Halfway home: What have we learned from the Gophers’ first six games?

DanielHouse

Active member
Joined
Feb 8, 2017
Messages
594
Reaction score
248
Points
43
After six games, the Gophers have reached the midway point of the season with a 3-3 record. An undefeated non-conference slate fueled optimism surrounding the team. However, the question was how they would respond in Big Ten play. Last year, the elevation of competition and physicality was simply too much for the team to handle.

In 2018, the Gophers have clearly improved offensively, but inconsistencies on defense are leading to explosive plays. Injuries to star running back Rodney Smith and safety Antoine Winfield Jr. have also impacted how the team schemes opponents. It’s clear the Gophers need to continue recruiting talent up front on both sides of ball, while adding team speed and playmaking ability in the secondary. Minnesota has shown flashes of progresses with a young roster. At the halfway mark of the season, we’ve learned a few things about this team.

Zack Annexstad is learning through experience

When true freshman walk-on quarterback Zack Annexstad earned the starting job in September, everyone knew the offense would experience growing pains. So far, Annexstad has completed 52.7 percent of his passes for 1,142 yards, eight touchdowns and seven interceptions. He has been gaining confidence in the intermediate passing game, but still struggles with deep ball arm strength and accuracy. Nearly all of Annexstad’s interceptions have occurred on passes of more than 20-plus yards. He has either simply placed the pass poorly with high trajectory or forced passes with pressure in his face.

The one major blemish in his skill-set has been deep ball accuracy and arm strength. It’s a feature currently holding back the Gophers’ offense. Minnesota’s rushing attack is progressing and they have to start taking advantage of play-action looks in the vertical passing game.

Annexstad must also continue improving his processing skills. There are still some situations where he locks into a specific read, especially on third down. Despite occasional inconsistencies, Annexstad has shown promise at a position the Gophers have been trying to develop for quite some time. His ability to hit open receivers at intermediate depths has helped the Minnesota offense establish a rhythm.

During the 2017 season, the Gophers’ quarterbacks passed for just 1,513 and nine touchdowns. At the midway point of 2018, Annexstad has nearly exceeded last year’s passing touchdown total and is approaching other key categories. He hasn’t been perfect, but the the team has shown signs of life through the air. Annexstad will continue to benefit from learning skills such as moving safeties, finding his reads and knowing when to move in the pocket.

A wide receiver talent injection


The biggest area of growth for the Gophers is at the wide receiver position. Freshmen Rashod Bateman and Chris Autman-Bell have provided a much-needed talent injection to the roster. Last year, Minnesota’s wide receivers tallied just 66 receptions for 1,115 yards and seven touchdowns. This season, the unit has already posted 83 receptions for 1,037 yards and nine scores. The talent upgrade has helped the Gophers create one of their most formidable wide receiver units in recent memory. Rashod Bateman is an explosive playmaker with blossoming technical skills and Chris Autman-Bell has fantastic hands in traffic.

The young duo has combined with veteran Tyler Johnson to create a dynamic trio. The ability of these three players has helped ease the transition for a young quarterback. It has also helped Minnesota become less reliant on the run and more balanced offensively. As Bateman and Autman-Bell continue to develop, the future at the skill spots is bright. The Gophers are creating a blueprint for recruiting and development at the position. With such a talent disparity in the past, wide receiver growth was a major area of emphasis for the Gophers’ staff.

Mistakes in the secondary

Over the past two games, the Gophers’ secondary has been making small alignment or technique mistakes that have resulted in big plays. This has been particularly evident in the backend with the loss of Antoine Winfield Jr. The coaching staff shifted cornerback Antonio Shenault to safety and he is learning a new position. In the Maryland game, true freshman Jordan Howden was also thrust into a big role after Winfield exited with an injury. The Gophers decided to move Shenault to safety as they searched for veteran experience. Injuries and shuffling in the secondary has really affected the Minnesota defense.

They have allowed 16 explosive plays over the past two games and part of this is directly related to mistakes by defensive backs. There have been occasional coverage breakdowns, misalignments and miscommunications that have led to big plays.

Many key components of Minnesota’s defense were built around Antoine Winfield Jr.’s versatility. Big plays are funneled back to him and he is reliable enough to be in the correct alignment. In addition, Minnesota’s secondary has also played more zone coverage, forcing teams to hit the soft spots and work their way up the field. Teams have taken advantage of this scheme decision by running intermediate routes to place a strain on various coverages. Not only that, but Minnesota hasn’t played much man-press on the outside. This starts with having the correct personnel and depth. Right now, it’s just a little thin.

MORE:http://www.1500espn.com/gophers-2/2018/10/halfway-home-learned-gophers-first-six-games/
 

The passing game may be slightly prettier but the total offensive production in terms of numbers is the same or less. I’m not going to go into time of possession or turnover ratio as I don’t have the time. S&P+ thinks we’re incrementally better this year at 103rd.

2017 2089 yards
2018 2103 yards

2017 167 points 27.83 per game
2018 153 points 25.5 per game

Obviously it’s early and we hope the numbers inch up and we start hitting on all cylinders down the stretch.
 

Allowing explosive plays on defense is one thing.

But turnovers through the air is our death knell. Every pick that Annexstad throws, takes the wind out of our sails for that game.

Especially if: 1) we're going to keep running the ball as well as we did against Ohio St, and 2) we can mostly eliminate the pressures and give him time to throw. We have to be able to throw it and not have it picked off. If that means no more long throws ... well, what else can you do?? I'll take medium slant strikes, plus good runs, plus wildcat runs, plus TE sneaking out and getting a pass ... all day, every day. Move the ball. Then hope the D can hold on, bend don't break.
 
Last edited:

The passing game may be slightly prettier but the total offensive production in terms of numbers is the same or less. I’m not going to go into time of possession or turnover ratio as I don’t have the time. S&P+ thinks we’re incrementally better this year at 103rd.

2017 2089 yards
2018 2103 yards

2017 167 points 27.83 per game
2018 153 points 25.5 per game

Obviously it’s early and we hope the numbers inch up and we start hitting on all cylinders down the stretch.

Missing out on Rodney and Shannon hasn't helped the running game. We've had to rely exclusively on freshmen...
 

Missing out on Rodney and Shannon hasn't helped the running game. We've had to rely exclusively on freshmen...

Ibrahim has 415 yards on 71 carries for 5.8 yards per carry and most of his yardage has come against Big Ten teams. Rodney was averaging 6.2 yards per carry but virtually all of that was against New Mexico State. I'm not sure we'd be better off with either of those guys starting ahead of Ibrahim, but, then again, I'm not a sentimentalist.
 


Schedule definitely lightens up the back half. Not sure what to expect given the facts below.

*Fleck is now 2-10 in Big Ten games after inheriting a 9 win team that won a Bowl game.
--> Brewster and Kill were both 3-9 in their first 12 conference games and both inherited a worse situation.
*Last 5 Big Ten games they have lost 33-0, 37-0, 42-13, 48-31, and 30-14. That's a combined 190-58.
*Fleck was 30-22 in 4 seasons at WMU. Seven of those wins came against non MAC teams.


Northwestern
Illinois
UMASS
Idaho
Middle Tennessee State
Georgia Southern
NC Central

In Fleck's 4 years at WMU he was 2-7 vs. Big Ten teams -- which was his conference record in "Year Zero" at Minnesota.

W - Northwestern & Illinois
L - MSU (twice), NW, Iowa, Purdue, OSU, Wisconsin

At the end of the day it's still a bit early to jump to conclusions on Fleck's future at the U.....but at the same time his resume to date is not impressive.
 
Last edited:




Top Bottom