Bill Connelly's way-too-early 2017 S&P+ projections (Gophers #47)

Recruiting is easy. I simply create a projected rating based on these two-year recruiting rankings. The recruiting-based projection makes up 25 percent of the overall S&P+ projection.

For returning production, I apply projected changes (based on each team’s returning offensive and defensive production, which are on different scales) to last year’s S&P+ averages. The projection based on returning production accounts for 56 percent.

For recent history, I’ve gotten a little weird. I found that the previous year’s S&P+ ratings were carrying a little too much weight in the projections, so what you see below is a projection based solely off of seasons two to five years ago. Recent history now carries less weight in the overall formulas, only 19 percent. It basically acts as a slight supplement to the two factors above.

Click to expand...

Gopher07 said:

Strangely enough he had us projected at #42 last season in the initial projections and we finished #42 in the final stats.

Click to expand...

Gopher07 said:

http://www.sbnation.com/college-foo...t=chorus&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter



Our 2017 opponents:

10. Michigan
11. Wisconsin
37. Northwestern
42. Nebraska
44. Michigan State
47. Minnesota
48. Iowa
54. Oregon State
72. Maryland
85. Illinois
87. Purdue
89. Middle Tennessee
128. Buffalo

Click to expand...

dpodoll68 said:

So using this metric, we should go at least 7-5. We shouldn't expect a bowl season, though.

Click to expand...

A_Slab_of_Bacon said:

WE ARE WHO WE THOUGHT WE WERE!

Click to expand...