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  1. #1

    Default Analytics prediction: Gophers favored to win Big Ten West

    I donít know how he arrived at the numbers, but Iíll take it.

    Big Ten West Projection & Champ%

    1. Minnesota 29%
    2. Iowa 19%
    3. Nebraska 17%
    T4. Wisconsin 16%
    T4. Purdue 12%
    6. Northwestern 5%
    7. Illinois 1%

    https://twitter.com/mcillecesports/s...016438789?s=21

    All of his conference predictions are here:
    https://mcillecesports.com/season-predictions/


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  2. #2

    Default

    He also has us finishing the season at 8-4, ranked 19th.

    Average points scored per game : 36
    Average points against per game : 24.2

    https://mcillecesports.com/top-25-predictions/


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  3. #3
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Minnesota
    Posts
    4,546

    Default

    That average points against per game prediction is probably way off. I think it will be 23.8. 23.7 if the starters play longer against SD State.

  4. #4

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Schnauzer View Post
    That average points against per game prediction is probably way off. I think it will be 23.8. 23.7 if the starters play longer against SD State.
    2018 was 28.9/26.5

    It would be disappointing to go backwards on offense.



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  5. #5

    Default

    Interesting.

    Our favorable 2019 schedule + our impressive performances at the end of last season + our high rate of returning production = higher expectations.

    Time will tell.
    --------------

    "7 National Titles...

    ... But Let's Not Get Carried Away".

  6. #6

    Default

    Minnesota vs. Michigan meeting in Indianapolis would be dreamy.

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  7. #7

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by PitinoFan View Post
    2018 was 28.9/26.5

    It would be disappointing to go backwards on offense.



    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    I think he's referring to the defense.

  8. #8

    Default

    Based on the 8-4 record prediction, this model must be predicting a log jam for the Big Ten West title, with likely tiebreakers. Iíd like to see the game by game prediction.


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  9. #9
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Minnesota
    Posts
    4,546

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by PitinoFan View Post
    2018 was 28.9/26.5

    It would be disappointing to go backwards on offense.



    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    I was joking Plus it was referring to defense, not offense. I just found it funny that they went the extra mile to predict points against average out to a decimal point.
    Last edited by Schnauzer; 08-15-2019 at 08:33 AM.

  10. #10
    Join Date
    Nov 2008
    Location
    SW Minneapolis
    Posts
    5,119

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    Quote Originally Posted by CWCWCW View Post
    Minnesota vs. Michigan meeting in Indianapolis would be dreamy.

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    After the win do they sprint across the field to the Jug or to the B1G Champ trophy?

  11. #11

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by PitinoFan View Post
    Based on the 8-4 record prediction, this model must be predicting a log jam for the Big Ten West title, with likely tiebreakers. I’d like to see the game by game prediction.


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    Here is mine


    SDSU-W-SDSU is one of the better FCS teams, but they're breaking in a new QB and, well, it's an FCS team.
    @ Fresno-W-Fresno has a good coach in Tedford. Gophers beat them in MN with freshman QB and Rob Smith at DC. Fresno graduated A LOT of talent last year.
    GA Southern-W-GSU runs the option, they were anemic at offense and used defense that got turn overs. Unless we cough up the ball 2-3x, this should be easy W
    @ Purdue-L-Purdue graduated a lot of talent, if this were @ home, I'd put it as a W, but I think this one of those coulda/woulda/shoulda games MN always has
    Illinois-W-I still have nightmares over last years debacle
    Neb-W-Nebraska was 4-8. The hype train is strong. QB looks good, rest of team, not so sure.
    @ Rutgers-W-Rutgets stinks
    Maryland-W-Can winfield survive this game finally? Another game
    Penn St-L-Even with ? at QB, franklin has recruited well.
    @ Iowa -L-Pains me to say it, we last won at Kinnick in 1999 I think. Hurts to lose Floyd so man years in a row
    @ NW -L- 3 game losing streak. Gopher fans officially panic, declare fleck useless
    Wisconsin -W-We keep axe back to back years, regain series lead. Fleck is a hero

  12. #12

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by PitinoFan View Post
    Based on the 8-4 record prediction, this model must be predicting a log jam for the Big Ten West title, with likely tiebreakers. I’d like to see the game by game prediction.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    Doesn't look like it. The only other ranked West team in that prediction is Iowa (7-5) at #23....which would suggest that Minnesota sits alone on top.

    Seems unlikely that a Big Ten West team will win the division outright with an 8-4 record however.

  13. #13

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Ski U Master View Post
    After the win do they sprint across the field to the Jug or to the B1G Champ trophy?
    Hmmm, which one is rarer for us to win again?

    I think 8-4 is probably a little less than we can accomplish. I still think anything less than 9-3 would be considered a ho-hum season. This guy must have us losing a non-conference game.

    This is how I see the season:

    SDSU - W
    @Fresno - W
    GSU - W
    Bye
    @ Purdue - W
    Illinois - W
    Nebraska - toss up
    @ Rutgers - W
    Maryland - W
    bye
    PSU - W - only because we come off the bye
    @ Iowa - L
    @ NW - toss up
    Whisky - toss up

    That's 8 wins with 1 loss and 3 toss ups

    so if we go 1-2 in those games I have us at 9-3.
    Last edited by Otis; 08-15-2019 at 09:34 AM.

  14. #14

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Ski U Master View Post
    After the win do they sprint across the field to the Jug or to the B1G Champ trophy?
    Well we'd normally have to wait for the commissioner at the podium to hand us the trophy.

  15. #15

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by stocker08 View Post
    Doesn't look like it. The only other ranked West team in that prediction is Iowa (7-5) at #23....which would suggest that Minnesota sits alone on top.

    Seems unlikely that a Big Ten West team will win the division outright with an 8-4 record however.
    Well, in 2018 Northwestern won the West with an 8-4 overall record. The Wildcats finished 9-5 overall after losing to Ohio State in the B1G Championship, and then beating Utah in their bowl game.

    To be fair, Northwestern won the West on the basis of their 8-1 record in the B1G conference regular season. Wisconsin, Purdue and Iowa tied for second in the West, each with 5-4 conference records.

    So, yeah... pretty much anybody's division. Gotta win those conference games.
    --------------

    "7 National Titles...

    ... But Let's Not Get Carried Away".

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