What do you think the line will be for the Purdue game?

What will the line be for the Purdue game?

  • Purdue -4+

    Votes: 12 16.2%
  • Purdue -3

    Votes: 17 23.0%
  • Purdue -2

    Votes: 8 10.8%
  • Purdue -1

    Votes: 3 4.1%
  • Pickem

    Votes: 6 8.1%
  • Gophers -1

    Votes: 5 6.8%
  • Gophers-2

    Votes: 9 12.2%
  • Gophers -3

    Votes: 10 13.5%
  • Gophers -4

    Votes: 1 1.4%
  • Gophers -5+

    Votes: 3 4.1%

  • Total voters
    74

Hollinsanity

Active member
I recently built a website that takes four well-respected advanced models (SP+, FPI, Massey and Entropy), blends them together, predicts the margin for each game and simulates the entire season week by week.

The blended line, including the 2.5 point adjustment for home field advantage, has the Gophers as 1.5 point favorites.

Sounds about right to me, line will likely fall in the Purdue -1 to Gophers -3 range.

Check out the simulations and projected margins by game for yourself:

https://www.simulations.run/


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 

A_Slab_of_Bacon

Active member
I recently built a website that takes four well-respected advanced models (SP+, FPI, Massey and Entropy), blends them together, predicts the margin for each game and simulates the entire season week by week.

The blended line, including the 2.5 point adjustment for home field advantage, has the Gophers as 1.5 point favorites.

Sounds about right to me, line will likely fall in the Purdue -1 to Gophers -3 range.

Check out the simulations and projected margins by game for yourself:

https://www.simulations.run/


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Didn't think I'd find another web dev on all places here... but anyway nice site.
 

fmlizard

Active member
I recently built a website that takes four well-respected advanced models (SP+, FPI, Massey and Entropy), blends them together, predicts the margin for each game and simulates the entire season week by week.

The blended line, including the 2.5 point adjustment for home field advantage, has the Gophers as 1.5 point favorites.

Sounds about right to me, line will likely fall in the Purdue -1 to Gophers -3 range.

Check out the simulations and projected margins by game for yourself:

https://www.simulations.run/
As a design pro, I appreciate the attention to detail in this project - a nice improvement on most other rankings systems and tools I have seen. Those tools tend to be put together by stat-heads who prefer the "huge dump of data" method of communication. Nice work!
 

Spoofin

Active member
I recently built a website that takes four well-respected advanced models (SP+, FPI, Massey and Entropy), blends them together, predicts the margin for each game and simulates the entire season week by week.

The blended line, including the 2.5 point adjustment for home field advantage, has the Gophers as 1.5 point favorites.

Sounds about right to me, line will likely fall in the Purdue -1 to Gophers -3 range.

Check out the simulations and projected margins by game for yourself:

https://www.simulations.run/


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Wow. I usually watch Netflix in my free time.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 

hello-world

Active member
I recently built a website that takes four well-respected advanced models (SP+, FPI, Massey and Entropy), blends them together, predicts the margin for each game and simulates the entire season week by week.

The blended line, including the 2.5 point adjustment for home field advantage, has the Gophers as 1.5 point favorites.

Sounds about right to me, line will likely fall in the Purdue -1 to Gophers -3 range.

Check out the simulations and projected margins by game for yourself:

https://www.simulations.run/


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Awesome!
 

gall0249

Member
I recently built a website that takes four well-respected advanced models (SP+, FPI, Massey and Entropy), blends them together, predicts the margin for each game and simulates the entire season week by week.

The blended line, including the 2.5 point adjustment for home field advantage, has the Gophers as 1.5 point favorites.

Sounds about right to me, line will likely fall in the Purdue -1 to Gophers -3 range.

Check out the simulations and projected margins by game for yourself:

https://www.simulations.run/


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Is home field in college really 2.5 pts? I would have put it at 4-5 points? NFL is 2.5-3 points and I would think it would be more in college.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 

die hard gopher

Active member
Is home field in college really 2.5 pts? I would have put it at 4-5 points? NFL is 2.5-3 points and I would think it would be more in college.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
IMO I think home field should count for a lot less when playing at a place like Purdue or Ryan Field compared to OSU or Nebraska, and 11 AM start should give home field less of an advantage than a big night game.
 

A_Slab_of_Bacon

Active member
As a design pro, I appreciate the attention to detail in this project - a nice improvement on most other rankings systems and tools I have seen. Those tools tend to be put together by stat-heads who prefer the "huge dump of data" method of communication. Nice work!
There is often a lot of "I put a lot of stuff in my blender and this came out" ... and everything is kinda a mystery.
 

Latest profile posts

Top