Field of 68 Projection (through Feb. 26)

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SelectionSunday

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RPI is noted in parentheses.

FIELD OF 68 (2 weeks from Selection Sunday)
America East (1): Vermont (47)

American (2): Cincinnati (14), SMU (18)

ACC (9): North Carolina (3), Louisville (4), Florida State (12), Duke (13), Virginia (19), Notre Dame (22), Miami (35), Virginia Tech (39), Syracuse (78)

Atlantic Sun (1): Florida Gulf Coast (85)

Atlantic 10 (3): Dayton (21), VCU (24), Rhode Island (44)

Big East (7): Villanova (2), Butler (10), Creighton (23), Xavier (26), Seton Hall (49), Providence (52), Marquette (72)

Big Sky (1): North Dakota (156)

Big South (1): Winthrop (79)

B1G (7): GOPHERS (16), Purdue (20), Maryland (28), Wisconsin (32), Michigan State (42), Michigan (46), Northwestern (50)

Big XII (5): Kansas (1), Baylor (8), West Virginia (25), Oklahoma State (27), Iowa State (36)

Big West (1): UC Irvine (149)

Colonial (1): NC-Wilmington (37)

Conference USA (1): Middle Tennessee (29)

Horizon (1): Oakland (103)

Ivy (1): Princeton (53)

MAAC (1): Monmouth (41)

MAC (1): Akron (55)

MEAC (1): NCCU (193)

Missouri Valley (2): Illinois State (33), Wichita State (40)

Mountain West (1): Nevada (43)

Northeast (1): Mount Saint Mary's (165)

Ohio Valley (1): Belmont (58)

Pac 12 (5): Oregon (5), Arizona (9), UCLA (15), USC (38), Cal (51)

Patriot (1): Bucknell (74)

SEC (4): Florida (6), Kentucky (7), South Carolina (30), Arkansas (31)

Southern (1): East Tennessee State (69)

Southland (1): New Orleans (168)

SWAC (1): Texas Southern (132)

Summit (1): South Dakota (106)

Sun Belt (1): Texas-Arlington (34)

West Coast (2): Gonzaga (11), Saint Mary's (17)

WAC (1): Bakersfield (77)


Last 4 In: Rhode Island (44), Cal (51), Marquette (72), Syracuse (78)

First 4 Out: Wake Forest (45), Vanderbilt (48), Houston (54), Illinois (57)

Others Considered (7): Georgia (56), TCU (60), Kansas State (68), Ole Miss (70), BYU (71), Iowa (94), Georgia Tech (95)

Non-Power 6 At-Larges (5): Cincinnati (14), Saint Mary's (17), VCU (24), Wichita State (40), Rhode Island (44)

Gophers vs. Projected Field of 68 (7-5)
Texas-Arlington (W)
Mount Saint Mary's (W)
Arkansas (W)
@ Florida State (L)
Michigan State (L)
@ Purdue (W)
@ Northwestern (W)
@ Michigan State (L)
Wisconsin (L)
Maryland (L)
Michigan (W)
@ Maryland (W)
 

SelectionSunday said:
RPI is noted in parentheses.

FIELD OF 68 (2 weeks from Selection Sunday)
America East (1): Vermont (47)

American (2): Cincinnati (14), SMU (18)

ACC (9): North Carolina (3), Louisville (4), Florida State (12), Duke (13), Virginia (19), Notre Dame (22), Miami (35), Virginia Tech (39), Syracuse (78)

Atlantic Sun (1): Florida Gulf Coast (85)

Atlantic 10 (3): Dayton (21), VCU (24), Rhode Island (44)

Big East (7): Villanova (2), Butler (10), Creighton (23), Xavier (26), Seton Hall (49), Providence (52), Marquette (72)

Big Sky (1): North Dakota (156)

Big South (1): Winthrop (79)

B1G (7): GOPHERS (16), Purdue (20), Maryland (28), Wisconsin (32), Michigan State (42), Michigan (46), Northwestern (50)

Big XII (5): Kansas (1), Baylor (8), West Virginia (25), Oklahoma State (27), Iowa State (36)

Big West (1): UC Irvine (149)

Colonial (1): NC-Wilmington (37)

Conference USA (1): Middle Tennessee (29)

Horizon (1): Oakland (103)

Ivy (1): Princeton (53)

MAAC (1): Monmouth (41)

MAC (1): Akron (55)

MEAC (1): NCCU (193)

Missouri Valley (2): Illinois State (33), Wichita State (40)

Mountain West (1): Nevada (43)

Northeast (1): Mount Saint Mary's (165)

Ohio Valley (1): Belmont (58)

Pac 12 (5): Oregon (5), Arizona (9), UCLA (15), USC (38), Cal (51)

Patriot (1): Bucknell (74)

SEC (4): Florida (6), Kentucky (7), South Carolina (30), Arkansas (31)

Southern (1): East Tennessee State (69)

Southland (1): New Orleans (168)

SWAC (1): Texas Southern (132)

Summit (1): South Dakota (106)

Sun Belt (1): Texas-Arlington (34)

West Coast (2): Gonzaga (11), Saint Mary's (17)

WAC (1): Bakersfield (77)


Last 4 In: Rhode Island (44), Cal (51), Marquette (72), Syracuse (78)

First 4 Out: Wake Forest (45), Vanderbilt (48), Houston (54), Illinois (57)

Others Considered (7): Georgia (56), TCU (60), Kansas State (68), Ole Miss (70), BYU (71), Iowa (94), Georgia Tech (95)

Non-Power 6 At-Larges (5): Cincinnati (14), Saint Mary's (17), VCU (24), Wichita State (40), Rhode Island (44)

Gophers vs. Projected Field of 68 (6-5)
Texas-Arlington (W)
Mount Saint Mary's (W)
Arkansas (W)
@ Florida State (L)
Michigan State (L)
@ Purdue (W)
@ Northwestern (W)
@ Michigan State (L)
Wisconsin (L)
Maryland (L)
Michigan (W)
Click to expand...

I do believe you're missing our most recent victory at Maryland (7-5)
 


Hopefully Vandy can sneak in and we can beat Wisconsin and add another quality win or two in the BTT. Be great to have double digit wins against the field! Did the 97 team unofficially accomplish that?
 

I still think there is an outside chance we don't make the tourney, because, you know, Gophers.
 


Northwestern is standing on the ledge dangling its toes over the edge. Will be an interesting week for them.
 

SS, how long did you 'consider' Iowa. I hope it wasn't for more than 2 seconds. Them making it this year after some of the times we've gotten stiffed would be tough to take.
 

BarnBoy said:
I still think there is an outside chance we don't make the tourney, because, you know, Gophers.
Click to expand...

I hear Myron P Medcalf is working on a huge story that will break on Selection Sunday. :cool02:
 

howeda7 said:
SS, how long did you 'consider' Iowa. I hope it wasn't for more than 2 seconds. Them making it this year after some of the times we've gotten stiffed would be tough to take.
Click to expand...

Only enough to add to what's an already too big bubble list. Win last 2, win 2 or 3 in D.C., that might at least get Hawkeyes in the ballpark.
 



Northwestern is getting pretty close to being a lock for the NIT.
 

Northwestern needs both this week to feel comfortable heading to D.C. I don't think a split (10-8) locks the Wildcats in. And if Illinois gets solidly into the at-large mix with a couple wins this week, then 'Cats fans should be even more nervous.
 

Jeff Borzello
ESPN Staff Writer

Minnesota is going to somehow end up as the highest-seeded Big Ten team in the NCAA Tournament, aren't they?

 

I could see just about any of our tourney teams in the Sweet Sixteen - save Northwestern - at this point. I also wouldn't be surprised by any team not making the Sweet Sixteen. We're a good conference this year, but we don't have anyone elite to carry the flag deep into the tourney.
 



Otis said:
Jeff Borzello
ESPN Staff Writer

Minnesota is going to somehow end up as the highest-seeded Big Ten team in the NCAA Tournament, aren't they?

Click to expand...

I was starting to wonder this last week. At some point all of these top 100 wins and strong SOS should pay off... even if the voters keep thinking we stink.

Darn computer rankings where margin of victory matters!!!
 

I hope Northwestern doesn't make it. There, I said it.
#Schadenfreude
 

SelectionSunday said:
Northwestern needs both this week to feel comfortable heading to D.C. I don't think a split (10-8) locks the Wildcats in. And if Illinois gets solidly into the at-large mix with a couple wins this week, then 'Cats fans should be even more nervous.
Click to expand...

Thanks, Hodger. This is what I was looking for. An earlier post this morning must have ended up in cyber space. I think the Cats are on thin ice, but they will get the sentimental vote. I believe they will lose their last two and they better hope for a favorable match-up at Verizon.

I am becoming an Illinois fan. Groce is growing on me. I compare him to Pitino last year. He kept a sinking ship afloat.

What about Vandy? Not sure of their schedule, but do they have a realistic shot at sneaking into the field?
 

Holy Man said:
Thanks, Hodger. This is what I was looking for. An earlier post this morning must have ended up in cyber space. I think the Cats are on thin ice, but they will get the sentimental vote. I believe they will lose their last two and they better hope for a favorable match-up at Verizon.

I am becoming an Illinois fan. Groce is growing on me. I compare him to Pitino last year. He kept a sinking ship afloat.

What about Vandy? Not sure of their schedule, but do they have a realistic shot at sneaking into the field?
Click to expand...

Vandy plays Kentucky and Florida before the SEC tourney so if they can pull out one upset, not get smoked, and then maybe make a little noise in their conference tourney they will be talked about a little more.
 

tmvander said:
Vandy plays Kentucky and Florida before the SEC tourney so if they can pull out one upset, not get smoked, and then maybe make a little noise in their conference tourney they will be talked about a little more.
Click to expand...

With Florida and Kentucky, I would put Vandy in the no-chance category. Close losses won't do it for them. They might stay in the top 50 though with losses to the big boys.
 

This is sort of an off-topic rant, but I just need somewhere to put it. For some reason it pisses me off how Lunardi loves Oklahoma State. Probably because he rates them higher than the Gophers. I really can't figure out why. He's over-seeded them in his bracketology for multiple weeks in a row. They are deserving of being in the tournament but their resume does not warrant a 6 seed in my opinion. Good RPI (26), and SOS (25), but 1-5 vs RPI top 25, 3-7 vs RPI top 50, and 9-8 vs RPI top 100. Their 3 best wins are against Arkansas (RPI 29), @WVU (RPI 25) and @Witchita State (RPI 41). The WVU win is pretty good, but its really their only "good" win. 3-7 against the RPI top 50 is terrible compared to other teams that Lunardi has in the 5, 6, 7 seed range. They have won 10 of their last 12 games, but out of those 10 wins their only wins against tournament teams were against WVU and Arkansas - all the rest against average or bottom feeder Big12 opponents. Plus, they have a really bad loss against Texas (RPI 155). They are in no way a 6 seed. For some reason, the BPI really likes them (I think it emphasizes recent winning streaks), and I think the S-Curve is based off BPI, which Lunardi in turn bases his bracket off of. I would be EXTREMELY surprised if the tournament selection committee actually places them as a 6 seed. They look more like an 8 or 9 seed to me.
 

Holy Man said:
What about Vandy? Not sure of their schedule, but do they have a realistic shot at sneaking into the field?
Click to expand...

Let's just put it this way. If Vandy wins both games this week, I think they'll be in really good shape heading to the SEC Tournament. The Commodores play @ Kentucky and host Florida to end the season. A split probably keeps them afloat, but they'd have to go real deep (championship game?) in Nashville because of all those losses.

(edit: didn't see tmvander's post before posting this)
 

tmvander said:
Vandy plays Kentucky and Florida before the SEC tourney so if they can pull out one upset, not get smoked, and then maybe make a little noise in their conference tourney they will be talked about a little more.
Click to expand...

They beat UF on the road, so they are more than capable of getting a home win, tough draw getting both those teams twice, they gave Kentucky a battle earlier in the year
 

I always get sucked into Purdue come tournament time because they are such a talented team, but man they disappear when the big lights come on.
 

SS, do you still think Xavier is going to get into the tourney?

Selection Committee takes into account injuries, and more often than not it hurts a team's chances. Since their PG has gone down, they have lost 5 games in a row. I'm thinking they need to show that they've figured out how to win and more than just one game, with out their injured player, before they will even get into the tourney. In a sense, their resume before the player got injured wont even be looked at unless they can show that they have overcome the lost player, right? If they lose their next 2 games and the first game of the conf tourney, I don't think they will even get considered.

1 win from now til they are knocked out of their conf tourney and I think they might get considered, but probably still left out, unless its a big win. 2 wins and they'll probably give them the benefit of the doubt and let them in, their seed depending on who they beat.


Or do you disagree?
 

Feel like Gophers will be highest seeded BT team if they beat WI. If not, they'll slip below a couple.
 

KillmeNow said:
SS, do you still think Xavier is going to get into the tourney?

Selection Committee takes into account injuries, and more often than not it hurts a team's chances. Since their PG has gone down, they have lost 5 games in a row. I'm thinking they need to show that they've figured out how to win and more than just one game, with out their injured player, before they will even get into the tourney. In a sense, their resume before the player got injured wont even be looked at unless they can show that they have overcome the lost player, right? If they lose their next 2 games and the first game of the conf tourney, I don't think they will even get considered.

1 win from now til they are knocked out of their conf tourney and I think they might get considered, but probably still left out, unless its a big win. 2 wins and they'll probably give them the benefit of the doubt and let them in, their seed depending on who they beat.


Or do you disagree?
Click to expand...

They're in with 2 wins, might get in with 1. Too many variables to be sure.
 


KillmeNow said:
SS, do you still think Xavier is going to get into the tourney?

Selection Committee takes into account injuries, and more often than not it hurts a team's chances. Since their PG has gone down, they have lost 5 games in a row. I'm thinking they need to show that they've figured out how to win and more than just one game, with out their injured player, before they will even get into the tourney. In a sense, their resume before the player got injured wont even be looked at unless they can show that they have overcome the lost player, right? If they lose their next 2 games and the first game of the conf tourney, I don't think they will even get considered.

1 win from now til they are knocked out of their conf tourney and I think they might get considered, but probably still left out, unless its a big win. 2 wins and they'll probably give them the benefit of the doubt and let them in, their seed depending on who they beat.


Or do you disagree?
Click to expand...

Xavier is in danger of ending a remarkable streak. They have finished at least .500 in their conference every year since 1982.
 

Non-Power 6 Teams Worth At-Large Look If Don't Win Conference Tournament

Listed in RPI order, with KenPom in parentheses.

#11. Gonzaga (#1 KenPom)
#14. Cincinnati (#24)
#18. Saint Mary's (#14)
#19. SMU (#16)
#21. Dayton (#31)
#23. VCU (#45)
#30. Middle Tennessee (#47)
#33. Illinois State (#44)
#35. Texas-Arlington (#73)
#38. NC-Wilmington (#58)
#40. Wichita State (#10)
#43. Nevada (#63)
#44. Rhode Island (#53)
 


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