ MD
L @ IND
L vs. ILL
W vs. NW
W @ PSU
W vs. Rutgers

Based on your assessment, that puts them in. So sitting at about a 10 seed? Which would pit them against a 7 seed. Which looks like a B1G comparison would be a Rutgers/Purdue level team, which would give them at least a decent chance at winning a game.
If it goes that way, the next week won't be much fun and we'll out of all brackets for awhile.
 

forever a gopher

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 20, 2008
Messages
1,609
Reaction score
564
Points
113
If it goes that way, the next week won't be much fun and we'll out of all brackets for awhile.
IND seems like it should be a toss-up, but I don't think you can trust this team in any capacity on the road. Which makes neutral site games intriguing as to how they'll do. Will it be like their road games? Or for some reason different?
 

Holy Man

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 12, 2008
Messages
3,901
Reaction score
351
Points
83
IND seems like it should be a toss-up, but I don't think you can trust this team in any capacity on the road. Which makes neutral site games intriguing as to how they'll do. Will it be like their road games? Or for some reason different?
This team can't be trusted in any capacity, road or home. I think the road game at PSU is a land mine. Would be great to see them pick up one of Maryland and Indiana, both of which they have played reasonably well in the recent past. Maryland is a bad match-up, but we also owe them one. Indiana has talent but they are beatable on any night and is a better match up.
 
Joined
Oct 10, 2010
Messages
33
Reaction score
2
Points
8
Not sure what Nebraska schedule you're looking at. They play Purdue on Feb 20 and they play Rutgers on Feb. 28. No currently scheduled games in between.

Nebraska has a rescheduled game vs. Illinois the first week of March. Not on February 24th.

As I mentioned, Nebraska has no games between Feb 21-27.

If I had to guess, I would say Nebraska will play Iowa and Minnesota in makeup games between Feb 21-27 and then play makeup games against Purdue and Illinois between March 1-5.

The Cornhuskers are going to play about 14 games in about 29 days.
ESPN hasn't updated Nebraska's schedule following the announced rescheduling of the 24 February game.
 

howeda7

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 22, 2008
Messages
51,084
Reaction score
8,499
Points
113
ESPN hasn't updated Nebraska's schedule following the announced rescheduling of the 24 February game.
Nebraska's website shows they have no game between 2/20 and 2/27 and neither do we. It would make sense for them to make up 1/2 home games that week.
 

Northeastgopher

Active member
Joined
Nov 9, 2019
Messages
76
Reaction score
103
Points
33
This team can't be trusted in any capacity, road or home. I think the road game at PSU is a land mine. Would be great to see them pick up one of Maryland and Indiana, both of which they have played reasonably well in the recent past. Maryland is a bad match-up, but we also owe them one. Indiana has talent but they are beatable on any night and is a better match up.
Penn state is actually ranked higher in Ken Pom than us shockingly. I don’t buy it but they may be better than their record indicates.
 
Last edited:

Go Gophs

Well-known member
Joined
Jan 16, 2009
Messages
905
Reaction score
255
Points
63
IND seems like it should be a toss-up, but I don't think you can trust this team in any capacity on the road. Which makes neutral site games intriguing as to how they'll do. Will it be like their road games? Or for some reason different?
Not a toss up by any means. Indiana will be favored in this game by 5-6 and I would expect the Gophers to lose by roughly 15. Just put an L on every road game from here on out. They won't win on the road, that is pretty much certain.

People thinking we will beat Illinois at home here also haven't watched enough of this team. They play excellent defense and we struggle to get good shots against mediocre D. My guess is that Illinois game is a loser by roughly 10.
 

MplsGopher

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 4, 2017
Messages
21,379
Reaction score
4,664
Points
113
In reality it 100% was. We won one and lost one against them. 50/50. Exactly a coin flip.
You think Gophers would win 50 out of 100 times, if we played them? That's what 50/50 actually means.

No chance. I could see 10 out of 100.
 
Top Bottom