College football by the odds: Six teams to bet against this season - LasVegasSun

Iceland12

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It’s time to counterbalance college football betting optimism with some pessimism.

Last week, Talking Points started positive by picking six bet-on teams for the upcoming season. Now it’s time for negativity after combing the five major conferences and the regional Mountain West for a bet-against team in each league


Georgia Tech - LSU - USC - Texas Tech - Air Force

Minnesota

The Big Ten was the toughest conference to find a bet-against. With the least experience of any team in the nation, Michigan was a strong candidate but coach Jim Harbaugh is too proven at consistently beating betting numbers. Penn State figures to carry high asking prices after last year’s breakthrough, but the rest of the conference looks ill equipped to combat its uptempo offensive attack. That leaves a crowded middle class to choose from, where Minnesota looks like it might have high expectations by default. The Golden Gophers could be favored in as many as eight games this season. They’re 4-9 against the spread as favorites in the last two seasons. Minnesota made one of the best hires in college football this offseason in Western Michigan’s P.J. Fleck, but its roster is not currently equipped with the type of personnel he needs to fully integrate his preferred spread-passing attack. It’s going to take time for Fleck to get Minnesota into contention, just as it did after he debuted at Western Michigan with a 1-11 straight-up, 4-8 against the spread record in his first season.

https://lasvegassun.com/blogs/talki...e-football-by-the-odds-six-teams-to-bet-agai/
 




It’s time to counterbalance college football betting optimism with some pessimism.

Last week, Talking Points started positive by picking six bet-on teams for the upcoming season. Now it’s time for negativity after combing the five major conferences and the regional Mountain West for a bet-against team in each league


Georgia Tech - LSU - USC - Texas Tech - Air Force

Minnesota

The Big Ten was the toughest conference to find a bet-against. With the least experience of any team in the nation, Michigan was a strong candidate but coach Jim Harbaugh is too proven at consistently beating betting numbers. Penn State figures to carry high asking prices after last year’s breakthrough, but the rest of the conference looks ill equipped to combat its uptempo offensive attack. That leaves a crowded middle class to choose from, where Minnesota looks like it might have high expectations by default. The Golden Gophers could be favored in as many as eight games this season. They’re 4-9 against the spread as favorites in the last two seasons. Minnesota made one of the best hires in college football this offseason in Western Michigan’s P.J. Fleck, but its roster is not currently equipped with the type of personnel he needs to fully integrate his preferred spread-passing attack. It’s going to take time for Fleck to get Minnesota into contention, just as it did after he debuted at Western Michigan with a 1-11 straight-up, 4-8 against the spread record in his first season.

https://lasvegassun.com/blogs/talki...e-football-by-the-odds-six-teams-to-bet-agai/

Fleck has actually said the opposite...he's said that is one of the things different between his 1st year a WMU and here. He already has the right type of player on the roster here, and did not at WMU.
 


The job of the bookie is to take equal money and take the vig. They aren't fans, they are actuaries.
 


All that said, I'm still not taking the Gophers at 7.5, so I can't disagree
 

I am familiar with the Sun & Review Journal. I can say from experience that their writer's sports predictions are frequently wrong.
 








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