ESPN Connelly's SP+ has EMU on par with NW

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swingman

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Minnesota at 39th; 10th in defense, 79th in offense, 81st in ST

Gophs would be 10 point dogs in Chapel Hill using these numbers. Mich by 16, Bucks by 22.

Other projected lines using SP+:

Badgers by 1 in Mpls, Hawks by 5 in Iowa City,

Gophs by 4 vs MSU here, Gophs by 6 vs Illini here, Gophs by 6 in West Lafayette,

Gophs by 16 vs Cajuns here, Gophs by 19 in Evanston, Gophs by 25 vs EMU here.
3. Michigan (1-0)28.038.3 (11)10.4 (3)0.1 (40)
4. Ohio St. (1-0)27.840.4 (8)12.5 (5)0.0 (60)
9. Penn St. (1-0)23.736.4 (21)12.6 (6)-0.1 (123)
21. N. Carolina (1-0)16.237.5 (15)21.3 (39)0.1 (22)
26. Wisconsin (1-0)15.030.8 (42)15.9 (14)0.0 (51)
30. Maryland (1-0)12.630.5 (44)17.9 (21)0.0 (72)
33. Iowa (1-0)10.920.9 (93)10.1 (2)0.1 (30)
39. Minnesota (1-0)9.223.2 (79)14.0 (10)0.0 (81)
40. Syracuse (1-0)9.228.8 (50)19.7 (32)0.1 (42)
41. Florida (0-1)8.930.7 (43)21.7 (41)0.0 (98)
46. Iowa St. (1-0)8.122.5 (81)14.4 (11)0.1 (23)
47. Michigan St. (1-0)7.926.5 (67)18.7 (27)0.1 (18)
52. Illinois (1-0)6.323.4 (78)17.2 (19)0.1 (13)
53. S. Carolina (0-1)6.032.3 (38)26.3 (67)0.0 (48)
54. Kansas (1-0)5.835.3 (27)29.6 (87)0.1 (25)
55. Nebraska (0-1)5.123.7 (74)18.7 (28)0.1 (19)
64. Purdue (0-1)0.028.6 (53)28.4 (81)-0.1 (118)
69. Rutgers (1-0)-1.121.2 (91)22.2 (44)0.0 (84)
70. App. St. (1-0)-1.528.8 (51)30.2 (92)-0.1 (102)
79. Louisiana (1-0)-4.223.5 (76)27.8 (75)0.1 (32)
82. Colorado (1-0)-5.728.0 (56)33.6 (113)-0.1 (109)
85. Indiana (0-1)-7.321.1 (92)28.5 (82)0.1 (27)
100. Northwestern (0-1)-12.411.4 (129)23.8 (57)0.0 (90)
101. EMU (1-0)-13.119.0 (98)32.1 (106)0.0 (47)
 


Looks like Connelly has Nebraska beating Colorado. Got to be on the strength of Nebraska’s defense. He’s also got Louisiana ranked essentially the same as Colorado.
 

Gophergrandpa said:
Looks like Connelly has Nebraska beating Colorado. Got to be on the strength of Nebraska’s defense. He’s also got Louisiana ranked essentially the same as Colorado.
Click to expand...
It factors in last year's team rankings for the first four weeks (I forget the exact amount) so it's weighing down Colorado more than it should for the time being.
 

noamfromm said:
It factors in last year's team rankings for the first four weeks (I forget the exact amount) so it's weighing down Colorado more than it should for the time being.
Click to expand...
Our first four weeks last year were pretty impressive. Might be overweighting the Gophers?
 


Gophergrandpa said:
Our first four weeks last year were pretty impressive. Might be overweighting the Gophers?
Click to expand...
It's taking in to account last season for the first 4 weeks, not the first 4 weeks of last season
 


I would take Eastern Michigan -10 over northwestern
 

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