Big Ten RPI, KenPom & Combined Rankings

SelectionSunday

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RPI
3 Michigan State
16 Purdue
44 Michigan
47 Ohio State
49 Gophers
58 Nebraska
76 Maryland
117 Wisconsin
121 Northwestern
142 Penn State
152 Rutgers
184 Indiana
186 Illinois
245 Iowa

KenPom
2 Michigan State
8 Purdue
35 Gophers
38 Maryland
40 Penn State
41 Michigan
51 Ohio State
58 Northwestern
60 Wisconsin
80 Iowa
82 Indiana
90 Nebraska
100 Illinois
104 Rutgers

Combined
1 Michigan State (2.5)
2 Purdue (12)
3 Gophers (42)
4 Michigan (42.5)
5 Ohio State (49)
6 Maryland (57)
7 Nebraska (74)
8 Wisconsin (88.5)
9 Northwestern (89.5)
10 Penn State (91)
11 Rutgers (128)
12 Indiana (133)
13 Illinois (143)
14 Iowa (162.5)
 

Half the Big 10 being outside the RPI Top 100 is really bad, especially with very few notable nonconf games left.

The bubble and seeding will likely be unkind.
 

Half the Big 10 being outside the RPI Top 100 is really bad, especially with very few notable nonconf games left.

The bubble and seeding will likely be unkind.

And 1 (Wisconsin) of the 2 Big 10 teams (the other Purdue) the bubble could be kind to for scheduling tough in the non-conference won't be anywhere near the bubble because they lost every single one of their notable non-conference games. Things will have to go about perfectly right during the conference season for the Big 10 to get more than 5 bids. And 4 not out of the question if things fall wrong. I'd set the over-under at 5.5.
 

Gophers OOC opponents combined RPI(RPI figures from ncaa.com) & KenPom:

South Carolina Upstate: 322
Providence: 59
Niagara: 208.5
Western Carolina: 242.5
Alabama A&M: 347.5
Umass: 166
Alabama: 32
Miami: 33
Arkansas: 19

Future Opponents:

Drake: 207
Oral Roberts: 249.5
Florida Atlantic: 180
Harvard: 164.6

Only a 2-2 record against the Top 150. Doesn't bode well at all. No game remaining against teams in the top 150. Last year's team was 9-1 against RPI top 150.
 

And 1 (Wisconsin) of the 2 Big 10 teams (the other Purdue) the bubble could be kind to for scheduling tough in the non-conference won't be anywhere near the bubble because they lost every single one of their notable non-conference games. Things will have to go about perfectly right during the conference season for the Big 10 to get more than 5 bids. And 4 not out of the question if things fall wrong. I'd set the over-under at 5.5.

Gophers should go about 14-4 then if the Big ten is really this bad
 


Gophers should go about 14-4 then if the Big ten is really this bad

I had the Gophers under 14 before the season started (12-6). 12-6 still attainable, but already having a L to Nebraska makes that more dicey.

Even with the way the Big 10 has played out so far, (assuming the Gophers don't gag in any of the last 4 NC games) I have no concerns about the Gophers missing the field if they go 11-7. Percentages are somewhere in those 11 wins would be at least a couple top-50 and/or top-75 Quadrant 1 wins.

Finish 10-8 or worse, then all bets are off.
 

Gophers should go about 14-4 then if the Big ten is really this bad

As always, the key will be to win the winnable games...and they already lost one of them. Bad defense is just the thing to make you lose games you should win.
 

Sagarin has them at 37, behind Maryland and Michigan and ahead of Ohio State.
 

Wins vs. Michigan State and Purdue will be like gold & silver

Wins vs. Michigan State are going to be like gold for Big 10 at-large hopefuls. For resume purposes, those will feel like double or triple their value.

And if you're not able to knock off the Spartans, you better at least beat Purdue once if you want something truly useful (from the Big 10) on your NCAA Tournament resume.
 



Just dont lose at home again.

I think we'll make it as a program when Williams actually becomes an impossible place to win
 

Just dont lose at home again.

I'll give the Gophers one "mulligan" at home, and I expect that mulligan (if you can call it that) to be MSU. But if the loss is someone other than Sparty, that's even better.

That means win 3 or 4 road games to go 11-7 or 12-6.
 




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