spermophilus
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As always, per the Vegas Insider site, and for entertainment purposes only.
My strategy
+6.5 or less: hammer the ML!!
+7: could go either way!!
+7.5 or more: take the points!!!
Implies about a 30% chance of winning. Seems about right although I lean towards 40/60 coming out of a bye, motivation level, prep time, getting essential guys healthier.
Line should be 2.5
Line should be 2.5
Would it be shocking if we won? Or just surprising?
I would not be shocked or surprised...I would say most informed observers would not be either...say a Herbstreit or Revsine type.
We were dead even with Penn State on the road three years ago. Beat them last time they were here. They were close with Iowa and Pitt this year, two teams I, and most metrics, think we are better than. Homefield in November. Should be a pumped crowd.
Then you should be it
PSU has a bye too.
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If loyalty can be overcome jump on PSU. Sagarin has PSU-14.
My mind sends a message: Gophers can't win against such a powerhouse, but some wicked little fly, the last before winter, keeps buzzing around my head whining that they can win a close game with a heroic effort. As others here have pointed out, it may come down to oddball happenstances, fumbles, bad breaks, some weird football accident like a tipped interception, a field goal bouncing off the posts. Gophers win by two. The fly will be dead by the time Gophers play Iowa.
Why would anyone think the bolded part?
Minnesota has won 5 of the last 10 meetings. The majority of the games played between these teams have been quite close.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minnesota–Penn_State_football_rivalry
I would not be shocked or surprised...I would say most informed observers would not be either...say a Herbstreit or Revsine type.
We were dead even with Penn State on the road three years ago. Beat them last time they were here. They were close with Iowa and Pitt this year, two teams I, and most metrics, think we are better than. Homefield in November. Should be a pumped crowd.
Other than the '99 team, the gophers did not beat powerhouse PSU teams. In our last 4 wins only the '13 PSU team finished above .500. I don't think its unreasonable to think that the Gophers may not compete well with a top 10 team regardless if I think that we will win comfortably on Sat.
Other than the '99 team, the gophers did not beat powerhouse PSU teams. In our last 4 wins only the '13 PSU team finished above .500. I don't think its unreasonable to think that the Gophers may not compete well with a top 10 team regardless if I think that we will win comfortably on Sat.