There seems to be a consensus among bracketologists on the majority of the bubble teams.
the truest bubble teams are three for two spots:
Syracuse
Kansas St
and
USC
A couple quick differences between two of the more highly regarded experts, Lunardi and Palm.
BPI vs RPI
Both agree with each other on 67 of the 68 teams.
Palm has USC, Lunardi has Syracuse.
Palm has USC not only in, but as high as a 9 seed. To me this seems like a reflection of their RPI number which is currently 41. On straight RPI alone, this would put a major conference team in that 9 seed area.
Lunardi on the other hand, does not have USC in the tournament. Instead, they have Syracuse which is ranked #84 in RPI. But ESPN, who has been pushing their own BPI score, has Syracuse at #31. (ahead of Michigan St, Minnesota, Northwestern and several others.
If Syracuse is in, and USC is out, it could be reflecting more of whatever BPI values which is somewhat unknown at this point, over the traditional RPI rankings.
Outliers
A couple outliers for each.
Palm is down on Virginia, giving them a #7 seed. Consensus is a #5 seed for them.
Yet, Palm has Duke as a #1 which only a few do.
He's down on the SEC collectively with Florida as low as a #5, and he also has Vanderbilt as one of the last couple in.
He agrees with Lunardi by putting Purdue higher than most as a #4
Lunardi also has Florida as a 5, but Vandy as a #10.
Lunardi is one of only a few to have Minnesota as a #7 seeed.
A couple others Lunardi is high on from a seeding standpoint.
Notre Dame #3
Purdue #4
Michigan #6
Miami #7
and (again) Syracuse #11.
Teams that not all have "in bracket" who likely will be:
Michigan St
Vanderbilt
Wake Forest
Kansas St
and USC
the truest bubble teams are three for two spots:
Syracuse
Kansas St
and
USC
A couple quick differences between two of the more highly regarded experts, Lunardi and Palm.
BPI vs RPI
Both agree with each other on 67 of the 68 teams.
Palm has USC, Lunardi has Syracuse.
Palm has USC not only in, but as high as a 9 seed. To me this seems like a reflection of their RPI number which is currently 41. On straight RPI alone, this would put a major conference team in that 9 seed area.
Lunardi on the other hand, does not have USC in the tournament. Instead, they have Syracuse which is ranked #84 in RPI. But ESPN, who has been pushing their own BPI score, has Syracuse at #31. (ahead of Michigan St, Minnesota, Northwestern and several others.
If Syracuse is in, and USC is out, it could be reflecting more of whatever BPI values which is somewhat unknown at this point, over the traditional RPI rankings.
Outliers
A couple outliers for each.
Palm is down on Virginia, giving them a #7 seed. Consensus is a #5 seed for them.
Yet, Palm has Duke as a #1 which only a few do.
He's down on the SEC collectively with Florida as low as a #5, and he also has Vanderbilt as one of the last couple in.
He agrees with Lunardi by putting Purdue higher than most as a #4
Lunardi also has Florida as a 5, but Vandy as a #10.
Lunardi is one of only a few to have Minnesota as a #7 seeed.
A couple others Lunardi is high on from a seeding standpoint.
Notre Dame #3
Purdue #4
Michigan #6
Miami #7
and (again) Syracuse #11.
Teams that not all have "in bracket" who likely will be:
Michigan St
Vanderbilt
Wake Forest
Kansas St
and USC