Updated Individual Win Probabilities

Gophers7NatTitlesBadgers0 said:

.085% chance of winning 12 games. So you're telling me there's a chance.

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hello-world said:

Yes I am ignoring correlation between games.
Does that make this completely inaccurate? Maybe.
Doesn't count the bowl game, so the over on 7.5 is starting to look like a much better bet.

0 wins: 0% chance
1 wins: 0% chance
2 wins: 0% chance
3 wins: .036% chance
4 wins: .513% chance
5 wins: 3.756% chance
6 wins: 13.079% chance
7 wins: 25.700% chance
8 wins: 29.348% chance
9 wins: 19.248% chance
10 wins: 7.016% chance
11 wins: 1.219% chance
12 wins: .085% chance

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Gophers7NatTitlesBadgers0 said:

.085% chance of winning 12 games. So you're telling me there's a chance.

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Hollinsanity said:

What inputs are you using?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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A_Slab_of_Bacon said:

It's better odds than many teams... particularly those who already lost!

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swingman said:

Only 21 teams have better odds of winning National Champinship than Gophers at 80-1.

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/futures/

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swingman said:

Only 21 teams have better odds of winning National Champinship than Gophers at 80-1.

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/futures/

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Gophers7NatTitlesBadgers0 said:

.085% chance of winning 12 games. So you're telling me there's a chance.

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Gophers7NatTitlesBadgers0 said:

.085% chance of winning 12 games. So you're telling me there's a chance.

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denguegopher said:

8.5/10,000 - yes, there is a chance. That chance is what makes Gopher fans come back every year.

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dpodoll68 said:

It's 85/10,000, actually.

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