Tracking the Sagarin predictions: Week 5

DISCLAIMER: Since the argument seems to come up each week, this is for entertainment purposes only and not meant to be the be-all, end-all of predictions.

Week four can be found here: http://www.forums.gopherhole.com/boards/showthread.php?32423-Tracking-the-Sagarin-predictions-Week-4

Sagarin's ratings can be found here: http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt11.htm

I take [home team rating + 3.08 (home field advantage)] - [away team rating] to show spreads.

Minnesota, #121, 57.58 PREDICTOR rating. Results/predicted lines in parentheses.

@ USC (L, 17-19)
vs NMSU (L, 21-28)
vs Miami (OH) (W, 29-23)
vs NDSU (L, 24-37)
@ Michigan (L, 0-58)
@ Purdue (+11.5)
vs Nebraska (+21)
vs Iowa (+17.5)
@ Michigan St (+29)
vs Wisconsin (+33)
@ Northwestern (+13)
vs Illinois (+16)

Final record: 1-11 (0-8).

Good chance to win (>6 spread favoring Gophers):
Close wins (0-6 spread favoring Gophers):
Close losses (0-6 spread favoring opponent):
Good chance to lose (>6 spread favoring opponent): Purdue, Nebraska, Iowa, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Northwestern, Illinois