http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2305501-bold-predictions-for-big-ten-footballs-bowl-season/page/7
Minnesota and Missouri are basically the same team: crummy offense, great defense and know how to stick around for 60 minutes.
If you played this game 100 times, I reckon each team would win 50. Maybe Missouri would win 51 or 52. The Tigers rank four spots better on the F/+ ratings (No. 31 to No. 35), according to Football Outsiders, but the difference is minimal. In most trials, the winner would be the team that has the ball last.
So why is Missouri a six-point favorite? Mostly because it plays in the "S-E-C, S-E-C, S-E-C." But the Tigers already lost to one Big Ten team this season, and that team, Indiana, went 1-7 in conference play.
Minnesota went 5-3.