Sabbatical over, time for Gophers to rip off 4 in a row
It's time for the Gophers to raise our hopes, starting with a home game vs. an injury-plagued but still young & talented Illinois squad. The Illini would be a "quality win" for the Gophers. Let's win the next 4 & then see what happens from there, when the schedule toughens considerably.
Will stick with the "22 wins" (prior to Big Ten Tournament) theme, but obviously that's not realistic at this point. I think the goal now becomes get to 9-9, win 2 games in Chicago, and then hope that's enough. I'm skeptical even that would be enough given the Gophers' likely dearth of quality wins, but. ...
Just a couple minor tweaks on the levels. Opponents' RPIs included.
LEVEL 5 (8-0) -- Cupcakes, i.e., basically the non-conference home schedule. (finished 8-0)
#146 UNC-Wilmington (WON 108-82)
#259 Western Carolina -- (WON 84-64)
#263 Southern U -- (WON 85-57)
#266 North Dakota -- (WON 92-56)
#267 Seattle -- (WON 92-57)
#307 Furman (WON 86-76)
#340 UMBC -- (WON 69-51)
(non-DI) Franklin Pierce -- (WON 109-57)[/I]
Average Margin of Victory: +28.1
LEVEL 4 (6-0) -- Decent foes but home losses would hurt resume. (currently 2-0)
#75 Western Kentucky -- (WON 76-54)
#91 Rutgers -- (WON 89-80)
#104 Penn State (March 8)
#108 Nebraska (Jan. 31)
#110 Purdue (Feb. 7)
#134 Northwestern (Feb. 18)
Average Margin of Victory: +15.5
LEVEL 3 (3-2) -- Gophers can win but loss wouldn't be huge surprise. (currently 1-3)
@ #69 Michigan (LOST 57-62)
@ #104 Penn State (Wednesday)
@ #108 Nebraska (LOST 49-52)
@ #110 Purdue (LOST 68-72)
@ #138 Wake Forest (WON 84-69)
Average Point Differential: +.75
LEVEL 2 (2-3) -- Opponents most similar to Gophers, NCAA candidate. (currently 0-2)
#41 Iowa (LOST 75-77)
@ #41 Iowa (Feb. 12)
@ #44 Indiana (Feb. 15)
#59 Illinois (Saturday)
#60 Ohio State (LOST 72-74)
Average Margin of Defeat: -2
LEVEL 1 (3-4) -- Big-boy pants (RPI 40 or better); every NCAA resume needs at least a couple big knockers. (currently 1-3)
@ #9 Wisconsin (Feb. 21)
#9 Wisconsin (March 5)
@ #13 Maryland (LOST 58-70)
vs. #27 Georgia (WON 66-62)
vs. #31 Louisville -- (LOST 68-81)
@ #35 Michigan State (Feb. 26)
@ #40 Saint John's (LOST 61-70)
Average Point Differential: -7.5
Go 22-9 (21-9 vs, DI opponents) and percentages are the Gophers will have at least five or six RPI top-50 wins. That would be more than enough to earn them a spot in the NCAA Tournament. As a comparison, last season the Gophers only had two RPI top-50 wins (Wisconsin, Ohio State), along with two others (#54 Florida State, #56 Iowa) just outside the top 50.