SelectionSunday
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Here's a "unique" projection of the 2020 Field of 68 using NCAA Tournament data (appearances/wins) since the 1999-00 season. I straight S-curved the field, with the exception that inter-conference matchups are not allowed in the 1st round, hence, #38 NC State/#39 Kansas State were switched so that Pitt would not play NC State. In addition, I protected the #1-16 seeds as much as possible by their 1st- and 2nd-round placements.
2020 S-Curve Ultimate Field of 68 (Since 2000) Projection (bids awarded by tournament appearances, then ordered by tournament wins)
*denotes automatic qualifier
EAST REGION (New York)
Greensboro
#1 *Duke vs. #64 *South Dakota State/*NCCU winner
#32 Notre Dame vs. #33 *Cincinnati
Spokane
#17 Butler vs. #48 *Milwaukee
#16 Ohio State vs. #49 *Florida Gulf Coast
Spokane
#9 *Gonzaga vs. #56 *Montana
#24 West Virginia vs. #41 Missouri
Albany
#25 Illinois vs. #40 *VCU
#8 UConn vs. #57 *NC-Wilmington
WEST REGION (Los Angeles)
Cleveland
#4 *Michigan State vs. #61 *Iona
#29 Indiana vs. #36 Georgetown
Tampa
#20 Michigan vs. #45 *Northern Iowa
#13 Villanova vs. #52 *Stephen F. Austin
Saint Louis
#12 Louisville vs. #53 *Georgia State
#21 Texas vs. #44 Creighton/Cal winner
Cleveland
#28 Memphis vs. #37 Stanford
#5 *Kentucky vs. #60 *Hawaii
MIDWEST REGION (Indianapolis)
Omaha
#2 *Kansas vs. #63 *Penn/*LIU winner
#31 Marquette vs. #34 Oklahoma State
Omaha
#18 Maryland vs. #47 *Kent State
#15 *Xavier vs. #50 *Vermont
Albany
#10 Syracuse vs. #55 *Belmont
#23 Oregon vs. #42 *San Diego State
Saint Louis
#26 Pitt vs. #39 Kansas State
#7 Wisconsin vs. #58 *Wofford
SOUTH REGIONAL (Houston)
Greensboro
#3 North Carolina vs. #62 *New Mexico State
#30 Virginia vs. #35 Iowa State
Sacramento
#19 Oklahoma vs. #46 *Western Kentucky
#14 UCLA vs. #51 *Bucknell
Sacramento
#11 *Arizona vs. #54 *Winthrop
#22 Purdue vs. #43 Temple/BYU winner
Tampa
#27 Tennessee vs. #38 NC State
#6 Florida vs. #59 *Texas Southern
Last 4 In: Temple (10/6), Creighton (11/4), Cal (9/4), BYU (11/3)
First 4 Out: Utah State (9/1), Wichita State (8/12), Baylor (8/11), Texas A&M (8/10)
Non-Power 6 At-Larges (4): BYU, Memphis, Temple, UConn
Movin’ On In from 2019: Georgia State, Kansas State, Wofford
Movin’ On Out from 2019: East Tennessee State, Louisiana, Wichita State
Multiple-Bid Conferences (8): ACC (8), B1G (8), Big XII (7), Big East (6), Pac 12 (5), American (4), SEC (4), WCC (2)
__________________________________________________
S-Curve Seed (NCAA tourney wins since 2000 in parentheses)
1 Duke (51)
2 Kansas (50)
3 North Carolina (50)
4 Michigan State (47)
5 Kentucky (45)
6 Florida (38)
7 Wisconsin (33)
8 UConn (33)
9 Gonzaga (31)
10 Syracuse (31)
11 Arizona (30)
12 Louisville (28)
13 Villanova (28)
14 UCLA (27)
15 Xavier (22)
16 Ohio State (22)
17 Butler (22)
18 Maryland (21)
19 Oklahoma (20)
20 Michigan (20)
21 Texas (19)
22 Purdue (19)
23 Oregon (19)
24 West Virginia (18)
25 Illinois (17)
26 Pitt (16)
27 Tennessee (16)
28 Memphis (16)
29 Indiana (14)
30 Virginia (14)
31 Marquette (13)
32 Notre Dame (13)
33 Cincinnati (12)
34 Oklahoma State (11)
35 Iowa State (11)
36 Georgetown (11)
37 Stanford (11)
*38 NC State (10)
*39 Kansas State (10)
40 VCU (9)
41 Missouri (9)
42 San Diego State (6)
43A Temple (6) – Last 4 In
44A Creighton (4) – Last 4 In
44B Cal (4) – Last 4 In
43B BYU (3) – Last 4 In
45 Northern Iowa (4)
46 Western Kentucky (4)
47 Kent State (4)
48 Milwaukee (3)
49 Florida Gulf Coast (3)
50 Vermont (2)
51 Bucknell (2)
52 Stephen F. Austin (2)
53 Georgia State (2)
54 Winthrop (1)
55 Belmont (1)
56 Montana (1)
57 NC-Wilmington (1)
58 Wofford (1)
59 Texas Southern (1)
60 Hawaii (1)
61 Iona (0)
62 New Mexico State (0)
63A Penn (0) -- First 4
64A South Dakota State (0) – First 4
64B NCCU (0) -- First 4
63B LIU (0) – First 4
2020 S-Curve Ultimate Field of 68 (Since 2000) Projection (bids awarded by tournament appearances, then ordered by tournament wins)
*denotes automatic qualifier
EAST REGION (New York)
Greensboro
#1 *Duke vs. #64 *South Dakota State/*NCCU winner
#32 Notre Dame vs. #33 *Cincinnati
Spokane
#17 Butler vs. #48 *Milwaukee
#16 Ohio State vs. #49 *Florida Gulf Coast
Spokane
#9 *Gonzaga vs. #56 *Montana
#24 West Virginia vs. #41 Missouri
Albany
#25 Illinois vs. #40 *VCU
#8 UConn vs. #57 *NC-Wilmington
WEST REGION (Los Angeles)
Cleveland
#4 *Michigan State vs. #61 *Iona
#29 Indiana vs. #36 Georgetown
Tampa
#20 Michigan vs. #45 *Northern Iowa
#13 Villanova vs. #52 *Stephen F. Austin
Saint Louis
#12 Louisville vs. #53 *Georgia State
#21 Texas vs. #44 Creighton/Cal winner
Cleveland
#28 Memphis vs. #37 Stanford
#5 *Kentucky vs. #60 *Hawaii
MIDWEST REGION (Indianapolis)
Omaha
#2 *Kansas vs. #63 *Penn/*LIU winner
#31 Marquette vs. #34 Oklahoma State
Omaha
#18 Maryland vs. #47 *Kent State
#15 *Xavier vs. #50 *Vermont
Albany
#10 Syracuse vs. #55 *Belmont
#23 Oregon vs. #42 *San Diego State
Saint Louis
#26 Pitt vs. #39 Kansas State
#7 Wisconsin vs. #58 *Wofford
SOUTH REGIONAL (Houston)
Greensboro
#3 North Carolina vs. #62 *New Mexico State
#30 Virginia vs. #35 Iowa State
Sacramento
#19 Oklahoma vs. #46 *Western Kentucky
#14 UCLA vs. #51 *Bucknell
Sacramento
#11 *Arizona vs. #54 *Winthrop
#22 Purdue vs. #43 Temple/BYU winner
Tampa
#27 Tennessee vs. #38 NC State
#6 Florida vs. #59 *Texas Southern
Last 4 In: Temple (10/6), Creighton (11/4), Cal (9/4), BYU (11/3)
First 4 Out: Utah State (9/1), Wichita State (8/12), Baylor (8/11), Texas A&M (8/10)
Non-Power 6 At-Larges (4): BYU, Memphis, Temple, UConn
Movin’ On In from 2019: Georgia State, Kansas State, Wofford
Movin’ On Out from 2019: East Tennessee State, Louisiana, Wichita State
Multiple-Bid Conferences (8): ACC (8), B1G (8), Big XII (7), Big East (6), Pac 12 (5), American (4), SEC (4), WCC (2)
__________________________________________________
S-Curve Seed (NCAA tourney wins since 2000 in parentheses)
1 Duke (51)
2 Kansas (50)
3 North Carolina (50)
4 Michigan State (47)
5 Kentucky (45)
6 Florida (38)
7 Wisconsin (33)
8 UConn (33)
9 Gonzaga (31)
10 Syracuse (31)
11 Arizona (30)
12 Louisville (28)
13 Villanova (28)
14 UCLA (27)
15 Xavier (22)
16 Ohio State (22)
17 Butler (22)
18 Maryland (21)
19 Oklahoma (20)
20 Michigan (20)
21 Texas (19)
22 Purdue (19)
23 Oregon (19)
24 West Virginia (18)
25 Illinois (17)
26 Pitt (16)
27 Tennessee (16)
28 Memphis (16)
29 Indiana (14)
30 Virginia (14)
31 Marquette (13)
32 Notre Dame (13)
33 Cincinnati (12)
34 Oklahoma State (11)
35 Iowa State (11)
36 Georgetown (11)
37 Stanford (11)
*38 NC State (10)
*39 Kansas State (10)
40 VCU (9)
41 Missouri (9)
42 San Diego State (6)
43A Temple (6) – Last 4 In
44A Creighton (4) – Last 4 In
44B Cal (4) – Last 4 In
43B BYU (3) – Last 4 In
45 Northern Iowa (4)
46 Western Kentucky (4)
47 Kent State (4)
48 Milwaukee (3)
49 Florida Gulf Coast (3)
50 Vermont (2)
51 Bucknell (2)
52 Stephen F. Austin (2)
53 Georgia State (2)
54 Winthrop (1)
55 Belmont (1)
56 Montana (1)
57 NC-Wilmington (1)
58 Wofford (1)
59 Texas Southern (1)
60 Hawaii (1)
61 Iona (0)
62 New Mexico State (0)
63A Penn (0) -- First 4
64A South Dakota State (0) – First 4
64B NCCU (0) -- First 4
63B LIU (0) – First 4
