Posted this in another thread as well, but this thread seems more active so I'll post it here as well
After doing a little digging it looks like there's a good chance we will make a bowl game at 5-7.
As mentioned above, the three teams left who still could become bowl eligible are:
Kansas State (5-6), and they play at home vs West Virginia (7-4) next week.
Southern Alabama (5-6), and they play vs Appalachian State (9-2) next week.
Georgia State (5-6), and they play at Georgia Southern (8-3) next week.
As of now there are 75 bowl-eligible teams, and it's unlikely that more than one of the teams above will become bowl eligible. So there will likely either be four or five open spots.
There has been some confusion about how the NCAA will determine which 5-7 teams will go to bowl games. A few weeks ago everyone assumed it was going to be decided based on APR (and this still may be how they ultimately decide to do it), but that is up in the air:
http://www.usnews.com/news/sports/a...-to-provide-procedures-for-filling-bowl-games
APR Rankings of 5-7 teams:
985 - Nebraska
976 - Missouri
976 - Kansas State (currently 5-6)
975 - Minnesota (tie)
975 - San Jose State (tie)
APR rankings source:
http://www.sbnation.com/college-foo...ame-eligibility-rules-ncaa-five-wins-nebraska
Now that it is impossible for the 80 bowl slots to be filled by 6-6 teams, the NCAA will decide in the next few days how to pick 5-7 teams for bowl games. While I haven't seen any confirmation from reporters, the consensus around the web seems to be that Nebraska and Missouri will both make bowl games based on their APR.
So in summary if Georgia State and South Alabama lose next weekend (which they probably will), it's likely we will make a bowl game at 5-7.