Gophs 9th most likely in nation to go 12-0

[swingman]

 

[Gophers7NatTitlesBadgers0]

Time to dust this one off! Still a goody!

 

[UpAndUnder43]

I’m not a statistics person but 2% seems low considering there is a very good chance the gophers win certain games and no games seem to be very unlikely.

 

[Com_Cool]

I’m not a statistics person but 2% seems low considering there is a very good chance the gophers win certain games and no games seem to be very unlikely.

If you split that probability even across the remaining 9 games, it implies about a 65% chance of winning each game.

 

[atsgopher]

If you split that probability even across the remaining 9 games, it implies about a 65% chance of winning each game.

It’s got to be a conditional? Right?

 

[gopherbadgerman]

If they beat MSU it at least doubles their chances, maybe triples it.

 

[JayBobDobbins]

teamrankings.com has the Gophers chance of going undefeated at 3.8%. Says they're favored in all games except Penn State (30.4% chance to win), Wisconsin (45.1%) and Michigan State (46.3%). They claim the Gophers have the following percentages for these records:

3.8% undefeated
12.5% 11-1
21.2% 10-2
23.9% 9-3
19.5% 8-4
11.8% 7-5
5.3% 6-6
1.7% 5-7

The easiest game for MN is Northwestern where they have a 95.4% chance to win.

Winning the west % are:

MN - 37.1%
WI - 31.5%
Purdue - 20.4%
Illinois - 5.3%
Iowa - 5.1%
Nebraska - 0.5%
NW - 0.1%

https://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/team/minnesota-golden-gophers/projections

Overall, Ohio State has a 66.1% chance to win the East, 58.2% chance to win the Big10, 46.2% chance of going undefeated. MN has the best chance in the East to win the conference at 7.2%

 

[Goldmember]

Ohio State at #1 because they won’t have to play Minnesota until their 13 game.