SEC Leads Week #6 Field of 68 Projection with 9 Bids; Big XII Close Behind with 8

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SelectionSunday

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Our weekly “Field of 68” projection through Week #6 of the 2023-24 college basketball season. …

An * denotes the projected automatic qualifier in a multiple-bid conference. The automatic qualifier is the team with the best conference record (i.e. 2-0 is better than 1-0) or – in the event of a tie – the best NET ranking.

WEEK #6 FIELD OF 68 PROJECTION (through games played Dec. 16)
America East (1): UMass-Lowell (132)

American (2): *FAU (12), Memphis (34)

ACC (5): *Clemson (15), Virginia (23), Duke (24), North Carolina (36), Miami (61)

ASUN (1): Lipscomb (139)

Atlantic 10 (2): *Dayton (30), Saint Joseph’s (48)

Big East (5): *UConn (5), Marquette (7), Creighton (11), Villanova (42), Providence (69)

Big Sky (1): Portland State (108)

Big South (1): Longwood (81)

Big Ten (6): Purdue (4), Wisconsin (17), Illinois (19), Ohio State (33), Northwestern (77), *Indiana (116)

Big XII (8): *Houston (1), BYU (3), Iowa State (6), Oklahoma (9), Kansas (13), Baylor (18), Texas (57), Kansas State (76)

Big West (1): UC-Irvine (50)

Colonial (1): Hofstra (84)

Conference USA (1): Liberty (53)

Horizon (1): Purdue Fort Wayne (74)

Ivy (1): Princeton (21)

MAAC (1): Marist (126)

MAC (1): Toledo (98)

MEAC (1): Norfolk State (190)

Missouri Valley (2): *Indiana State (14), Drake (68)

Mountain West (4): *Colorado State (20), San Diego State (26), New Mexico (28), Utah State (29)

NEC (1): Merrimack (197)

OVC (1): Morehead State (123)

Pac 12 (3): *Arizona (2), Utah (32), Colorado (35)

Patriot (1): Colgate (117)

SEC (9): *Tennessee (8), Alabama (10), Texas A&M (16), Auburn (22), Kentucky (27), South Carolina (41), Mississippi State (47), Florida (55), Ole Miss (64)

SoCon (1): Western Carolina (111)

Southland (1): McNeese (38)

SWAC (1): Prairie View A&M (189)

Summit (1): South Dakota State (140)

Sun Belt (1): James Madison (25)

WCC (1): Gonzaga (37)

WAC (1): Grand Canyon (31)
___________________________
Last 4 In: Florida (55), Texas (57), Drake (68), Providence (69)

First 4 Out: TCU (43), Nevada (49), Butler (51), Washington (60)

Dirty Dozen to Watch: Pitt (39), Michigan State (45), Appalachian State (46), Virginia Tech (52), Oregon (54), San Francisco (56), NC State (66), Louisiana Tech (58), Texas Tech (62), Duquesne (71), George Mason (73), Saint Mary’s (80)

Non-Power 6 At-Large Bids (6): San Diego State (26), New Mexico (28), Utah State (29), Memphis (34), Saint Joseph’s (48), Drake (68)

Moving In (5): Colorado, Florida, Liberty, Saint Joseph’s, Western Carolina

Dropping Out (5): Louisiana Tech, Nevada, Saint John’s, UNC-Greensboro, USC

REMAINING UNBEATENS (4)
Houston
James Madison
Oklahoma
Ole Miss

POWER 6 HEAD-TO-HEAD THROUGH WEEK #6
1 Big XII (30-20)
2 SEC (33-29)
3 Big East (25-23)
4 ACC (26-30)
5 Big Ten (19-23)
6 Pac 12 (12-20)

Note: Records indicated in below power rankings are vs. Division 1 opponents only

BIG TEN POWER RANKINGS
1 Purdue (10-1)
2 Wisconsin (8-3)
3 Illinois (7-2)
4 Ohio State (9-2)
5 Northwestern (8-2)
6 Michigan State (5-5)
7 Indiana (7-3)
8 Michigan (6-5)
9 Rutgers (7-3)
10 Minnesota (8-3)
11 Nebraska (8-2)
12 Iowa (6-5)
13 Maryland (6-4)
14 Penn State (5-6)

SUMMIT LEAGUE POWER RANKINGS
1 South Dakota State (3-5)
2 Oral Roberts (2-5)
3 St. Thomas (5-5)
4 North Dakota State (4-4)
5 North Dakota (5-4)
6 Denver (4-5)
7 South Dakota (4-4)
8 Kansas City (2-7)
9 Omaha (1-6)

MINNESOTA & ST. THOMAS IN THE RANKINGS
NET: Gophers #97, Tommies #169
KenPom: Gophers #89, Tommies #188
Haslametrics: Gophers #67, Tommies #161
 

Isn't that something? SEC with 9 and Arkansas isn't one of them. (Obviously a lot can change and am going to guess they are right on the cusp, or should I say bubble?)
 


Mississippi has to be one of the more interesting teams. Despite being 10-0, they are ranked below us on both Pomeroy and Sports Reference Ratings Systems. Their strength of schedule is not as bad as ours but, without knowing more, they appear to play to the level of their competition. They beat Memphis, NC State (by 20), and UCF but they beat lowly Detroit Mercy by 1 point, Sam Houston by 3, and Temple by 1 point.
 

I believe all 3 P12 schools projected in are future B12, so that would bring their total to 11 (as of next year).
 




It will be interesting to see how the mid major leagues play out. There could potentially be a lot of bid thieves, which would essentially lower the number of at-large spots.

Teams like JMU, Princeton, Dayton, St Joe's, Indiana State, Grand Canyon those MWC schools and potentially Drake have put themselves in a decent position to get at-larges with great conference play. If those schools can get through their leaves with just a couple losses, all could be in position entering conference tournament play.
 




Drake University Gopher said:
Of course Drake probably on the outside looking in if Indiana State is as good as advertised. Mid majors are exciting, but just don’t get the at large respect in recent years I feel.
Click to expand...

I don't think that's just a recent phenomena but Drake and Loyola did get in from the Mo Valley in 2021.
 






howeda7 said:
I was told San Francisco was a lock...
Click to expand...
Getting beat by them is the equivalent of getting beat by a Texas / Baylor (some team that will finish 2nd or 3rd behind Kansas most likely in the B12). San Fran is a power program we were told.
 

I am very curious what in Texas resume would garner inclusion. I realize they are expected to be good and that 9-9 in the B12 ought to get them in, but their non-con performance lacks heft.
 

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