GFBfan
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Out of curiosity from the Will we stay in the top 40 thread and the discussion between GWG and Spoofin, I did a little research over the past week for all BIG teams and made a spreadsheet.
I used the 247 site to find each schools class rank for the years 2010 to 2018.
I then found the 4 year average of those rankings starting with 2013. So for 2013 I used the rankings from 2010-2013, etc.
I then went and looked at each teams schedule to determine who they beat and lost to and if they were the higher ranked team by recruiting rankings vs. the team they played. I did this for only BIG games.
This is what I found:
A. In all BIG games, the higher average ranked team was 247 and 100 for a 71% win rate
B. OSU was always in the top 10 of recruiting(except for 2010) but their 4 year ave. was always top 10. Excluding their win totals the higher ranked BIG team was 205 and 95 for a 68% win rate.
C. Teams ranked between 21 and 60 during that time were 123 and 65 for a 65% win rate.
This excluded OSU and Mich every year, PSU in 2018 and 2017, Purdue(every year but 2013), Gophers in 2015 and Illinois in 2016.
D. Teams ranked between 21 and 50 during that time were 32 and 23 for a 58% win rate.
Adding Maryland and Rutgers in 2014 and switching to a 9 game conf. schedule in 2016 didn't impact the win % of the higher ranked team much at all.
I used the 247 site to find each schools class rank for the years 2010 to 2018.
I then found the 4 year average of those rankings starting with 2013. So for 2013 I used the rankings from 2010-2013, etc.
I then went and looked at each teams schedule to determine who they beat and lost to and if they were the higher ranked team by recruiting rankings vs. the team they played. I did this for only BIG games.
This is what I found:
A. In all BIG games, the higher average ranked team was 247 and 100 for a 71% win rate
B. OSU was always in the top 10 of recruiting(except for 2010) but their 4 year ave. was always top 10. Excluding their win totals the higher ranked BIG team was 205 and 95 for a 68% win rate.
C. Teams ranked between 21 and 60 during that time were 123 and 65 for a 65% win rate.
This excluded OSU and Mich every year, PSU in 2018 and 2017, Purdue(every year but 2013), Gophers in 2015 and Illinois in 2016.
D. Teams ranked between 21 and 50 during that time were 32 and 23 for a 58% win rate.
Adding Maryland and Rutgers in 2014 and switching to a 9 game conf. schedule in 2016 didn't impact the win % of the higher ranked team much at all.