Right now, I think our absolute floor is a 6 seed with our SOS and number of quality wins. Win 2 of the next 3 and one game in the tourney, I'm thinking 5 seed. Ceiling is a 4 seed if we win the last 3 and get to BIG title game. All scenarios are realistic right now.
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Not sure why you think a #4 seed is the Gopher's ceiling? Purdue is seen by most as a #3 seed right now, and we beat them in their house.
And Minnesota's resume is shaping up to look just as good as the big 3 of UW-Mary-Purdue, if not better.
And finishing out 11-1 will require a win AT Wisconsin, and a neutral court win vs either Wisconsin or Maryland most likely.
That would give Minnesota a ROAD WIN vs every one of the Top 5 teams in the B1G conf, minus us of course.
Outside observers would look at the B1G conf and they would say that Minnesota is the best team in the conference, or at least almost as good as Purdue, if we lose to Purdue in the BTT title game. But then maybe Purdue gets bumped up to a #2 seed or maybe Purdue and the Gophers get #3 seeds?
And nothing says we can't go 12-0 and win the BTT. So would we still then only be able to climb as high as #4?
If you look at the bracketmatrix, BEFORE we beat Maryland on the road, there were several brackets that had us as a #6 seed. A win like this one vs Maryland, and by a very comfortable score, on the road, will convince a lot of people that were previously non-believers or just not yet sure about the Gophers, that they are for real.
Before we even win the last 6 games, we'll move up to a solid #6 seed and those brackets that had us as a #6 already, will surely move us up to a #5. We might even be a consensus #5. So add on 6 more wins, including a road game vs Wisconsin and 2 wins in the semis and final of the BTT vs, more than likely, 2 of the big 3, and you think we'd only move up another seed or two?
Don't let the snub of Wisconsin from the Top 16 when it came out fool you, they didn't deserve being in the Top 16 at that time.