Computer model has Gophers as 7th most likely to qualify for college football playoff

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BleedGopher

BleedGopher

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I saw Rand tweeted this. A Badger Engineering student has a computer model that has the most likely participants in the College Football Playoff. The top 10:

Florida State : 0.303544
Mississippi State : 0.289211
Mississippi : 0.260909
Alabama : 0.174873
Georgia : 0.163807
Notre Dame : 0.139638
Minnesota : 0.138238
Michigan State : 0.111237
Auburn : 0.11037
Nebraska : 0.10457

http://bracketology.engr.wisc.edu/ncaa-football-playoff-prediction-week-8/

Go Gophers!!
 

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"After eight weeks of footballs, the team-to-team network created by wins and losses is still pretty sparse. As a result, some of the forecasts made are too bold (I’m looking at you Minnesota!). We will have a more connected network when more games have been played, and with more data will come more refined forecasts."
 


"After eight weeks of footballs, the team-to-team network created by wins and losses is still pretty sparse. As a result, some of the forecasts made are too bold (I’m looking at you Minnesota!). We will have a more connected network when more games have been played, and with more data will come more refined forecasts."

Edit: beat me to it
 


BleedGopher said:
I saw Rand tweeted this. A Badger Engineering student has a computer model that has the most likely participants in the College Football Playoff. The top 10: Florida State : 0.303544 Mississippi State : 0.289211 Mississippi : 0.260909 Alabama : 0.174873 Georgia : 0.163807 Notre Dame : 0.139638 Minnesota : 0.138238 Michigan State : 0.111237 Auburn : 0.11037 Nebraska : 0.10457 http://bracketology.engr.wisc.edu/ncaa-football-playoff-prediction-week-8/ Go Gophers!!
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Alvarez has already said that you pretty much need to win your conference. Since there are four SEC teams in the top 7....the Gophers are in.
 

Barry would never take such a stance...unless it involved Wisky.
 



Dr.Don said:
Barry would never take such a stance...unless it involved Wisky.
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Alvarez is responsible for viewing MAC Film and Big XII Film and reporting / presenting his findings to the committee.
I believe Oliver Luck is responsible for viewing B1G.
 








Should we trust anything that comes from a Wisconsin engineering student? I mean I assume he is learning how to operate a locomotive. Just sayin'. :cool02:
 


BleedGopher said:
I saw Rand tweeted this. A Badger Engineering student has a computer model that has the most likely participants in the College Football Playoff. The top 10:

Florida State : 0.303544
Mississippi State : 0.289211
Mississippi : 0.260909
Alabama : 0.174873
Georgia : 0.163807
Notre Dame : 0.139638
Minnesota : 0.138238
Michigan State : 0.111237
Auburn : 0.11037
Nebraska : 0.10457

http://bracketology.engr.wisc.edu/ncaa-football-playoff-prediction-week-8/

Go Gophers!!
Click to expand...

Fun, but guessing the computer hasn't watched the last 40 years of Gopher football.
 

Sounds like a law of small numbers argument against a result the person who published disagreed with.

To a degree

mcal24 said:
"After eight weeks of footballs, the team-to-team network created by wins and losses is still pretty sparse. As a result, some of the forecasts made are too bold (I’m looking at you Minnesota!). We will have a more connected network when more games have been played, and with more data will come more refined forecasts."
Click to expand...
 

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Wisconsin's computer model says go for two.
 

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BleedGopher said:
I saw Rand tweeted this. A Badger Engineering student has a computer model that has the most likely participants in the College Football Playoff. The top 10:

Florida State : 0.303544
Mississippi State : 0.289211
Mississippi : 0.260909
Alabama : 0.174873
Georgia : 0.163807
Notre Dame : 0.139638
Minnesota : 0.138238
Michigan State : 0.111237
Auburn : 0.11037
Nebraska : 0.10457

http://bracketology.engr.wisc.edu/ncaa-football-playoff-prediction-week-8/

Go Gophers!!
Click to expand...

While I put little to no stock in this kind of stuff it seems a little strange that our odds would supposedly be higher then a team currently ranked in the top 10 with the exact same record that we have (MSU)
 

MNVCGUY said:
While I put little to no stock in this kind of stuff it seems a little strange that our odds would supposedly be higher then a team currently ranked in the top 10 with the exact same record that we have (MSU)
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It basically says that our loss is better than State's loss to Oregon.

I doubt this statistical analysis takes percent chance to win your future games into account. If it does, it does a bad job.
 


Can someone check with the mods to make sure the site experience will be seamless and fluid in the event we need to change the name of this to "8 National Titles Football Forum"? I don't want to go winning no national championship if my browser bookmarks ain't going to work.
 


BarnBoy said:
Can someone check with the mods to make sure the site experience will be seamless and fluid in the event we need to change the name of this to "8 National Titles Football Forum"? I don't want to go winning no national championship if my browser bookmarks ain't going to work.
Click to expand...
I think we'll be fine. My Tubby's Barn Basketball Forum bookmark is still working great.
 

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