ESPN: 2023 Big Ten West college football preview (OK, is this Minnesota's year?)

BleedGopher

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Per ESPN:

OK, is this Minnesota's year? In 2018, Minnesota finished nine spots higher in SP+ than West champion Northwestern. In 2021, the Golden Gophers finished three spots higher than champion Iowa. In 2022, they finished 40 spots higher than Purdue.

Over six seasons in Minneapolis, P.J. Fleck has built a sturdy and consistently competitive program. In Minnesota's last three full seasons, the Gophers have gone a combined 29-10. They've won three bowls and, back in 2019, pulled off their first top-10 finish in 57 years. But when it comes to winning the West, they've always managed to lose the game they couldn't. In 2019, they just had to serve out a home win over Wisconsin to take the title but got blown out 38-17. In 2021, they couldn't hold on to a halftime lead at Iowa and came up five points short. In 2022, they were mostly brilliant in September and November but couldn't overcome injuries and quarterback uncertainty during a three-game October losing streak. A 20-10 loss to Purdue in that span made the difference.

This is Minnesota's (and everyone else's) last chance at a West title. The Gophers should again be involved in the race. Quarterback Athan Kaliakmanis officially takes over after filling in for longtime incumbent Tanner Morgan and playing his two best games in the last two of 2022. Last year's top two running backs are gone, but 1,000-yard rusher Sean Tyler comes over from Western Michigan, as does 800-yard slot man Corey Crooms. Between Crooms, last year's leading pass-catcher (Daniel Jackson), 2021's (Chris Autman-Bell, injured for most of 2022) mammoth tight end Brevyn Spann-Ford and Charlotte transfer Elijah Spencer, Kaliakmanis' receiving corps appears loaded. The line does have three good starters to replace, but the pipeline has been pretty strong there for a while.

The defense should still be better than the offense, but the latter might have to pick up some slack if or when the defense regresses a bit. Minnesota has to replace five of the 12 defenders with 300-plus snaps last year, including two NFL draft picks in the secondary. It probably says something that five of the seven incoming defensive transfers are defensive backs; Georgia Southern corner Tyler Bride and Southeastern Louisiana safety Jack Henderson are particularly intriguing and aggressive additions. The line appears to have the depth it needs -- end Danny Striggow is a potential breakout star after shining in a small sample in 2022 -- but coordinator Joe Rossi needs a linebacker or two to step up, be it sophomore Cody Lindenberg, senior Ryan Selig (yet another WMU transfer) or someone else.

The schedule also could be an impediment. Minnesota has to travel to not only Iowa and Purdue but also Ohio State. The Gophers will probably need to win at least one of those three games to have a shot at the West crown.


Go Gophers!!
 

My 10 Favorite Players:

RB Braelon Allen, Wisconsin. The Badgers will pass more in 2023, but it's safe to assume they will also still feed their lead back, who over his last 21 games has averaged 19 carries, 117 yards and a touchdown per game.

TE Brevyn Spann-Ford, Minnesota. He's probably not Minnesota's most important pass-catcher, but he definitely has the most unusual skill set: He's 6-foot-7, 270 pounds, and he's both a red zone threat (six TDs) and an open-field playmaker (seven catches of 20-plus yards).

LT Aireontae Ersery, Minnesota. As a redshirt freshman, the 325-pound Kansas City product immediately became an anchor on the left, allowing just two sacks with a solid-for-a-tackle 1.4% blown run block rate.

DT Noah Shannon, Iowa. An elite defense needs risk-free disruption to thrive, and the 289-pound Shannon offers exactly that. He combined 11 TFLs with 16 run stops from the defensive interior, forcing plays to the outside and allowing a bevy of strong ends to dominate.

DT Keith Randolph Jr., Illinois. Really, take your pick between Randolph and teammate Jer'Zhan Newton -- the duo combined for 24 TFLs, 10 sacks and 28 run stops last year. They're both quite active (50-plus tackles each), and they're both listed at 295 pounds or more.

ILB Maema Njongmeta, Wisconsin. After years on the bench, the 240-pounder blossomed in 2022. Njongmeta made 10 TFLs, 18 run stops and 3.5 sacks ... and missed just seven tackles all year. The Badgers have about as much star power as ever at linebacker.

ILB Xander Mueller, Northwestern. A junior from the Chicago suburbs, Mueller is easily the most proven returnee on the Wildcats defense. He ranked first on the team in tackles (99) and run stops (16) and second in both TFLs (eight) and sacks (three). He does everything.

CB Cooper DeJean, Iowa. He's big (6-foot-1, 209 pounds), physical and perfect for Phil Parker's zone scheme. He combined three TFLs and six run stops with five interceptions, seven breakups and a 10.8 QBR allowed as primary coverage guy. Dominant.

CB Quinton Newsome, Nebraska. Maybe the most proven player Matt Rhule inherits. Newsome broke up seven passes and allowed just a 34.0 QBR in 2022. He's also one of FBS' best corners near the line of scrimmage: He had five TFLs, five run stops and two sacks.

S Cam Allen, Purdue. The 6-foot-1, 195-pound senior is both a quality ball hawk and capable coverage guy when required. He was vital to Purdue's 5-2 start in 2022, picking off three passes (including a pick-six) and blocking a kick in the first six games.


Go Gophers!!
 

Anniversaries:

In 2003, Marion Barber III and Laurence Maroney both rushed for 1,100 yards. Glen Mason's 10-year run at Minnesota always felt like it had another gear that never came. Minnesota spent parts of six seasons in the top 25 but finished only one season ranked. His 2003 team was the closest to a fearsome and finished product. Thanks to an unrelenting run game led by the late Barber and Maroney, the Gophers reached double digits in wins for the first time in 98 years, going 10-3 and beating Oregon, 31-30, in a Sun Bowl thriller.


Go Gophers!!
 

"...stable quarterback play could make Minnesota a serious threat, too."

Like ESPN's Connelly, I think Gophs stack up very well with Big Ten West.

Another 10-2 like 2019 should not surprise.

Kaliakmanis is very, very good. Kramer is a very solid back-up.

The WR room is deeper than 2019.

The RB room may be most explosive PJ has had.

The best Harbaugh offensive mind in the Big Ten may reside in Dinkytown.

Ersery may be best o-lineman Fleck has had. Carroll may be best guard he has had.

Some older guys on o-line ready to take their spot on stage. Great young talent on o-line that may surprise.

Best TE since Maxx. Deepest TE room PJ has had.

Rossi still running the D.

Nubin came back to up his draft status. Walley a baller. Darius Green will surprise. The kids are very good.

PJ used portal hard for secondary help. The nickel Henderson looks very good.

We have linebackers with big-time, Big Ten linebacker names: Maverick Baranowski, Rowan Zolman and Xander Rockow...and they might not be starters.

Lindenberg, Striggow ready to emerge as All-Big players. One or more of Jalen, Jah, and Anthony Smith may join them.

Baugh, Eastern, jefferies, Richter a nice plug the middle foursome.

DeLattiboudere building a d-line DoJo that will take Rossi defense to that next level.

Dragan Kesich has a kicker name, and a massive leg. PJ may allow kick and punt returns, and has multiple burner options.

PJ may have assembled his best functioning coaching staff yet. Rule changes and money from Coyle allow some extra bodies that will pay big dividends.

Get your tickets now as after blowing out Nebraska and knocking off UNC in Chapel Hill, a lot of sell-outs at The Bank this year.

Fitting that Connelly brings up 2003: the Michigan game could be as electric an atmosphere as that night in the Dome two decades ago.
 
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