Interesting predraft tidbits from Draft Express

coolhandgopher

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I've said this before, but draftexpress.com is quickly becoming a favorite website of mine. I've copied and pasted from their latest blog, you'll have to go there for the full article. A note on Rubio, although the T-Wolves aren't mentioned, I'm guessing he would balk at overtures from them too. . .probably too big a risk for the (lack of) braintrust to chance. Anyway, here you are:

• Dunleavy: Clearly, we're taking Blake Griffin

Lisa Dillman of the Los Angeles Times does a phenomenal job of reporting by getting Clippers head coach Mike Dunleavy to announce his intentions immediately after learning that his team will be drafting #1.

"Clearly, we're taking Blake Griffin," Clippers General Manager and Coach Mike Dunleavy said in a telephone interview from Barcelona, Spain.

"This guy is the No. 1 pick. We're extremely excited. He's the guy."

While it may seem strange for the Clippers to so quickly anoint Griffin as their choice before really possessing a full picture of what’s on the table, many in the league think Dunleavy (also the Clippers GM in addition to their head coach) wants to leave no doubt in anyone’s mind that Griffin is going first, in an effort to get teams to make their best offers.

“The Clippers need a point guard more than anything. They can easily trade Baron Davis back to the Warriors if they want to. I think they are going to move down to 3 or 4 and try to get Rubio there.”

While Oklahoma City would obviously be extremely interested in the prospect of acquiring the top pick and drafting local product Blake Griffin, there is one team standing in their way – the Memphis Grizzlies, who own the #2 pick. From what people around the league are saying, Rubio’s camp may already be sending out feelers indicating that he’s not interested in the least bit in playing in Memphis.

“Rubio doesn’t want to go to Memphis, and he especially does not want to pay money out of his own pocket with that huge buyout for the honor of doing so. Fegan [Rubio’s agent] wants him in L.A., and if he can’t have him there, he wants him in Sacramento. Definitely not Oklahoma City. “

Unlike Griffin or Hasheem Thabeet, who don’t really have any choice where they will play next season if a team decides to play hardball, Rubio has a reasonably attractive alternative option at his disposal—returning to Spain.


“He’ll pull out if he doesn’t like what he’s hearing,” the NBA source tells us. “Or he can stay in and force the Grizzlies to call his bluff—would they really take him knowing that he may never come over? That’s one way to get him to fall to three.”

Fegan is already highly experienced in these matters, having unsuccessfully attempted to navigate fellow client Yi Jianlian towards the team of his choice in the 2007 draft, only to see Milwaukee foil his plans and pick him anyway. This time, though, he has a lot more leverage, as Rubio would likely have no problem staying in Badalona for another year or two or more if push came to shove. His buyout after all, is yet to be resolved, which in this case may actually be an advantage.

The Grizzlies are clearly aware of the politics surrounding their pick, but do not appear to be in any rush to make any decisions. “We’ll talk about all those things when they come up,” their General Manager Chris Wallace told us. “Right now we’re still in evaluation mode. We haven’t had any conversations with him [Rubio] or anyone else in his camp.”

Wallace shared that he will be headed out to Spain this weekend to watch Rubio compete in game three of the ACB playoffs, where Joventut will try to advance to the semifinals with a road win over Real Madrid. “I sent someone out there last week to watch him in the playoffs just in case we were able to move up,” Wallace told us. “He’s hardly a sleeper and he hasn’t been very difficult to track. We feel very comfortable with what we know about him right now.”

When asked whether Mike Conley’s status as Memphis’ tentative starter will deter the Grizzlies from selecting another point guard, Wallace indicated that that won’t be a factor. “We’re not in a position to be drafting for need. We’re going to go after the biggest talent available, whether that’s a big man or a point guard or whatever.”

What might make the most sense on paper would be for the Clippers and Grizzlies to work out a trade in which Memphis could take Griffin and Los Angeles would get Rubio. For that to happen, Memphis would have to part with one of their core assets, likely Rudy Gay. Obviously we’ll have to stay tuned, because as John Hollinger correctly indicated in his latest column last night’s lottery left more questions than answers for the teams drafting in the top 5.

A poll of representatives from a good chunk of the league indicates some interesting trends.

-Jrue Holiday in the words of one executive, is “moving up more than anyone in this draft” right now, and could find himself in the 6-10 range when it’s all said and done. He even has an outside chance of being selected 4th by Sacramento, and he will indeed be working out there tomorrow from what we’re told. New York (8), Toronto (9) and Milwaukee (10) appear to be especially interested.

-The other “big riser” in this draft may be DeJuan Blair. Reports are swirling about Blair measuring a legit 6-7 in shoes (with a 7-2 wingspan) as well as losing as much as 15 pounds since arriving at IMG Academy. A slew of NBA teams have reportedly been out to evaluate him and some of the other top prospects training at the facility, and the buzz is growing around him every day seemingly. Milwaukee at 10, New Jersey at 11 and Indiana at 13 appear to be his sweet spots at the moment, and if he falls past there, he apparently will not get past Phoenix.

-Austin Daye is another player with some strong hype at the moment. “He’s the most skilled player in the draft” one executive told us recently. “He’s not as soft as people think. He’s going to get drafted between 10 and 15. If he works out great, he may even go earlier.”

Daye’s upside seems to be creeping his stock closer to the lottery, as teams evaluate him side by side with some of the more mature prospects in this draft and wonder if what you’re seeing with them is all you’re going to get. “There aren’t that many players in this draft with star potential,” one scout told us. “He looks great in workouts, but is that really a surprise?”

-Players who appear to be tallying off a bit in terms of their draft buzz include James Johnson (“out of sight, out of mind,” one executive says), Jeff Teague and especially Earl Clark, who teams are beginning to get cold feet about as they conduct more and more research. DeMar DeRozan has been difficult to pin down for workouts (oddly demanding to compete against James Harden, or else…) and Tyreke Evans for some reason is still interviewing agents at this late stage in the game.

-The Chicago Bulls are reportedly heavily shopping Tyrus Thomas around the league, trying to see what kind of value they can get for him after the solid season he’s coming off of. It appears that they don’t see him fitting into their long-term plans as he’s too similar to Joakim Noah, and they aren’t interested in giving him a long-term deal that would put them over the luxury tax. It’s possible the Bulls look to package Thomas and Hinrich together and land a big time power forward.

-A number of teams are already reportedly sending out feelers indicating that they would like to acquire a pick in the late first round—including the San Antonio Spurs, Houston Rockets and Toronto Raptors. A few teams that are rumored to be looking to trade or sell their picks are the Oklahoma City Thunder (#25), Minnesota Timberwolves (#28) and New Orleans Hornets (#21).
 

Not at all shocked about Rubio not wanting to play in Memphis. That franchise as all the advantages one needs to be successful, small market or not: State of the art facilities, a great corporate environment and support, a city that loves basketball. Yet they've made bad decision after bad decision in regards to money, drafting and relationships with the fanbase. The ownership is a joke and don't think Pau and Mark haven't been in Rubio's ear about playing for Memphis.

I really don't expect the Grizzlies to survive much longer with the current ownership in place. It's almost to a point where the NBA and FedEx are basically subsidizing the team and I wouldn't be shocked if, in a year or two, the NBA had to take direct control of the franchise ala the NHL and the Coyotes. It is really that bad right now.

If I'm the T-Wolves I'd explore the Thomas/Heinrich trade proposal. Doubt they have the pieces (and not even McHale is insane enough to give up Jefferson for that) but both would be a great fit in Minnesota.
 

Out of curiosity

Is Ben Woodside being projected by any draftgeek websites to get drafted? I wouldn't mind seeing him in a T-Wolves uniform as a 2nd round pick.
 

Can't Believe The Clippers Are Considering Griffin

Ahead of Woodside.
 

Not at all shocked about Rubio not wanting to play in Memphis. That franchise as all the advantages one needs to be successful, small market or not: State of the art facilities, a great corporate environment and support, a city that loves basketball. Yet they've made bad decision after bad decision in regards to money, drafting and relationships with the fanbase. The ownership is a joke and don't think Pau and Mark haven't been in Rubio's ear about playing for Memphis.

I really don't expect the Grizzlies to survive much longer with the current ownership in place. It's almost to a point where the NBA and FedEx are basically subsidizing the team and I wouldn't be shocked if, in a year or two, the NBA had to take direct control of the franchise ala the NHL and the Coyotes. It is really that bad right now.

If I'm the T-Wolves I'd explore the Thomas/Heinrich trade proposal. Doubt they have the pieces (and not even McHale is insane enough to give up Jefferson for that) but both would be a great fit in Minnesota.

I couldn't disagree with your assesment of the Memphis franchise more. Jerry West himself said in the Commercial Appeal at how disappointed and shocked he was at the lack of corporate interest in the franchise. Memphis has FedEx and that is it. In addition, the make up of the Memphis community does not really have a middle class which is very important in supporting the medium and low range ticket options at the professional level. Memphis is very different than say, an Atlanta or even a Nashville. While Memphis may be a basketball town, it is a Memphis Tiger town and that's it. The Grizz have been and always will be a bad fit as Memphis just is not a pro sports town. Heck, they didn't even support the Titans the year or two they were there. I would think if any NBA team were to relocate, Memphis would be one of the likely candidates down the road.

Go Gophers!!
 


I couldn't disagree with your assesment of the Memphis franchise more. Jerry West himself said in the Commercial Appeal at how disappointed and shocked he was at the lack of corporate interest in the franchise. Memphis has FedEx and that is it. In addition, the make up of the Memphis community does not really have a middle class which is very important in supporting the medium and low range ticket options at the professional level. Memphis is very different than say, an Atlanta or even a Nashville. While Memphis may be a basketball town, it is a Memphis Tiger town and that's it. The Grizz have been and always will be a bad fit as Memphis just is not a pro sports town. Heck, they didn't even support the Titans the year or two they were there. I would think if any NBA team were to relocate, Memphis would be one of the likely candidates down the road.

Go Gophers!!

What do you expect Jerry West to say "It's our fault that we've alienated the community, the fans and pretty much everybody else?"

Talk to me when you know people directly involved with the situation. I'm not talking about the hot dog vendors either. Heisley's a buffoon and has been trying to sell the team for years. Which is okay..unless you're trying to sell them to outsider hacks like Christain Laetner with "creative" financing. People in the know, the people that count, know just how bad he really is. The money people and other small market owners love him because he's always looking to push for revenue sharing and more corporate deals but the basketball people and the Memphis community at large? They loathe him.

As to the Memphis/Titans thing: You don't a. Understand Tennessee and its politics/regional prejudices very well and b. They were pissed that they didn't get an NFL franchise and weren't going to support a team who was going to be gone in two years to play in Nashville- a city that most Memphis folks would probably not shed a tear if it was wiped from the map.
 

What do you expect Jerry West to say "It's our fault that we've alienated the community, the fans and pretty much everybody else?"

Talk to me when you know people directly involved with the situation. I'm not talking about the hot dog vendors either. Heisley's a buffoon and has been trying to sell the team for years. Which is okay..unless you're trying to sell them to outsider hacks like Christain Laetner with "creative" financing. People in the know, the people that count, know just how bad he really is. The money people and other small market owners love him because he's always looking to push for revenue sharing and more corporate deals but the basketball people and the Memphis community at large? They loathe him.

As to the Memphis/Titans thing: You don't a. Understand Tennessee and its politics/regional prejudices very well and b. They were pissed that they didn't get an NFL franchise and weren't going to support a team who was going to be gone in two years to play in Nashville- a city that most Memphis folks would probably not shed a tear if it was wiped from the map.

You crack me up - I'll leave it at that. Outside of Minnesota sports, I know more about Memphis sports than any area and yes, this includes "people who know" but the condescending nature of your posts don't even make it worth discussing further.

Go Gophers!!
 

Ahead of Woodside.

I hope Woodside is available for their last pick if they aren't trading it. I haven't really paid attention to what his projection is, but those picks typically don't end up being worth much so why not take a shot on the kid.
 




Not that Bleed needs my support on this one, but this is a snippet from Bill Simmons' column around all-star weekend, the premise of which is that many NBA franchises are in big trouble and we'll start to see some drastic changes here within the next year or two, as far as franchise movement goes.

I became obsessed with this topic over All-Star Weekend and solicited input from as many people in the know as I could. Franchise Hot Potato hinges on five factors in all, although only three need to be in play. You need a team with a dwindling fan base and/or bailing sponsors and suite/courtside customers. (I count 11: Indiana, Memphis, Milwaukee, Sacramento, New Jersey, New Orleans, Miami, Orlando, Minnesota, Charlotte and Philly.) You need a team trapped in an aging stadium that can't drum up local money for a new one. (I count three: Sacramento, Jersey and Milwaukee.) You need an owner who purchased his team because he was worth a ton of money ON PAPER … only now, he's worth significantly less and might even be worth $10 for all we know. (Consensus candidates for this list: Phoenix, Hijack City, Jersey, Memphis, Indiana, Atlanta, Milwaukee, Charlotte … and, surprisingly, Sacramento and Cleveland.) You need cities with NBA-ready, modern arenas either finished or about to be finished that would love nothing more than stealing a team. (Definitely Kansas City, Anaheim, San Jose, Louisville, Tulsa and Pittsburgh; possibly Columbus, St. Louis; and just for fun, let's throw in Montreal and London.) And you need a struggling team that can actually extricate itself from its lease.

The last "need" is easier said than done, as the Grizzlies would tell you -- owner Michael Heisley would leave treadmarks fleeing Memphis if he weren't tied to FedEx Forum through 2015.
 




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