STrib: Big Ten Championship Game scenarios for the Gophers

BleedGopher

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per Megan:

THE ROAD TO INDY

The Gophers are one of seven Big Ten teams that have never played in the conference championship game since its debut it 2011. But with three games to go in the regular season and at 6-0 in the Big Ten, they are the front-runners to represent the West Division on Dec. 7 in Indianapolis. Here are the scenarios:

IF THE GOPHERS GO …

• 3-0 or 2-1: They will be West Division champions. Period. If they go 3-0, they will be 12-0 and carry everything that goes with that.

• 1-2: Second-place Wisconsin would still have to win out to overtake the Gophers, and that would include winning at TCF Bank Stadium on Nov. 30.

• 0-3: Yes, even if the Gophers don’t win another game, they could still get to Indy, but only for sure if two-loss Wisconsin and three-loss Iowa and Illinois all got to four conference losses — however remote the possibility. It’s much more likely that Wisconsin would overtake them in this situation or that the Gophers would have to take their chances in some sort of tiebreaker.

http://www.startribune.com/big-ten-championship-game-scenarios-for-the-gophers/564734462/

Go Gophers!!
 

— They have a two game lead with three to play.

— They are going to play two of the teams who are chasing them, head-to-head (Iowa and Wisconsin).

— If they beat Iowa on Saturday, they can clinch with a win at Evanston the following week.

— If they lose to Iowa, then beat Northwestern, the Axe game will be huge. In that scenario, if we beat Wisconsin at the Bank we win the the Axe and the West.
 

— They have a two game lead with three to play.

— They are going to play two of the teams who are chasing them, head-to-head (Iowa and Wisconsin).

— If they beat Iowa on Saturday, they can clinch with a win at Evanston the following week.

— If they lose to Iowa, then beat Northwestern, the Axe game will be huge. In that scenario, if we beat Wisconsin at the Bank we win the the Axe and the West.

And take back the series lead!!!!!!!!!!!!
 

Seems crazy with their recent poor play...but I've got a strange feeling that Nebraska might help us out this weekend.
 



How can a three loss IL team be ahead of a three loss Gophers team?

Possible 3-4 way tie could cause problems depending on who we would lose to.
Record among teams in that group.

Say we lose to IA and WI.
A 4 way tie with them would have our group record at 1-2 and one or more of those teams would be better than that.
 
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Here's a "keep it simple" approach:

If we beat Iowa Saturday, Iowa is mathematically eliminated.
 

Win this week.
Win one more.

Lose this week.
Win last two.
 







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