That sounds like a strong prediction if they end the regular season 16-11. However, if they do that, they will have achieved 16 wins at the end of the regular season by virtue of playing three of last four against teams with overall losing records. If they lose the first game of the Big Ten tournament to Maryland, Indiana, or Rutgers that won't advance their cause. The magnitude of their losses (9 double digit losses) is as impressive as their quality wins and there are more of them.

Except those losses aren't terrible in comparison to the other bubble teams.

Losing at the BTT to Maryland (#31), Indiana (#53) or Rutgers (#30) is a Quad 1 loss.

That's the beauty of playing in the toughest league in the country.

We are about to play the four worst teams in the Big Ten, but in relative terms, they are all Top 150 teams.

Northwestern (#96) is a Quad 3 game

Nebraska (#143) is a Quad 3 game.

Penn State (#39) is a Quad 1 game.

Rutgers (#30) is a Quad 1 game.

There are bubble teams playing Net Ranked teams in the #200s and #300s.

For example, Minnesota's final four games come against Net Ranked teams #96, #143, #39, and #30.

Other bubble teams last four games:

St. Bonaventure: #82, #92, #146, #92

Xavier: #80, #20, #99, #86

Colorado State: #317, #317, #304, #190

Western Kentucky: #296, #296, #136, #136

Stanford: #186, #121, #47, #94

Seton Hall: #77, #130, #41, #99

Louisville: #73, #15, #51, #49