Initial NET Rankings Came Out Today

SelectionSunday

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Points
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Big Ten
#3 Purdue
#6 Maryland
#10 Indiana
#13 Illinois
#20 Iowa
#28 Ohio State
#30 Rutgers
#51 Penn State
#59 Nebraska
#76 Northwestern
#77 Wisconsin
#92 Michigan State
#114 Michigan
#227 Gophers

Others
#130 Saint Thomas
 
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Some others:

Gophers Non-Conference Opponents
#5 Mississippi State
#41 Virginia Tech (L)
#44 UNLV (L)
#161 DePaul (L)
#195 Cal Baptist (W)
#197 Alcorn State
#220 Central Michigan (W)
#246 Chicago State
#280 Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#338 Western Michigan (W)
#339 Saint Francis-Brooklyn (W)

Top 25
#1 Houston
#2 UConn
#3 Purdue
#4 Tennessee
#5 Mississippi State
#6 Maryland
#7 Sam Houston
#8 Alabama
#9 Virginia
#10 Indiana
#11 West Virginia
#12 Texas
#13 Illinois
#14 UCLA
#15 Utah State
#16 Saint Mary's
#17 Duke
#18 Kansas
#19 Utah
#20 Iowa
#21 Auburn
#22 Iowa State
#23 FAU
#24 Kent
#25 Arkansas

2nd-Year Head Coaches With Program (comparison I started last season)
#19 Utah/Craig Smith
#22 Iowa State/TJ Otzelberger
#51 Penn State/Micah Shrewsberry
#227 Ben Johnson/Minnesota
 
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The St Thomas flippening has already happened? Spaulding was right! Go Gophers!
I don't think of the NET as being the best statistical model. Sagarin has the Gophers seven points better than St. Thomas on a neutral court, and that seems about right. That said, that we're even having this conversation is pretty humiliating.

One way or another, based on current ratings, the Gophers would be statistical underdogs in every conference game they play this year. With standard deviation, though, they ought to be expected to win at least one or two, and none of this takes into account the improvement that should be expected for a young team like this during the course of the season.
 








Didn't expect it to be good, but wow - not good. If we don't win against Mississippi State Sunday, and California Baptist slides down just a bit, we will have zero Quad 1, 2 or 3 wins from non-conference.
 

Other ways to look at it...
- can't really get worse
- can only get better and we could still miss the tourny by by 50 spots...
- but I most likely...we have 2 wins at most in the B10 but get the enjoyment of potentially playing spoiler...
 


Didn't expect it to be good, but wow - not good. If we don't win against Mississippi State Sunday, and California Baptist slides down just a bit, we will have zero Quad 1, 2 or 3 wins from non-conference.
We won't win against Mississippi State, they are legit - and we haven't faired well against teams legit or slightly below legit.
 










I don't think of the NET as being the best statistical model. Sagarin has the Gophers seven points better than St. Thomas on a neutral court, and that seems about right. That said, that we're even having this conversation is pretty humiliating.

One way or another, based on current ratings, the Gophers would be statistical underdogs in every conference game they play this year. With standard deviation, though, they ought to be expected to win at least one or two, and none of this takes into account the improvement that should be expected for a young team like this during the course of the season.
NET is an absolutely terrible metric that I will care about less than ever as the gophers are not on the bubble
 




Big Ten
#3 Purdue
#6 Maryland
#10 Indiana
#13 Illinois
#20 Iowa
#28 Ohio State
#30 Rutgers
#51 Penn State
#59 Nebraska
#76 Northwestern
#77 Wisconsin
#92 Michigan State
#114 Michigan
#227 Gophers

Others
#130 Saint Thomas
Very sobering. But our best chance for a conference win is coming up. Michigan is the next lowest team, They are not playing well. Plus they are going to be jet lagged returning from Europe. This will be a home game and we beat St Olaf at home...probably for the first time ever....so we can build on that.
 


Very sobering. But our best chance for a conference win is coming up. Michigan is the next lowest team, They are not playing well. Plus they are going to be jet lagged returning from Europe. This will be a home game and we beat St Olaf at home...probably for the first time ever....so we can build on that.
Did St. Olaf rank ahead of Louisville in the NET rankings?
 




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