Okay, I have too much time on my hands this morning, so I am trying to analyze this.
There are 80 bowl spots to be filled.
Thus far, I count 69 bowl-eligible teams (this morning’s Strib says 71, but I don’t think Appalachian State and Georgia Southern can play in a bowl because they’re in their 1st year of “transition” to FBS). As noted by another poster, they're both eligible. That means there's only 9 spots left.
That leaves 9 spots to be filled. There are 14 teams that need just one more win to get in:
Gophers 31.9%
S. Alabama (0.3%. This one is unfair because it includes two games -- but they'll be heavy underdogs in both)
Nebraska 48.7%
Vanderbilt 8.2% (They're 4-7 by the way...I assume you included them because they'd beat us on APR with 5 wins? But Rutgers is same.)
VaTech 66.5%
IU 53.3%
Washington67.5%
Mizzou 19%
E Carolina 51.9%
Tulsa 68.8%
Buffalo 68%
San Jose St 20.8%
Kentucky 39.7%
You forgot
Illinois 41.4%
Old Dominion 34.4%
There are also 4 teams who have 2 games left to play and would need to win both to get to 6 wins:
K-State 28.9%
Texas 3.3%
Louisiana- Lafayette 3.6%
Ga State 2.9%
