Gopher07
Captain of Awesome
- Joined
- Nov 20, 2008
- Messages
- 9,008
- Reaction score
- 15
- Points
- 38
Back again with as the doom and gloom slide continues. Iowa goes back to "likely loss" territory, while MSU creeps closer. Not much else to report on this week as the numbers have settled in for the most part.
Interestingly enough - this is pretty close to what we saw in the preseason. The preseason numbers expected Oregon State and Nebraska to be way better and expected Maryland and Purdue to be worse, but had us pegged at 5-7. Gotta hope we can win two out of three of our toss-ups if we want to make a bowl (and, of course, take care of business against a dreadful Illinois team). That starts Saturday night at TCF.
A reminder on how I arrive here, I take Jeff Sagarin's predictor ratings (found here), and calculate what the computer says the spread should be, for now through the end of the season. Negative numbers favor the Gophers, positive favor the opponent.
vs Buffalo W (Predicted -22; Actual -10)
@ Oregon State W (Predicted -4.5; Actual -34)
vs Middle Tennessee W (Predicted -14.5; Actual -31)
vs Maryland L (Predicted -11; Actual +7)
@ Purdue L (Predicted -2; Actual +14)
vs Michigan State +5
vs Illinois -16.5
@ Iowa +8
@ Michigan +13.5
vs Nebraska -2
@ Northwestern +4
vs Wisconsin +15
Final record: 5-7 (2-7)
Likely in the W column (>7-point advantage to Minnesota): vs Illinois
Toss ups (no team with a greater than 7-point advantage): vs Michigan State, vs Nebraska, @ Northwestern
Likely in the L column (>7-point advantage to opponent): @ Iowa, @ Michigan, vs Wisconsin
Previous weeks:
Preseason
Week One
Week Two
Week Three
Week Four
Week Five
Week Six
Interestingly enough - this is pretty close to what we saw in the preseason. The preseason numbers expected Oregon State and Nebraska to be way better and expected Maryland and Purdue to be worse, but had us pegged at 5-7. Gotta hope we can win two out of three of our toss-ups if we want to make a bowl (and, of course, take care of business against a dreadful Illinois team). That starts Saturday night at TCF.
A reminder on how I arrive here, I take Jeff Sagarin's predictor ratings (found here), and calculate what the computer says the spread should be, for now through the end of the season. Negative numbers favor the Gophers, positive favor the opponent.
vs Buffalo W (Predicted -22; Actual -10)
@ Oregon State W (Predicted -4.5; Actual -34)
vs Middle Tennessee W (Predicted -14.5; Actual -31)
vs Maryland L (Predicted -11; Actual +7)
@ Purdue L (Predicted -2; Actual +14)
vs Michigan State +5
vs Illinois -16.5
@ Iowa +8
@ Michigan +13.5
vs Nebraska -2
@ Northwestern +4
vs Wisconsin +15
Final record: 5-7 (2-7)
Likely in the W column (>7-point advantage to Minnesota): vs Illinois
Toss ups (no team with a greater than 7-point advantage): vs Michigan State, vs Nebraska, @ Northwestern
Likely in the L column (>7-point advantage to opponent): @ Iowa, @ Michigan, vs Wisconsin
Previous weeks:
Preseason
Week One
Week Two
Week Three
Week Four
Week Five
Week Six
