Iceland12
Well-known member
- Joined
- Nov 12, 2008
- Messages
- 24,453
- Reaction score
- 2,285
- Points
- 113
Whether it’s five-star Stanford commit Davis Mills, Clemson early enrollee Hunter Johnson, touted Alabama pledge Tua Tagovailoa or Michigan-bound Dylan McCaffrey, all as of this moment are viewed as the quarterbacks of the future at their respective programs.
In reality, if recent averages hold, only one of those four names will go on to become a star, another might start for a couple of years — and the other two will finish their careers at another school.
If it seems like high-profile quarterback recruits transfer at an unusually high rate, well, it’s because they do. Using 247Sports’ composite rankings, FOX Sports researched the careers of every Top 50 quarterback recruit that signed from 2011-14.
Exactly half — 100 of 200 — transferred from their original school.
Which means there’s a 1-in-2 chance Gatorade Player of the Year Tate Martell will leave Ohio State roughly halfway through his time there. It’s 50-50 whether five-star Texas A&M early enrollee Kellen Mond finishes his career in College Station. (Aggies fans are conditioned at this point to seeing touted quarterbacks transfer.)
It didn’t used to be this way.
Go back 15 years to 2002, when future Texas star Vince Young sat atop the recruiting rankings. Of the 24 quarterbacks to earn composite four- or five-star ratings, all but five finished their careers at the school they signed with out of high school. Only a few (Young, Ohio State’s Troy Smith, Michigan State’s Drew Stanton) emerged as stars. Far more waited their turn and started eventually, or, in a few cases, changed positions or joined the baseball team...
https://www.foxsports.com/college-f...ua-tagovailoa-michigan-dylan-mccaffrey-013017
In reality, if recent averages hold, only one of those four names will go on to become a star, another might start for a couple of years — and the other two will finish their careers at another school.
If it seems like high-profile quarterback recruits transfer at an unusually high rate, well, it’s because they do. Using 247Sports’ composite rankings, FOX Sports researched the careers of every Top 50 quarterback recruit that signed from 2011-14.
Exactly half — 100 of 200 — transferred from their original school.
Which means there’s a 1-in-2 chance Gatorade Player of the Year Tate Martell will leave Ohio State roughly halfway through his time there. It’s 50-50 whether five-star Texas A&M early enrollee Kellen Mond finishes his career in College Station. (Aggies fans are conditioned at this point to seeing touted quarterbacks transfer.)
It didn’t used to be this way.
Go back 15 years to 2002, when future Texas star Vince Young sat atop the recruiting rankings. Of the 24 quarterbacks to earn composite four- or five-star ratings, all but five finished their careers at the school they signed with out of high school. Only a few (Young, Ohio State’s Troy Smith, Michigan State’s Drew Stanton) emerged as stars. Far more waited their turn and started eventually, or, in a few cases, changed positions or joined the baseball team...
https://www.foxsports.com/college-f...ua-tagovailoa-michigan-dylan-mccaffrey-013017
