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  1. #1
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    Default Field of 68 Breakdown Leading Into B1G Tournament

    Last update until I head to Chicago.

    Saint Mary's steals a bid. 54 of the 68 NCAA bids locked up, 14 at-large bids still available. Current NET ranking is noted in parentheses.

    Automatic Bids/Highest Remaining Seed In Conference Tournament (32) (ALL CAPS bold/italic denotes already earned auto bid)
    Virginia (1)
    Houston (4)
    Michigan State (8)
    WOFFORD (13)
    LSU (14)
    Buffalo (16)
    Nevada (18)
    Kansas State (24)
    Villanova (25)
    VCU (31)
    SAINT MARY'S (34)
    Washington (40)
    MURRAY STATE (43)
    New Mexico State (45)
    LIBERTY (59)
    Vermont (73)
    UC-Irvine (76)
    NORTHEASTERN (79)
    Old Dominion (98)
    NORTHERN KENTUCKY (114)
    Montana (124)
    Georgia State (126)
    Harvard (131)
    Colgate (135)
    GARDNER-WEBB (172)
    Sam Houston State (174)
    BRADLEY (176)
    FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON (203)
    IONA (205)
    Prairie View A&M (210)
    NORTH DAKOTA STATE (222)
    Norfolk State (251)

    Locks (22)
    Gonzaga (2)
    Duke (3)
    Kentucky (5)
    Tennessee (6)
    North Carolina (7)
    Texas Tech (9)
    Michigan (10)
    Virginia Tech (11)
    Purdue (12)
    Wisconsin (15)
    Auburn (17)
    Florida State (19)
    Kansas (20)
    Mississippi State (21)
    Louisville (22)
    Iowa State (23)
    Maryland (26)
    Cincinnati (27)
    UCF (28)
    Marquette (29)
    Ole Miss (35)
    Baylor (37)

    Likely Already In, But 1 More Win Would Cinch It (4)
    Oklahoma (39)
    Iowa (42)
    Syracuse (44)
    Minnesota (56)

    Bubble In For Now (10)
    Utah State (30)
    Florida (33)
    Clemson (36)
    Belmont (46) -- Last 4 In
    Temple (50)
    Indiana (51) -- Last 4 In
    Alabama (58) -- Last 4 In
    Seton Hall (62)
    Saint John's (66) -- Last 4 In
    Arizona State (67)

    Bubble Out For Now (15)
    NC State (32) -- First 4 Out
    Texas (38) -- First 4 Out
    Furman (41)
    TCU (47) -- First 4 Out
    Lipscomb (48)
    Memphis (53)
    Creighton (54) -- First 4 Out
    Ohio State (55)
    NC-Greensboro (57)
    Oregon (61)
    Arkansas (64)
    Dayton (65)
    Xavier (70)
    Providence (75)
    Georgetown (77)
    Last edited by SelectionSunday; 03-13-2019 at 07:43 AM.


  2. #2
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    Default

    Wow thanks ss

  3. #3

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    What team did the St Marys win boot out?

  4. #4
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyJamesMD View Post
    What team did the St Marys win boot out?
    I booted out Creighton (for now).

  5. #5

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    What do you believe our odds are all things tbd with bid stealers and tourney runs by other bubble teams that if we lose to Penn St tomorrow we still make it?

  6. #6

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    I've re-calibrated things a bit with my bracket.

    We differ on 4.

    I have Texas, TCU, Creighton, and Ohio St in.
    I have Indiana, Florida, Clemson, and Alabama out.

    Last 4 In: St. John's, Ohio St, Belmont, Creighton
    First 4 Out: Indiana, Florida, Clemson, Alabama

  7. #7
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Bubble View Post
    What do you believe our odds are all things tbd with bid stealers and tourney runs by other bubble teams that if we lose to Penn St tomorrow we still make it?
    I'd say 80% chance Gophers still make it with a loss.

    Those bid-stealers can make that percentage shrink very quickly. We've already had one (Saint Mary's), perhaps two (Belmont), who I'm higher on than most.
    Last edited by SelectionSunday; 03-13-2019 at 09:20 AM.

  8. #8

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    Quote Originally Posted by SelectionSunday View Post
    I'd say 80% chance Gophers still make it with a loss.

    Those bid-stealers can make that percentage shrink very quickly. We've already had one (Saint Mary's), perhaps two (Belmont), who I'm higher on than most.
    Very interesting how the ACC and B1G tourneys have set up with de facto elimination games today and tomorrow. No one seems confident Gophers are going to win but lets hope they surprise.

  9. #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by Block M View Post
    Very interesting how the ACC and B1G tourneys have set up with de facto elimination games today and tomorrow. No one seems confident Gophers are going to win but lets hope they surprise.
    And the elimination games do great favors to Minnesota in that we are well above the cut line and will only make more teams unpalatable to put in with another loss

  10. #10

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    Quote Originally Posted by Block M View Post
    Very interesting how the ACC and B1G tourneys have set up with de facto elimination games today and tomorrow. No one seems confident Gophers are going to win but lets hope they surprise.
    Agree. Definitely helps us that at least two other bubble teams we are already ahead of will lose their next game.

  11. #11

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    Quote Originally Posted by bizzle22 View Post
    Agree. Definitely helps us that at least two other bubble teams we are already ahead of will lose their next game.
    It likely takes them out of the pool, and then means two lower teams who were on the outside would somehow have to move up (and pass us) to bump us.
    Highly unlikely.
    "Do Not Be Afraid to Be A Legend"

  12. #12

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    This team really should just beat Penn State and not have to worry about what its. This is the kind of game good teams win.

  13. #13

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    Quote Originally Posted by bleedsmaroonandgold View Post
    This team really should just beat Penn State and not have to worry about what its. This is the kind of game good teams win.
    That’s the problem is a good team wouldn’t be in this situation in the first place as they would have more than two road wins and a solid 7-8 seed.

  14. #14

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    Palm has gophers up to 9 seed

  15. #15

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    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyJamesMD View Post
    Palm has gophers up to 9 seed
    Looks like we now passed Washington and Oklahoma. Seton Hall and TCU also behind us.
    Utah St moved up with us.

    It makes it seem that if Washington and us were both going to lose, that Washington would be more in jeopardy of falling out than us.


    Interesting that Syracuse is now the same seed as us which was a point I was making on this forum just prior to our win over Purdue.

    Our average seeding on bracketmatrix has moved closer to 9 by about a half point.
    Most teams that were right behind us are falling down the rankings to weaker teams, versus moving up towards us. It kind of shows more to the point that we are above the bubble because these other games aren't affect us (except in a positive manner) as more bubble teams are analyzed closer.
    Last edited by Face The Facts; 03-14-2019 at 11:53 AM.
    "Do Not Be Afraid to Be A Legend"

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