Welcome to the Field of 68 Projection, Minnesota Gophers

SelectionSunday

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 12, 2008
Messages
24,328
Reaction score
4,322
Points
113
NORTHWOOD, IOWA -- Fresh off its third straight true road win, this one over Michigan in Ann Arbor, my fourth in-season Field of 68 projection welcomes the Minnesota Golden Gophers and 14 other new teams to our tournament field. This is our first projection using the NCAA’s NET rankings, which on Monday the NCAA started releasing daily. Also, for the first time, the projection now focuses primarily on tournament resumes, and is no longer a projection of future results. Brand names, beware!

The Big East, Big Ten, and Big XII lead our current field with 7 bids apiece. Among the non-Power 6 conferences, the WCC is having a strong non-conference showing, with 4 teams currently in the field.

Automatic qualifiers (team with best conference record and/or best KenPom ranking) from multiple-bid conferences are noted in bold.

IN-SEASON FIELD OF 68 PROJECTION #4 (through games played December 11)
America East (1): Vermont (104)

American (2): Houston (4), Cincinnati (47)

ACC (4): Duke (10), Wake Forest (31), Virginia Tech (32), North Carolina (33)

ASUN (1): Jacksonville (143)

Atlantic 10 (2): Davidson (53), Saint Bonaventure (81)

Big East (7): Villanova (5), UConn (14), Xavier (15), Seton Hall (22), Providence (39),Creighton (58), Marquette (76)

Big Sky (1): Weber (91)

Big South (1): Campbell (92)

Big Ten (7): Purdue (6), Michigan State (16), Ohio State (19), Wisconsin (27), Illinois (35), Minnesota (36), Michigan (49)

Big XII (7): Baylor (3), Kansas (7), Iowa State (17), Texas Tech (20), Texas (24), Oklahoma (38), West Virginia (57)

Big West (1): UC-Irvine (54)

Colonial (1): Towson (74)

Conference USA (1): UAB (29)

Horizon (1): Oakland (59)

Ivy (1): Princeton (108)

MAAC (2): Monmouth (43), Iona (56)

MAC (1): Buffalo (73)

MEAC (1): UMES (181)

Missouri Valley (1): Loyola (18)

Mountain West (3): Wyoming (21), Colorado State (25), Utah State (45)

NEC (1): Wagner (48)

OVC (1): Belmont (37)

Pac 12 (3): Arizona (1), USC (11), UCLA (23)

Patriot (1): Navy (77)

SEC (6): LSU (2), Tennessee (9), Auburn (12), Alabama (13), Florida (44), Arkansas (67)

SoCon (1): Chattanooga (26)

Southland (1): Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (155)

SWAC (1): Texas Southern (191)

Summit (1): Western Illinois (79)

Sun Belt (1): South Alabama (66)

WCC (4): Gonzaga (8), San Francisco (28), BYU (30), Saint Mary’s (40)

WAC (1): Utah Valley (83)
______________________________
Last 4 In: Virginia Tech (32), Michigan (49), Iona (56), Creighton (58)

First 4 Out: Iowa (34), Indiana (50), Kentucky (52), New Mexico State (85)

6 to Watch: Northwestern (41), Washington State (42), Murray State (46), DePaul (51), TCU (64), Florida State (82)

Non-Power 6 At-Large Bids (8): Colorado State (25), San Francisco (28), BYU (30), Saint Mary’s (40), Utah State (45), Cincinnati (47), Iona (56), Saint Bonaventure (81)

New to the Field (15): Chattanooga, Creighton, Davidson, Jacksonville, Minnesota, Monmouth, Princeton, South Alabama, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, Towson, UMES, Utah Valley, Virginia Tech, Western Illinois, Wyoming

Dropped from the Field (15): Cornell, Furman, Georgia State, Hofstra, Howard, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Liberty, Louisville, New Mexico State, Nicholls, South Dakota State, Syracuse, Virginia
_____________________________
Ineligible for NCAA Tournament (9): Oklahoma State (61), UC-San Diego (113), Cal Baptist (161), Saint Thomas (202), Bellarmine (249), Dixie (253), North Alabama (257), Merrimack (269), Tarleton (281)
 



NORTHWOOD, IOWA -- Fresh off its third straight true road win, this one over Michigan in Ann Arbor, my fourth in-season Field of 68 projection welcomes the Minnesota Golden Gophers and 14 other new teams to our tournament field. This is our first projection using the NCAA’s NET rankings, which on Monday the NCAA started releasing daily. Also, for the first time, the projection now focuses primarily on tournament resumes, and is no longer a projection of future results. Brand names, beware!

The Big East, Big Ten, and Big XII lead our current field with 7 bids apiece. Among the non-Power 6 conferences, the WCC is having a strong non-conference showing, with 4 teams currently in the field.

Automatic qualifiers (team with best conference record and/or best KenPom ranking) from multiple-bid conferences are noted in bold.

IN-SEASON FIELD OF 68 PROJECTION #4 (through games played December 11)
America East (1): Vermont (104)

American (2): Houston (4), Cincinnati (47)

ACC (4): Duke (10), Wake Forest (31), Virginia Tech (32), North Carolina (33)

ASUN (1): Jacksonville (143)

Atlantic 10 (2): Davidson (53), Saint Bonaventure (81)

Big East (7): Villanova (5), UConn (14), Xavier (15), Seton Hall (22), Providence (39),Creighton (58), Marquette (76)

Big Sky (1): Weber (91)

Big South (1): Campbell (92)

Big Ten (7): Purdue (6), Michigan State (16), Ohio State (19), Wisconsin (27), Illinois (35), Minnesota (36), Michigan (49)

Big XII (7): Baylor (3), Kansas (7), Iowa State (17), Texas Tech (20), Texas (24), Oklahoma (38), West Virginia (57)

Big West (1): UC-Irvine (54)

Colonial (1): Towson (74)

Conference USA (1): UAB (29)

Horizon (1): Oakland (59)

Ivy (1): Princeton (108)

MAAC (2): Monmouth (43), Iona (56)

MAC (1): Buffalo (73)

MEAC (1): UMES (181)

Missouri Valley (1): Loyola (18)

Mountain West (3): Wyoming (21), Colorado State (25), Utah State (45)

NEC (1): Wagner (48)

OVC (1): Belmont (37)

Pac 12 (3): Arizona (1), USC (11), UCLA (23)

Patriot (1): Navy (77)

SEC (6): LSU (2), Tennessee (9), Auburn (12), Alabama (13), Florida (44), Arkansas (67)

SoCon (1): Chattanooga (26)

Southland (1): Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (155)

SWAC (1): Texas Southern (191)

Summit (1): Western Illinois (79)

Sun Belt (1): South Alabama (66)

WCC (4): Gonzaga (8), San Francisco (28), BYU (30), Saint Mary’s (40)

WAC (1): Utah Valley (83)
______________________________
Last 4 In: Virginia Tech (32), Michigan (49), Iona (56), Creighton (58)

First 4 Out: Iowa (34), Indiana (50), Kentucky (52), New Mexico State (85)

6 to Watch: Northwestern (41), Washington State (42), Murray State (46), DePaul (51), TCU (64), Florida State (82)

Non-Power 6 At-Large Bids (8): Colorado State (25), San Francisco (28), BYU (30), Saint Mary’s (40), Utah State (45), Cincinnati (47), Iona (56), Saint Bonaventure (81)

New to the Field (15): Chattanooga, Creighton, Davidson, Jacksonville, Minnesota, Monmouth, Princeton, South Alabama, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, Towson, UMES, Utah Valley, Virginia Tech, Western Illinois, Wyoming

Dropped from the Field (15): Cornell, Furman, Georgia State, Hofstra, Howard, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Liberty, Louisville, New Mexico State, Nicholls, South Dakota State, Syracuse, Virginia
_____________________________
Ineligible for NCAA Tournament (9): Oklahoma State (61), UC-San Diego (113), Cal Baptist (161), Saint Thomas (202), Bellarmine (249), Dixie (253), North Alabama (257), Merrimack (269), Tarleton (281)
🎉 woohoo 🥳 woohoo 🙌

SS - for the new or uninitiated posters,what’s your track record in forecasting the 64 teams? I know you’re 2 modest to do it yourself and I want that audience to see you’re not suffering from “homeritis”

txs
 

🎉 woohoo 🥳 woohoo 🙌

SS - for the new or uninitiated posters,what’s your track record in forecasting the 64 teams? I know you’re 2 modest to do it yourself and I want that audience to see you’re not suffering from “homeritis”

txs
I appreciate it, thanks. Here's my track record of predicting the at-large teams, dating all the way back to the beginning, as well as how I've measured up vs. Jerry Palm & Joe Lunardi since the field expanded to 68 for the 2010-11 season.

Projecting At-Larges (1991-92 through 2020-21) – 30 seasons minus 2020 COVID-19
1991-92: 33/34
1992-93: 31/34
1993-94: 30/34
1994-95: 30/34
1995-96: 33/34
1996-97: 31/34
1997-98: 30/34
1998-99: 31/34
1999-00: 32/34
2000-01: 34/34 (perfect)
2001-02: 33/34
2002-03: 33/34
2003-04: 31/34
2004-05: 32/34
2005-06: 31/34
2006-07: 32/34
2007-08: 33/34
2008-09: 34/34 (perfect)
2009-10: 33/34
2010-11: 35/37
2011-12: 36/37
2012-13: 36/37
2013-14: 36/36 (perfect)
2014-15: 33/36
2015-16: 32/36
2016-17: 36/36 (perfect)
2017-18: 33/36
2018-19: 34/36
2019-20: CORONA
2020-21: 36/37

TOTALS: 954/1010 (94.4%)

Buzz King Since Field of 68: 347/364 (95.3%)

Jerry Palm Since Field of 68
2010-11: 35/37
2011-12: 35/37
2012-13: 36/37
2013-14: 35/36
2014-15: 35/36
2015-16: 34/36
2016-17: 36/36 (perfect)
2017-18: 35/36
2018-19: 35/36
2019-20: CORONA
2020-21: 35/37
TOTALS: 351/364 (96.4%)

Joe Lunardi Since Field of 68
2010-11: 34/37
2011-12: 36/37
2012-13: 37/37 (perfect)
2013-14: 35/36
2014-15: 34/36
2015-16: 33/36
2016-17: 35/36
2017-18: 34/36
2018-19: 35/36
2019-20: CORONA
2020-21: 36/37
TOTALS: 349/364 (95.9%)
 


I appreciate it, thanks. Here's my track record of predicting the at-large teams, dating all the way back to the beginning, as well as how I've measured up vs. Jerry Palm & Joe Lunardi since the field expanded to 68 for the 2010-11 season.

Projecting At-Larges (1991-92 through 2020-21) – 30 seasons minus 2020 COVID-19
1991-92: 33/34
1992-93: 31/34
1993-94: 30/34
1994-95: 30/34
1995-96: 33/34
1996-97: 31/34
1997-98: 30/34
1998-99: 31/34
1999-00: 32/34
2000-01: 34/34 (perfect)
2001-02: 33/34
2002-03: 33/34
2003-04: 31/34
2004-05: 32/34
2005-06: 31/34
2006-07: 32/34
2007-08: 33/34
2008-09: 34/34 (perfect)
2009-10: 33/34
2010-11: 35/37
2011-12: 36/37
2012-13: 36/37
2013-14: 36/36 (perfect)
2014-15: 33/36
2015-16: 32/36
2016-17: 36/36 (perfect)
2017-18: 33/36
2018-19: 34/36
2019-20: CORONA
2020-21: 36/37

TOTALS: 954/1010 (94.4%)

Buzz King Since Field of 68: 347/364 (95.3%)

Jerry Palm Since Field of 68
2010-11: 35/37
2011-12: 35/37
2012-13: 36/37
2013-14: 35/36
2014-15: 35/36
2015-16: 34/36
2016-17: 36/36 (perfect)
2017-18: 35/36
2018-19: 35/36
2019-20: CORONA
2020-21: 35/37
TOTALS: 351/364 (96.4%)

Joe Lunardi Since Field of 68
2010-11: 34/37
2011-12: 36/37
2012-13: 37/37 (perfect)
2013-14: 35/36
2014-15: 34/36
2015-16: 33/36
2016-17: 35/36
2017-18: 34/36
2018-19: 35/36
2019-20: CORONA
2020-21: 36/37
TOTALS: 349/364 (95.9%)
Thanks SS ands this could be a special winter!
 


I appreciate it, thanks. Here's my track record of predicting the at-large teams, dating all the way back to the beginning, as well as how I've measured up vs. Jerry Palm & Joe Lunardi since the field expanded to 68 for the 2010-11 season.

Projecting At-Larges (1991-92 through 2020-21) – 30 seasons minus 2020 COVID-19
1991-92: 33/34
1992-93: 31/34
1993-94: 30/34
1994-95: 30/34
1995-96: 33/34
1996-97: 31/34
1997-98: 30/34
1998-99: 31/34
1999-00: 32/34
2000-01: 34/34 (perfect)
2001-02: 33/34
2002-03: 33/34
2003-04: 31/34
2004-05: 32/34
2005-06: 31/34
2006-07: 32/34
2007-08: 33/34
2008-09: 34/34 (perfect)
2009-10: 33/34
2010-11: 35/37
2011-12: 36/37
2012-13: 36/37
2013-14: 36/36 (perfect)
2014-15: 33/36
2015-16: 32/36
2016-17: 36/36 (perfect)
2017-18: 33/36
2018-19: 34/36
2019-20: CORONA
2020-21: 36/37

TOTALS: 954/1010 (94.4%)

Buzz King Since Field of 68: 347/364 (95.3%)

Jerry Palm Since Field of 68
2010-11: 35/37
2011-12: 35/37
2012-13: 36/37
2013-14: 35/36
2014-15: 35/36
2015-16: 34/36
2016-17: 36/36 (perfect)
2017-18: 35/36
2018-19: 35/36
2019-20: CORONA
2020-21: 35/37
TOTALS: 351/364 (96.4%)

Joe Lunardi Since Field of 68
2010-11: 34/37
2011-12: 36/37
2012-13: 37/37 (perfect)
2013-14: 35/36
2014-15: 34/36
2015-16: 33/36
2016-17: 35/36
2017-18: 34/36
2018-19: 35/36
2019-20: CORONA
2020-21: 36/37
TOTALS: 349/364 (95.9%)

Legend.
 








Top Bottom